Unit-I & II
Unit-I & II
Economics
Dr.R.Parameshwaran
Professor & Head
Department of Mechatronics Engineering
Kongu Engineering College
Perundurai
1
Nature of Business
• A business tries to earn Tangible Goods
a profit by providing Automobile
products that satisfy Computer
people’s need. Loaf of bread
What is a product? Television
Goods or service with
tangible and intangible Services
characteristics that Dry cleaning
provide satisfaction and Photo processing
benefits. Sometimes Checkup at doctor’s
product can also be an Movie star performance
idea.
2
GOAL OF BUSINESS
• Profit organizations:
Earn a Profit - The
reward for the risks that
businesses take in
providing products.
• Non-Profit
Organizations- provide
goods and services but
do not have the
fundamental purpose of
earning profits.
3
Q E
u ff
a i
c
l i
i e
t n
y t
o
p p
r e
o r
a
d t
u i
c o
t n
s
s
Maintaining Profitability
Management skills
Profitability
•Planning
•Organizing
•Controlling
•Staffing S
o
c
i
B
u
s
•Directing
a
l
i
n
r e
e
s s
p s
o
n
s e
i
b t
i h
l
i i
t c
y
s
Finance
Marketing Expertise • Skills to maintain fund
•Products • Expanding its operations
•Price • Maintaining day to day operations
•Promotion
•Place(Distribution) 4
People and activities of Business
5
The Economic Foundations of Business
Distribution of resources for the
production of goods and services
within a social system.
Resources
• Natural resources (land, forests, minerals, water)
• Human resources (labor)
• Financial resources (capital)
6
Economic Systems
How a society distributes its
resources to produce goods and
services.
Three Important questions :
1. What types and quantities of goods/services will
satisfy consumer needs?
2. How will goods/services be produced? By whom?
With what resources?
3. How are goods/services distributed to consumers?
7
Economic Systems….
Communism
Socialism
Capitalism
Pure Capitalism
Modified Capitalism
Mixed Economies
14
Supply & Demand
16
Nature of Competition
Rivalry among businesses for consumers’
money.
20
Measuring the Economy
• Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) – the
sum of all goods and
services produced in a
country during a year
https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDP_RPCH@WEO/OEMDC/ 21
ADVEC/WEOWORLD
Evaluating Our Nation’s Economy
22
23
Trade balance of India
CPI of
India
24
GDP PER CAPITA
Inflation rate
25
Entrepreneurship
Risk, innovation, creativity, reward
Bill Gates
Michael Dell
Steve Jobs
Frederick Smith
26
Founder(s): Bill Gates & Paul
Allen
College: Harvard University
Emission Standards
Global Warming – reached 9 tipping points
Going “Green”
29
BASIC CONCEPTS AND
PRINCIPLES
30
Economics - Definitions
• Derived from Greek work oikos (house) and
nomos (custom or law)
• Adam smith (1723-1790) - Father of
economics- “…an enquiry into the nature and
causes of the wealth of nations”
• Alfred Marshall (1842-1924)- “…the study of
mankind in the everyday business of life”
• Lionel Robbins(1898-1984) – “ the science
which studies human behaviour as a
relationship between ends and scare means
which have alternative uses” 31
Economics Defined….
• “ as a body of knowledge or study that discusses
how a society tries to solve the human problems of
unlimited wants and scarce resources”
• “ is a Social science since it deals with the society
as a whole and human behaviour in particular,
and studies the production, distribution, and
consumption of goods and services”.
(Study of how individuals and societies deal with
scarcity)
32
Basic Assumptions
• Ceteris Paribus
– Latin phrase
– “With other things (being) the same” or “all other
things being equal”.
• Rationality
– Consumers and producers measure and compare the
costs and benefits of a decision before going ahead.
– Involves making a choice that gives the greatest
benefit relative to cost.
– Firms aim at maximizing profit and minimizing the
cost while consumers aim at maximizing utility and
minimizing sacrifice.
33
Types of Economic Analysis
• Micro and Macro
– Microeconomics (“micro” meaning small): study of the
behaviour of small economic units
• An individual consumer, a seller/ a producer/ a firm, or
a product.
• Focus on basic theories of supply and demand in
individual markets
– Macroeconomics (“macro” meaning large): study
of aggregates.
• Industry as a unit, and not the firm.
• Focus on aggregate demand and aggregate supply,
national income, employment, inflation, etc.
34
Types of Economic Analysis.....
• Positive and Normative
– Positive economics: “what is” in economic matters
• Establishes a cause and effect relationship between
variables.
• Analyzes problems on the basis of facts.
– Normative economics: “what ought to be” in
economic matters.
• Concerned with questions involving value
judgments.
• Incorporates value judgments about what the
economy should be like.
• Eg: India needs to grow at 9% to achieve PM
Modi’s target of $5 trillion economy 35
Types
• Short of Economic Analysis....
Run and Long Run
– Short run: Time period not enough for consumers and
producers to adjust completely to any new situation.
• Some inputs are fixed and others are variable
– Long run: Time period long enough for consumers and
producers to adjust to any new situation.
• All inputs are variable
• Decisions to adjust capacity, to introduce a larger
plant or continue with the existing one, to change
product lines.
In terms of accounting or finance:
short run- any time period less than a year
Long run- 5 to 6 years or even as high as 20 years
36
Types of Economic Analysis....
• Partial and General Equilibrium
– Partial equilibrium analysis: Related to micro
analysis
• Studies the outcome of any policy action in a
single market only.
• Equilibrium of one firm or few firms and not
necessarily the industry or economy.
– General equilibrium: Explains economic
phenomena in an economy as a whole.
• State in which all the industries in an economy
are in equilibrium.
• State of full employment
37
Economic Decisions/Questions
The fundamental problem faced by economy :
40
Economic Principles Relevant to Managerial
Decisions…
• Discounting Principle
– Time value of money : Value of money depreciates with
time
• A rupee in hand today is worth more than a rupee
received tomorrow.
– Most business decisions relate to outflow and inflow of
money and resources at different points of time
1
PVF =
(1 r) n
where
PVF = Present Value Factor ,
n = period (year, etc.)
r = rate of discount
41
Production Possibilities Curve
• Shows the different combinations of the quantities of two goods
that can be produced (or consumed) in an economy at any point
of time.
• Depicts the trade off between any two items produced (or
consumed).
• Highlights the concepts of scarcity and opportunity cost
– Indicates the opportunity cost of increasing one item's production (or
consumption) in terms of the units of the other forgone
– Slope of the curve in absolute terms
• Assumptions
– The economy is operating at full employment.
– Factors of production are fixed in supply; they can however be
reallocated among different uses.
– Technology remains the same.
42
Production Possibilities Curve….
Food
Technically
P Infeasible Area
FP
FQ Q
Productively
Inefficient Area
O
CP CQ Clothing
Figure 1.3: PPC for the Society
43
Production Possibilities Curve….
• All points on the PPC (like P and Q) are points of maximum
productive efficiency.
• In the figure, OFp of food and OCp of clothing can be produced
at Point P and OFQ of food and OCQ respectively at point Q,
when production is run efficiently.
• All points inside the frontier are feasible but productively
inefficient.
• All points to the right of (or above) the curve are technically
impossible (or cannot be sustained for long).
• A move from P to Q indicates an increase in the units of
clothing produced and vice versa.
• It also implies a decrease in the units of food produced. This
decrease in the units of food is the opportunity cost of
producing more clothing.
44
Demand and supply analysis
45
Demand
“If you can’t pay for a thing, don’t buy it. If you can’t get paid for it, don’t
sell it” (Benjamin Franklin)
The process to satisfy human wants/ needs/desires – Demand
Desire: an aspiration to acquire something
Want: having a strong desire for something
Demand: effective desire
Demand is that desire which is backed by willingness and ability
to buy a particular commodity, at a given point of time.
Quantity of the commodity which consumers are willing to buy at a
given price for a particular unit of time.
Things necessary for demand:
Time
Price of the commodity
Amount (or quantity) of the commodity consumers are willing to
purchase at the price
46
Types of Demand
Direct and Derived Demand
Direct demand is for the goods as they are such as
Consumer goods
Derived demand is for the goods which are
demanded to produce some other commodities; e.g.
Capital goods
Recurring and Replacement Demand
Recurring demand is for goods which are
consumed at frequent intervals such as food items,
clothes.
Durables are purchased to be used for a long period
of time (cars, watches, bikes, mobile phones)
Wear and tear over time needs replacement
47
Types of Demand….
Complementary and Competing Demand
Some goods are jointly demanded hence are
complementary in nature, e.g. software and hardware, car
and petrol.
Some goods compete with each other for demand because
they are substitutes to each other, e.g. soft drinks and
juices.
Individual & Market Demand
Demand for an individual consumer is Individual demand.
Eg. Your demand for Nissan Kicks.
Demand by all the consumers for the product know as
Market demand. Eg. Demand for Nissan Kicks in 2019.
Industry demand is the demand for the product by all firms
in the industry. Eg. Demand for car in year 2019 in India
48
Determinants of Demand
Price of the product
Single most important determinant
Negative effect on demand
Higher the price-lower the demand
Income of the consumer
Normal goods: demand increases with increase in consumer’s
income
Inferior goods: demand falls as income rises
Price of related goods
Substitutes
If the price of a commodity increases, demand for its
substitute rises.
Complements
If the price of a commodity increases, quantity demanded
of its complement falls.
49
Determinants of Demand….
Tastes and preferences
Very significant in case of consumer goods
Expectation of future price changes
Gives rise to tendency of hoarding of durable goods
Population
Size, composition and distribution of population will
influence demand
Advertising
Very important in case of competitive markets
Growth of Economy
If economy is growing, demand for goods of better
quality will be high.
Consumer credit
Easy access to loans for purchasing consumer goods 50
Demand Function
Interdependence between demand for a product and its
determinants can be shown in a mathematical functional
form
Dx = f(Px, Y, Py, T, A, Ef, N)
Independent variables: Px, Y, Py, T, A, N
Dependent variable: Dx
Px: Price of x
Y: Income of consumer
Py: Price of other commodity
T: Taste and preference of consumer
A: Advertisement
Ef: Future expectations
N: Macro variable like inflation, population growth, economic
growth
51
Law of Demand
A special case of demand function which shows relation between
price and demand of the commodity
Dx = f(Px)
Other things remaining constant, when the price of a commodity
rises, the demand for that commodity falls or when the price of a
commodity falls, the demand for that commodity rises.
Price bears a negative relationship with demand
Reasons
Prize effect – Multiple uses (milk, coal, steel)
Substitution Effect : When the price of a commodity falls (rises),
its substitutes become more (less) expensive assuming their
price has not changed.
Income Effect: When the price of a particular commodity falls,
the consumer’s real income rises, hence the purchasing power of
the individual rises.
Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility: as a person consumes
successive units of a commodity, the utility derived from every
next unit (marginal unit) falls. 52
Demand Schedule and Individual
Demand Curve
Point on e
O
10 20 30 40 50
Quantity of coffee
53
Change in Demand
Price D1 D1
More is demanded at same price.
D0
D2
Increase in demand caused by:
A rise in the price of a
substitute
A fall in the price of a
complement
A rise in income
A redistribution of income
towards those who favour the
commodity
A change in tastes that
favours the commodity
0 Shift in demand curve from D0 to
Quantity
D2
Less is demanded at each price.
54
Movements Along and Shifts of The
Demand Curve
Price
Entire demand curve shifts
rightward when:
• income or wealth ↑
• price of substitute ↑
• price of complement ↓
• population ↑
• expected price ↑
• tastes shift toward ↑
D2
D1
Quantity
55
Movements Along and Shifts of The
Demand Curve
Price
Entire demand curve shifts
leftward when:
• income or wealth ↓
• price of substitute ↓
• price of complement ↑
• population ↓
• expected price ↓
• tastes shift toward ↓
D1
D2
Quantity
56
Exceptions to the Law of Demand
Law of demand may not operate due to the following reasons:
Giffen Goods – meat & bread case (Ireland case) Rice (inferior
goods)
Snob Appeal - Diamond
Demonstration Effect - items of luxury, fashion
Future Expectation of Prices (Panic buying)
Goods with No Substitutes
Life saving drugs, petrol and diesel
Insignificant proportion of income spent
Match box, Salt
57
Market Demand
58
Supply
• Indicates the quantities of a good or service that the seller
is willing and able to provide at a price, at a given point
of time, other things remaining the same.
• Supply of a product X (Sx) depends upon:
– Price of the product (Px)
– Cost of production (C)
– State of technology (T)
– Government policy regarding taxes and subsidies (G)
– Other factors like number of firms (N)
• Hence the supply function is given as:
Sx = (Px, C, T, G, N)
59
Law of Supply
Law of Supply states that other things remaining the same, the
higher the price of a commodity the greater is the quantity supplied.
Price of the product is revenue to the supplier; therefore higher price
means greater revenue to the supplier and hence greater is the
incentive to supply.
Supply bears a positive relation to the price of the commodity.
Quantity
62
Changes in Supply and in Quantity
Supplied
Price
Entire supply curve shifts S2
rightward when: S1
• price of input ↑
• price of alternate good ↑
• number of firms ↓
• expected price ↑
• unfavorable weather
Quantity
63
Market Equilibrium
Equilibrium occurs at the price where the quantity demanded and
the quantity supplied are equal to each other.
For prices below the equilibrium, quantity demanded exceeds
quantity supplied (D>S). Pulling price upward.
For prices above the equilibrium, quantity demanded is less than
quantity supplied (D<S). Pushing price downward.
Demand
Price S Supply (‘000
(‘000 cups /
Price cups / month)
E (Rs) month)
25
15 10 50
20 15 40
25 30 30
D
O
30 45 15
30 Quantity 35 70 10 64
Changes in Market Equilibrium
(Shifts in Supply Curve)
The original point of equilibrium is
at E, the point of intersection of
curves D1 and S1, at price P and
quantity Q Price S0
An increase in supply shifts the
D1 S1
supply curve to S2.
S2
Price falls to P2 and quantity rises E0
P0
to Q2, taking the new equilibrium E
P E2
to E2 . S0
P2
A decrease in supply shifts the S1
supply curve to S0. Price rises to P0 S2 D1
and quantity falls to Q0 taking the O
new equilibrium to E0 Q0 Q Q2 Quantity
Thus an increase in supply raises
quantity but lowers price, while a
decrease in supply lowers quantity
65
but raises price; demand being
Changes in Market • The original point of equilibrium is
at E, the point of intersection of
Equilibrium curves D1 and S1, at price P and
(Shifts in Demand Curve) quantity Q
• An increase in demand shifts the
demand curve to D2 .
Price • Price rises to P1 and quantity
D2 rises to Q1 taking the new
S1
D1 equilibrium to E1
D0 • A decrease in demand shifts the
E1
P1 demand curve to D0.
E • Price falls to P* and quantity
P
E2 falls to Q* taking the new
P*
D2
equilibrium to E2.
S1 D0 D1 • Thus, an increase in demand raises
O Q* both price and quantity, while a
Q1 decrease in demand lowers both
Quantity
price and quantity; when supply
remains same.
66
Change
D
in Both Demand and Supply
2
67
Introduction to Macro Economics
National Income
68
CIRCULAR FLOW OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES AND INCOME
69
Circular Flow of Income
(Two Sector Economy)
(Wages, Rent, Interest and Profits)
Factor Payments / Income
(Y)
Factor Inputs
Savings
(S) Financial Investment (I)
Households Firms
Market
Goods and
Services (O)
Consumption
expenditure
(C)
In the equilibrium Y=E=O 70
Circular Flow of Economic Activities
and Income
• Value of output produced (Y) = value of output sold (O)
• Value of output sold = Sum of consumption expenditure (C) and
investment expenditure (I).
E = O = C+I
• Income is either consumed or saved (S).
Y = C+S = C+I
71
Circular Flow of Income
(Four Sector Economy)
The third sector is Government (G)
• Government Spending
– On provision of public utility goods and services.
– Provides salaries to the households
– Pays to firms for purchases of goods and services - public ltd companies
• Government Revenue
– Households and firms pay various taxes and other payments and provide
factor inputs to the government.
– Government borrows from the financial market to fill revenue gap.
The fourth sector is the external sector
• Imports (M): Outflow of income occurs when the domestic firms
buy goods and services from foreign ones.
• Exports (X): Inflow of income takes place when foreign firms buy
goods and services from domestic ones
72
Circular Flow of Income
(Four Sector Economy)
Government
(G)
Remittances
Taxes Factor Taxes for purchases
Salaries Payments
Factor Inputs
Savings
(S) Financial Market Firms
Households Investment
(I)
Exports Goods
Exports
Consumption
Expenditure
74
Macro-economic Variables
• Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
–Aggregate Demand is the sum of demand for all goods and
services by all the consumers for a given period of time.
• aggregate demand (AD) for consumer goods i.e.
consumption demand (C)
• aggregate demand for capital goods i.e. (I).
Thus AD = C+I
• Aggregate supply is the total national output produced and
supplied by all the factors of production in an economy.
• It refers to the supply of all goods and services in the economy
for a given period of time.
• Aggregate supply (AS) consists of
–supply of consumer goods (C) and
–Supply capital goods (where capital comes from savings (S),
Hence AS=C+S
75
Macro-economic Variables….
• Stock and Flow
– Stock may be defined as any economic variable which has been
accumulated at a specific point of time
• like money, assets and wealth.
– Flow includes the variables which increase (inflows) and
decrease (outflows) the stock, over a period of time.
• like income, consumption, saving and investment
Stock=Inflows-Outflows
• Intermediate and Final Goods
– Intermediate goods (and services) are items purchased by firms
for using them in production of some other goods or utility.
(Partly finished goods or raw materials)
– Also known as producer goods because they are used as inputs
in the production of other goods.
– Final goods are those which are demanded by the final
consumer for using these goods as they are. 76
Macro-economic Variables….
• Capital formation
– The process of savings being converted into investment is known as
capital formation
– Gross Capital Formation refers to the aggregate of additions to fixed
assets (Fixed Capital Formation) and increase in stocks of inventories
during a period of time.
• Employment
– An employed person is willing and capable to work in a productive
activity and is engaged for certain number of hours per week, whether
working for self or someone else.
– The population of any country is divided into working population (age
group of 16 to 65 ) and dependents.
• Government Expenditure and Revenue
– Government Expenditure is which is made from public exchequer.
– Government Revenue is income received by government in various
forms, e.g. Taxes 77
National Income
• National income is defined as the money value of
all the final goods and services produced in an
economy during an accounting period of time,
generally one year.
Concepts of National Income
• Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
• Gross National Product (GNP)
• Net Domestic Product (NDP)
• Net National Product (NNP)
• Per Capita Income
78
Gross Domestic Product
• Gross Domestic Product (GDP): GDP is the sum of money
values of all final goods and services produced within the
domestic territories of a country during an accounting year. It
includes income from exports and payment made on imports
during the year.
GDP= C+I+G+(X-M)
• GDP at market price: includes the final value of goods and
services also includes indirect taxes and excludes the subsidies
given by the government.
• GDP at factor cost is the money value of final goods and
services based on the cost involved in the process of production.
GDP at factor cost = GDP at Market Prices –Indirect Taxes+
Subsidies
79
GDP -India
80
81
82
83
Gross National Product
• Gross National Product (GNP): GNP is the
aggregate final output of citizens and businesses of an
economy in a year.
• GNP may be defined as the sum of Gross Domestic
Product and Net Factor Income from Abroad (NFIA).
GNP = GDP + NFIA
GNP = C+I+G+(X-M)+NFIA
• Net Factor Income from Abroad: difference between
income received from abroad for rendering factor
services and income paid towards services rendered by
foreign nationals in the domestic territory of a country.
84
GNP INDIA
85
Net Domestic Product and
Net National Product
• Net Domestic Product
= GDP-Depreciation
• Net National Product (NNP)
= GDP–Depreciation +NFIA
Or =GNP–Depreciation
• Thus NNP is the actual addition to a year’s wealth and is the sum of
consumption expenditure, government expenditure, net foreign
expenditure, and investment, less depreciation, plus net income
earned from abroad.
= C+I+G+(X–M)–Depreciation + NFIA
• NNP at Factor Cost is the sum total of income earned by all the
people of the nation, within the national boundaries or abroad
• It is also called National Income.
• NNP at Factor Cost = NNP at Market Prices –Indirect Taxes+ Subsidies
86
Real and Nominal National
Income
• National income estimated at the prevailing prices, is called national
income at current prices or Nominal National Income, or Money
National Income or national income at current prices.
• National income measured on the basis of some fixed price, say price
prevailing at a particular point of time, or by taking a base year, is
known as national income at constant prices, or Real National
Income or national income at constant prices.
Nominal GDP
Real GDP =
GDP deflator
• GDP deflator is the ratio of nominal GDP in a year to real GDP of that
year
• GDP deflator measures the change in prices between the base year and
the current year. 87
88
Per Capital Income and Personal Income
• Per capita income is the average income of the people
of a country in a particular year.
National Income
Per Capita Income =
Total Population
(`Crores)
Net Domestic Product at 25,21,700
market price
Net Indirect Taxes 3,06,087
Net factor Income from -41,842
Abroad
Transfer payments 78,821
Depreciation 33,873
Total Population (million) 987
90
Methods of measuring national income
• At equilibrium,
Output =Income =expenditure
• There are 3 approaches to the measurement of GDP:
– Product (or Output) Method: National Income by
Industry of Origin
• Final Product Method
• Value Added Method
– Income Method or National Income by Distributive
Shares
– Expenditure Method
91
Product (or Output) Method
• The market value of all the goods and services produced in the
country by all the firms across all industries are added up
together.
• Process
– The economy is divided on basis of industries, such as
agriculture, fishing, mining and quarrying, large scale
manufacturing, small scale manufacturing, electricity, gas,
etc.
– The physical units of output are interpreted in money terms
– The total values added up. (GDP at market price)
– The indirect taxes are subtracted and the subsidies are
added. (GDP at factor cost)
– Net value is calculated by subtracting depreciation from the
total value (NDP at factor cost).
92
Limitations of Product Method
• Problem of Double Counting:
– unclear distinction between a final and an
intermediate product.
• Not Applicable to Tertiary/service Sector:
– This method is useful only when output can be
measured in physical terms
• Exclusion of Non Marketed Products
– E.g. outcome of hobby or self consumption
• Self Consumption of Output
– Producer may consume a part of his production.
93
Income Method
• The net income received by all citizens of a country in a
particular year, i.e. total of net rents, net wages, net interest and
net profits. (GDP at factor cost).
• It is the income earned by the factors of production of a country.
• Add the money sent by the citizens of the nation from abroad
and deduct the payments made to foreign nationals (individuals
and firms) (GNP at factor cost) or Gross National Income
(GNI).
Process:
• Economy is divided on basis of income groups, such as
wage/salary earners, rent earners, profit earners etc.
• Income of all the gruops is added, including income from
abroad and undistributed profits.
• The income earned by foreigners and transfer payments
made in the year are subtracted.
GNI = Rent + Wage + Interest +Profit + Net Income from Abroad-
Transfer payments 94
Limitations of Income Method
95
Expenditure Method of Measuring National
Income
• The total expenditure incurred by the society in a particular
year is added together to get that year’s national income.
• Components of Expenditure:
– personal consumption expenditure
– net domestic investment
– government expenditure on goods and services, and
– net foreign investment
Limitations
• Ignores Barter System
• Ignores Own Consumption
• Affected by Inflation
96
Uses of National Income Data
• National income is the most dependable indicator of a
country’s economic health.
• Difference between GDP and GNP indicates the
contribution of net income earned abroad
• Necessary for Economic planning: useful aid in judging
which sectors should be given more emphasis
• A measure of economic welfare.
– higher aggregate production implies more and more
goods and services being available to people
• Helps in determining the regional disparities, income
inequality and level of poverty in a country.
• Helps in comparing the situations of economic growth
in two different countries. 97
Difficulties in Measurement of National
Income
• Non monetized transactions: Exchange of goods and services
which have no monetary payments, like services rendered out of
love, courtesy or kindness are difficult to include in the
computation of national income.
• Unorganized sector: Contribution of unorganized sector are
unrecorded. It is very difficult to identify income of those who
do not pay income tax.
• Multiple sources of earnings: Part time activity goes
unrecognized and such income is not included in national
income.
• Categorization of goods and services: In many cases
categorization of goods and services as intermediate and final
product is not very clear.
• Inadequate data: Lack of adequate and reliable data is a major
hurdle to the measurement of national income of underdeveloped
countries. 98
Money supply aggregates in India
RBI calculates various concepts of money supply which are known
as money supply aggregates or measures of monetary aggregates.
M1: Currency with public, i.e. coins and notes + demand deposits of
public with banks. (very liquid assets)
– It is also known as Narrow Money
M2: M1 + Post office savings deposits
M3: M2 + Term deposits of the public with banks+ “Other” deposits
with RBI
– It is also known as Broad Money.
M4: M3 + All other deposits with Post office
M0: Currency in circulation+ Bankers’ deposits with RBI+ “Other”
deposits with RBI.
– It is also called Reserve Money.
Now RBI calculates only three of the above measures, i.e. M0, M1, and M3.
99
INFLATION
(causes & controlling)
103
Wage Price Spiral
Wages chase prices and prices chase wages, thus create a wage
price spiral.
• When prices rise, workers
demand higher money (or
nominal) wages to protect
their real wages. This raises Prices Rise
the costs faced by their
employers.
• To protect the real value of Cost of
production rises
profits, producers pass the Cost of
higher costs onto consumers living rises
in the form of higher prices.
• Workers (who are also Wages rise
consumers) demand for
higher money wages.
104
Causes of Inflation
• Excess Money Supply
• Demand Pull Inflation: when aggregate demand increases due to any
reason, and supply of output is unable to match this increased demand; i.e
demand pulls prices up.
– Increase in money supply/ Increase in disposable income
– Increase in aggregate spending
– Increase in population of the country
• Cost Push Inflation: An increase in price of any of the inputs will
increase the cost of production; i.e. prices pushed up by cost.
• Low Increase in Supply: if supply falls short of demand, prices will
increase.
– Obsolete technology/Deficient machinery
– Scarcity of resources
– Natural calamities/ Industrial disputes/ external aggressions
• Built in Inflation: Built in inflation is a type of inflation that has resulted
from past events and persists in the present.
– It is also known as hangover inflation.
105
Inflation and Decision Making
• Impact on Consumers
– increase in any price upsets the home budget.
• Impact on Producers (or Suppliers)
– Producers as sellers are benefited by inflation;
• higher the prices, higher are their profits.
– when as buyers of raw material, they are adversely affected by
inflation.
• Impact on Government:
– Government has to take the economy to higher levels of
growth by encouraging production and investment.
– At the other end, has to see that taxpayers’ money is not
eroded by hyperinflation.
– Thus government has to act as the balancing force between
consumers and sellers.
106
Measuring Inflation
• A price index is a numerical measure designed to
compare how the prices of some class of goods and/or
services, taken as a whole, differ between time periods
or geographical locations. (prices of the base year are
assumed to be equal to 100.)
108
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
109
Inflation and Employment
• A. W. H. Philips studied the relationship between unemployment
and rate of changes in money wages in UK, taking statistics for a
period from 1862 to 1957.
• Philips postulated that the lower the rate of unemployment, the
higher is the rate of change of wages.
• labours accept jobs at lower pay if they are unemployed and
firms are more willing to hire due to low wages.
• But this effect dissipates as inflation becomes more expected
with workers demanding higher wages and firms being less
willing to hire.
• the objectives of low unemployment and low rate of inflation
may be inconsistent.
• Hence the government must choose between the feasible
combinations of unemployment and inflation.
110
Philips’ Curve
Δ P/P ΔW/W
8 10
Annual 6 8
Price Annual
Rise % 4 Philips’ 6
Wage
curve 4 Rise %
2
O 2
2 4 6 8 1
Unemploymen
t%
• Demand pull inflation refers to the effects of falling unemployment rates
(rising real national income) in the curve.
• Cost push inflation and built in inflation will lead to shifts in the Phillips
curve.
111
Control of Inflation
• Inflation erodes the value of money and
discourages savings
• But zero inflation is undesirable
• Need to control inflation
– monetary policy measures (proposed by those
who believed money supply is the major
culprit)
– fiscal policy measures (proposed by Keynes
and his followers).
– Other measures
• The government has to adopt an appropriate
combination of these measures after thorough
examination of the causes of inflation 112
Monetary Policy Measures
• Increasing the discount rate: The central bank rediscounts
the eligible papers offered by commercial banks. This is also
called bank rate.
• Loans less attractive & deposits more attractive for the public
• Higher reserve ratios:
• Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) – liquid cash with RBI
• Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR)-CASH, GOLD &
SECURITIES
• Open market operations: directly sell government securities
to public and restrain their disposable income.
• Sale of securities takes away money from public and also
reduces credit creation capacity of banks
• Selective credit control: discourages consumption but not
investment eg:sugar market
113
114
Monetary policy of India
Indicators During Jan 2019 During Dec 2019
118
Business Cycle
Shows the periodic up and down movements in
economic activities.
Economic activities measured in terms of
production, employment and income move in a
cyclical manner over a period of time.
Cyclical movement is characterized by
alternative waves of expansion and contraction.
Associated with alternate periods of prosperity
and depression.
119
Characteristics of Business Cycles
Periodicity
Wavelike movements in income and employment occur at intervals of
6 to 12 years.
Gap between two cycles is not regular or predictable with certainty.
Synchronism
Impact is all embracing, i.e. large sections of the economy experience
the same phase.
Happens because of interdependence of various sectors of the
economy.
Self Reinforcing
Due to interdependence in the economy, cyclical movements faced by
one sector spread to other sectors in the economy; and from one
economy to other economies.
Thus the upward swing of the cycle is reinforced for further upward
movement and vice versa.
120
Phases of Business Cycle
Pea G
GNP Ck D Expansi Four phases:
(%) on G Expansion, B to C
Expansio
’
n Peak, (Boom) C to D
Contracti
E F Contraction D to E
on
G (recession),
Contracti A B
Trough A to B / EF
on
Troug (depression)
h Time Unit
(years)
• Time gap between two bouts of trough (from B to E) or peaks (from D to G)
can vary between 6 to 12 years.
• For 3 to 5 years, the economy experiences growth, then for another 3 to 5
years, it faces contraction or recession.
• GG’ is the steady growth line, to show that the general trend is that of growth.
121
Phases of Business Cycle
Expansion: when all macro economic variables like output,
employment, income and consumption increase.
Prices move up, money supply increases, self reinforcing
feature of business cycle pushes the economy upward.
Peak: the highest point of growth; referred to as boom.
Stage beyond which no further expansion is possible,
Sees the downward turning point.
Contraction: means the slowing down process of all economic
activities – Recession (When investment reduces, production
slow down, thus increase of unemployment and reducing income
and consumption)
Trough/Slump/depression: the lowest ebb of economic cycle.
Followed by the next turning point in the cycle, when new
growth process starts afresh.
122
Causes of Business Cycles
125
Controlling Business Cycles
At Government Level
Monetary Measures: Central bank uses methods of credit control.
Rediscount rate:
Expansion: increase the rediscount rate to curb money supply
Recession: reduce the rate to increase money supply.
Reserve ratios:
Expansion: the ratios are increased so that banks are left with less cash
to be extended as credit
Recession: the ratios are decreased so that banks can extend easy
credit.
Two major reserve ratios are SLR and CRR
Open market operations:
Expansion: sells securities and takes away disposable income from
people.
Recession: buys securities to give more in the hands of people
Selective credit control:
Banks are advised to extend credit to certain areas, while restrict to
certain other areas. 126
Controlling Business Cycles
Fiscal Measures
Public expenditure
Expansion: Government reduces expenditure to curtail
demand
Recession: Government increases expenditure on various
activities like health, transport, communication, etc., thus
income of individuals increases; this in turn increases
aggregate demand.
Public revenue
Expansion: An increase in taxes takes away portion of
people’s money income and thus brings down aggregate
demand.
Recession: It is desirable that governments reduce taxes.
An appropriate combination of these measures is adopted after
thorough examination of the causes of business cycles. 127
References
• “Economics and Management for Engineers”, Complied by
Department of Management Studies, Kongu Engineering
College, McGraw-Hill Education, India, 2013.
• Geetika, Piyali Ghosh and Purba Roy Choudhury, “Managerial
Economics”, 1st Edition, Tata McGraw-Hill, New Delhi, 2008.
• Jain S.P., Narang K.L. and Simi Agrawal, “Accounting for
Management”, 1st Edition, Tata McGraw-Hill, New Delhi,
2009.
• Stanley L. Brue and Campbell R. Mcconnell, “Essentials of
Economics”, Tata McGraw-Hill, New Delhi, 2007.
• Jeff Madura, “Fundamentals of Business”, Cengage Learning
Inc., India, 2007.
128