AccuWeather forecasters monitoring active Atlantic

AccuWeather

The peak of hurricane season is less than two weeks away, and there are multiple storms and tropical waves that are tracking across the Atlantic basin.

Transcript

00:00 Well, plenty of storms and systems that

00:02 we're tracking in the Atlantic Basin.

00:04 Boy, we've had a flurry of activity

00:06 over the last couple of weeks.

00:08 We're still tracking tropical rainstorm.

00:10 Edalia we have Franklin.

00:11 We have Jose.

00:12 We have Gert and look at their

00:15 all in the Central Atlantic.

00:18 All moving to the north and northeast

00:20 away from the United States,

00:21 although we'll have to keep an eye on it.

00:23 Dahlia were also tracking tropical waves.

00:25 This could be a storm as well.

00:27 This is about 2530 degrees.

00:29 West this will be heading north

00:30 and West as well.

00:32 This could be our next storm.

00:34 Weak tropical waves in the Caribbean.

00:36 Not really going to develop much again.

00:38 We're going to keep an eye on Edalia.

00:40 It's a tropical rainstorm right now.

00:42 It may strengthen a little bit as

00:44 we head toward the weekend as we

00:47 talked about this yesterday.

00:48 We were worried that is something

00:50 whether it's a tropical rainstorm

00:51 or a storm would try to come back

00:54 toward the United States maybe late

00:55 next week will keep an eye on it.

00:58 I do believe there will be a turn toward

01:00 the Northeast United States late next week.

01:02 At some point I think it either

01:04 weekends that there's nothing left

01:06 or it will start to get steered to

01:08 the Northeast over the weekend,

01:09 so we'll certainly keep an eye on it.

01:12 I'm keeping an eye on this.

01:13 This is what's going on in the Atlantic

01:16 right now while we are looking at storms,

01:18 I think we're going through a period

01:20 of active rest in the Atlantic from

01:22 now through September 10th.

01:23 What do I mean by that?

01:25 Well,

01:25 there's a lot of dry air in

01:27 the Atlantic right now,

01:28 so this is going to shut down production.

01:30 I think at least for the next couple of days,

01:33 at least near the United States.

01:35 So with all this dry air and wind share,

01:37 I'm not expecting any impacts

01:39 into the United States.

01:40 Landfalling storms at least

01:41 through September 10th.

01:42 That's a big statement to make in

01:44 the middle of the hurricane season.

01:46 We're in the heart of the hurricane season now.

01:48 I don't think there's any US

01:50 impacts until the 10th,

01:51 but it's active because I think

01:53 there's going to be storms developing,

01:55 certainly in the eastern and central Atlantic,

01:57 but nothing that will head toward the

01:59 United States at least through the 10th.

02:01 This is the system to watch.

02:03 It is coming off Africa later today.

02:06 This I believe will strengthen

02:07 into a hurricane next week as it

02:10 continues to move to the West,

02:12 probably mid the late week.

02:13 It should strengthen into a hurricane.

02:15 I will say this development in the

02:17 eastern Atlantic is a crapshoot sometimes,

02:20 but I don't what I see in the eastern

02:22 and central Atlantic next week is all

02:25 that dry air that we've seen building

02:27 that this week will start to erode away.

02:29 You're going to get lessening

02:31 wind shear, so low wind shear.

02:33 So that's why I feel pretty confident

02:35 this will be a hurricane and it will

02:37 approach the lesser until each Friday

02:39 and the Saturday now US impacts

02:41 cannot be ruled out with this system.

02:43 This is the one to watch,

02:45 but we're not talking until like

02:46 the 14th or 15th of September,

02:48 so we're talking about two weeks.

02:50 We're giving you an update.

02:51 We're giving you kind of an alert

02:54 that we're not looking at.

02:55 Let me show you where I think this

02:57 system is going to go and this is

03:00 typical tracks here.

03:01 I believe we're going to have that

03:03 storm developing mid to late next week.

03:05 And then where does it go?

03:07 A track north of 2060.

03:09 That's this point I've highlighted

03:10 here and into the Atlantic tells

03:12 me that odds favor this system

03:14 staying east of the United States.

03:16 Now,

03:16 how can I make that bold and sassy

03:18 statement this early 'cause I do

03:20 think by the 14th or 15th we're

03:22 going to have a trough coming

03:23 down and I don't know if it gets

03:26 this far north it should be steered

03:28 away from the US of course will

03:29 keep an eye on it but a more

03:31 southern track then would put this

03:33 in the Caribbean so then you miss

03:35 this trough and then there's room

03:37 for this system to head toward

03:38 the United States.

03:39 Now many things could happen here,

03:41 but I do feel as if a more southern

03:43 track into the Caribbean would

03:45 actually increase at least the

03:47 possibility of US impacts.

03:48 Now we're way ahead of the game on this,

03:50 so we have time to track it here,

03:52 but I want to let you know as I go back.

03:55 In the tropics,

03:56 this is the system to watch for.

04:00 For US impacts,

04:00 this is the one as we get

04:02 in the mid September.

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