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Disclosure Alpha

Extracting Signal from Regulatory Disclosure

Quantified risk signals from regulatory text — ten component scores and YoY change detection, built for research and screening workflows.

LIVE_STREAM_ENGINE::SEC_FEED
overall_disclosure_risk_score 0.0
score_coverage_ratio 0.00
components_present 0 / 9
form_type 10-K
Processing filing deterministic_scoring_v2
zsh
$ pip install "disclosure-alpha"

No LLM

Deterministic only

Apache-2.0

Open source

One Pipeline, Five Surfaces

CLI, Python SDK, HTTP API, OpenBB Workspace, and MCP all call the same pipeline. No LLM. Fully reproducible given the same version strings and input text.

DETERMINISTIC_PIPELINE::v1
deterministic_scoring_v2

Nine weighted components

Fixed weights in deterministic_scoring_v2 · ten computed scores (nine headline-weighted)

Item 1A · Risk factors

20%

Risk-factor tone & volatility

risk_factor_intensity_score

YoY section diff · diff

15%

Year-over-year disclosure change

disclosure_change_score diff-only

Item 7 · MD&A

15%

MD&A uncertainty & demand stress

mdna_uncertainty_score

Item 1A · Risk factors

10%

Boilerplate & vague risk language

boilerplate_risk_score

Score scale

0–25 Low concern 26–50 Moderate 51–75 Elevated 76–100 High

Same bands as ticker scores

See all nine headline components ↗ · Score catalog ↗

Quickstart

Score your first 10-K

QUICKSTART::CLI

Install · SEC User-Agent · score

zsh

$ pip install "disclosure-alpha"

$ export SEC_USER_AGENT="YourName [email protected]"

$ disclosure-alpha score --ticker AAPL --fiscal-year 2025 --form 10-K

stdout · JSON
{
  "scores": {
    "overall_disclosure_risk_score": 20.715309784688994,
    "score_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "confidence_score": 0.935,
    "missing_components": [],
    "components": {
      "risk_factor_intensity_score": 9.2,
      "boilerplate_risk_score": 63.60373333333333,
      "tone_negativity_score": 1.07305,
      "legal_regulatory_risk_score": 20.633990909090908,
      "mdna_uncertainty_score": 20.859258333333333,
      "liquidity_stress_score": 0.6560545454545454,
      "disclosure_change_score": 31.55271,
      "event_severity_score": 6.8,
      "internal_controls_risk_score": 21.894373333333334
    }
  },
  "versions": {
    "parser_version": "section_extractor_v1",
    "metrics_engine_version": "text_metrics_v4",
    "scoring_model_version": "deterministic_scoring_v2",
    "dictionary_version": "built_in_dictionaries_v3"
  }
}

AAPL FY2025 10-K precompute · same schema from CLI, SDK, and API

Example output

AAPL FY2025 10-K score breakdown

Precomputed from the validation corpus with deterministic_scoring_v2. Same JSON schema from CLI, Python SDK, HTTP API, and MCP.

AAPL · FY2025 · 10-K

overall_disclosure_risk_score

20.7

Low concern · Q4 vs S&P 500 FY2025 (p62)

score_coverage_ratio
1.00
confidence_score
0.94
components_present
9 / 9

Artifact versions

parser_version
section_extractor_v1
metrics_engine_version
text_metrics_v4
scoring_model_version
deterministic_scoring_v2
dictionary_version
built_in_dictionaries_v3

Nine headline-weighted components

Risk-factor tone & volatility

risk_factor_intensity_score · 20%

9.2

Boilerplate & vague risk language

boilerplate_risk_score · 10%

63.6

Cross-section negative tone

tone_negativity_score · 5%

1.1

Legal & regulatory risk language

legal_regulatory_risk_score · 10%

20.6

MD&A uncertainty & demand stress

mdna_uncertainty_score · 15%

20.9

Liquidity & covenant stress

liquidity_stress_score · 10%

0.7

Year-over-year disclosure change

disclosure_change_score · diff · 15%

31.6

Material event severity

event_severity_score · diff · 5%

6.8

Internal controls weakness signals

internal_controls_risk_score · 5%

21.9

specificity_quality_score

Returned but excluded from headline weights (higher = more specific)

7.0
0–25 Low concern 26–50 Moderate 51–75 Elevated 76–100 High

Corpus median 19.4 · n=502 S&P 500 FY2025 10-K filings. See distribution →

Research-Backed, Honestly Scoped

Tested on real S&P 500 filings

Automated validation on FY2025 Item 1A risk-factor text from the S&P 500 universe — not a toy sample.

478

Firms after quality filters (universe n=503)

Specificity metric matches an independent check

Filings we rank as more company-specific tend to rank the same way on a separate NER-based check — strongest construct check in the current release.

ρ ≈ 0.87

Spearman rank correlation vs NER entity density (n=478)

Boilerplate metric matches an independent check

Filings we rank as more boilerplate-heavy tend to rank the same way on a Lang & Stice-Lawrence-style literature proxy.

ρ ≈ 0.92

Spearman rank correlation vs ls_boilerplate_word_ratio on boilerplate_combined_ratio (text_metrics_v4, n=478); phrase-only v3 ≈0.74

Higher risk scores linked to higher post-filing volatility

Top-quintile firms by disclosure risk had modestly higher 90-day realized volatility than the bottom quintile. Association only — not return prediction.

Q5/Q1 ≈ 1.15

Top vs bottom quintile, 90-day window, n=435

  • Not investment advice or a trading signal
  • Not a substitute for reading the filing
  • Construct checks (n=478, Item 1A metrics) and vol association (n=435, overall_disclosure_risk_score) use different cohorts
  • Boilerplate validation correlates with an LS-style proxy — not a full replication of the Lang & Stice-Lawrence paper measure
  • Earnings-surprise prediction is not claimed
  • deterministic_scoring_v1 and v2 headline scales are not directly comparable

Start scoring filings in minutes

Python 3.11+. Install from PyPI. Set your SEC User-Agent. Score your first 10-K.