Transmission Network Performance Report: Fiscal Year 2008
Transmission Network Performance Report: Fiscal Year 2008
CD4369 (6/08)
25 Research Drive
Westborough, MA 01582
www.nationalgrid.com
National Grid US Transmission
0 Contents
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Contents
RELIABILITY
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Reliability
1 Reliability
1.1 Introduction
The overall performance of the system in FY2008 was, for the most part, in-
line with the five-year averages for most metrics, but with a significant
increase in outages compared to the previous year. This is reflective of a
year that was considerably stormier than the previous one. The number of
lightning ground strokes in the transmission system’s areas of operation (a
good indicator of overall storminess) was nearly 48% higher in FY2008 than
during FY2007. Two key customer impact metrics Loss of Supply and
Losses of Generation were also up compared to the five-year average.
Table 1-2 shows some other selected performance statistics for FY2008. All
of these results were very similar to the previous fiscal year and five-year
averages. It is notable that over half of the circuits on the system did not
experience any disturbances at all during the year.
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Reliability
Figure 1-1 plots the cumulative system disturbances by month for FY2008,
FY2007 and the previous five-year average. The chart shows that FY2008
tracked closer to the five-year average than the previous fiscal year, which
was considerably lower. Note the steeper slope June through August. The
system experiences over half of the year’s disturbances in just these three
months.
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
The next two charts show the intra-year trends for disturbances for FY2008.
The first chart, Figure 1-2 shows the regional disturbances by week during
the year. The New England region is green and New York, blue. The
peaking of disturbances through the summer is clearer on this chart. There
are also several spikes during weeks when there were exceptional storms.
The worst week of the year occurred in July, when there were a series of
severe thunderstorms that worked through both regions of the transmission
system. Note also the several storm days in January and early February in
New York that caused a high number of disturbances for those weeks.
60
55
Thunderstorms
50 7/9/07 & 7/10/07
New York
45 Buffalo wind/ice
snowstorm storm
40 1/30/08 2/6/08
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
New England New York
Figure 1-3, a plot of disturbances by type and month, clearly indicates the
higher than normal activity in January, which had 50% more disturbances
than the five-year average, due to the several storms that month.
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Momentaries Sustains
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Reliability
The metric used to track the total disturbances rate is TSAIFI (the total
number of disturbances per circuit-year). The FY2008 result for this metric
was 1.17, indicating there was, on average, slightly more than one
disturbance per circuit over the year. The actual break-down of disturbances
for the year was 374 momentaries and 262 sustained.
Figure 1-4 below plots the results for this metric for the past nine years.
There long-term trend of disturbances is slightly lowering, though there is a
large amount of variability from year to year.
1.35
1.25
1.15
1.05
0.95
0.85
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
TSAIFI Trend
This section discusses the most prevalent type of system disturbance, those
that are momentary (a trip and reclose operation where the total outage
duration is less than or equal to one minute) in nature. There were 374
momentary disturbances on the system in FY2008, which was slightly fewer
than the five-year average of 380, but 26% higher than the previous year’s
result of 298.
1.00
0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
TSAIFI Trend
Our research into the largest category of causes of momentaries, those that
we were unable to identify a definitive cause for, found that over two-thirds
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Reliability
Other 7%
Syst. Protection Equip.
External 2% 3%
Vegetation 2% Line Equip. 4%
Weather 9%
Unknown
39%
Lightning
27%
900
800
700
Total Strokes (thousands)
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Fiscal Years
Total Strokes NE NY trend
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
TSAIFI Trend
The break-down of sustained outage causes over the past five years, on
Figure 1-9 on the following page, does not show any one category to be
driving these events. A comparison of one-year and year-to-year trends also
does not reveal any one outage category as a driver.
The three equipment problem categories (Substation Equipment, System
Protection Equipment & Line Equipment) make up about 42% of the
sustained outage causes, which is to be expected.
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Reliability
Configuration
2%
Other Substation Equip. 15%
14%
External
12%
Weather
Unknown
3%
12% Lightning
5%
TSAIDI
310.0
290.0
270.0
250.0
230.0
210.0
190.0
170.0
150.0
130.0
110.0
90.0
70.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
UST UST Trend
This section examines the percentage of the time that system circuits were
available for the transmission of electricity. The first section deals with the
availability of circuits after disturbances are accounted for, and the second
section looks at the total availability of system circuits when considering
both automatic and planned outages.
The UST metric that has been used for measuring availability after
unplanned outages are accounted for is the Index of Transmission
Reliability (ITR). It is the percentage of the specified time period that the
system was available for the transmission of electricity after the total
duration of unplanned outages is accounted for.
100.000%
99.980%
99.960%
99.940%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Index of Transmission Reliability Trend
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Reliability
Total availability takes both unplanned and planned outage durations into
account. But of the two, the overwhelming majority of the outage duration is
due to planned outages. Availability last year was higher than the previous
year, and at about the five-year average.
CUSTOMERS
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Customers
2 Customers
There were 39 LOG events in FY08 over the whole system. This was up
sharply from the previous year and was above the five-year average. An
examination of these events over the past five years found that about 60%
were the result of momentary disturbances and most of the events (83%)
occurred on 115 kV circuits.
Weather
8%
Unknown
19%
Lightning
25%
The leading cause of LOG events over the past five years has been
lightning strikes on the system. Lightning and other storm-related causes
make up about 45% of the cause break-down. Note that our analysis of
“Unknown” events found that 2/3 of these occurs during storms.
There were 74 LOS events in FY08, which was higher than the previous
year and 16% above the five-year average. The average number of
customers interrupted by each event was 4064 for an average duration of
71 minutes. This compares somewhat favorably to the five-year averages of
5200 customers interrupted for an average duration of 80 minutes. But the
averages don’t accurately describe the impact of LOS events.
Our analysis of all LOS events over the past nine years (the extent of our
data) found that half of the events had a relatively moderate impact; < 1000
customers interrupted for < 30 minutes, while a small number of the most
significant events (8%) accounted for most of the Lost Customer Minutes
(Number of customers interrupted times the duration, in minutes).
Table 7-3 on the following page lists the most significant customer impact
LOS events that occurred in FY2008. These five events account for 75% of
the total Lost Customer Minutes for the year.
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Customers
Approximately 22,660
A high-amp lightning strike on
J16 customers were
the H17 circuit resulted in the
07/30/07 Riverside - interrupted for an
Riverside 879 disconnect
Staples average duration of
switch failing on one phase.
60 minutes
Approximately 4,500
Locked out during severe
customers were
Spier - thunderstorm. An open loop
07/10/07 interrupted for an
Rotterdam #2 was found at the Ballston
average duration of
substation tap.
240 minutes
Configuration
3%
Other Substation Equip. 11%
13%
System Protection
Equip. 2%
Vegetation
14%
Unknown
14%
Lightning Weather
6% 5%
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Development
DEVELOPMENT
3 Development
National Grid wants to provide excellent customer service. To that end, the
company will operate, maintain and invest in our transmission networks to
meet our obligations and to minimize the risk of supply interruption. This
section outlines some of the current activities the company has undertaken
to achieve this.
Figure 3-1 shows the major projects undertaken in New England this past
fiscal year. The notations on the system map are a relative indication of
where the circuit is geographically located and not necessarily the location
of the construction. The projects outlined include reconfigurations,
installation of new conductors, repair and replacement of structures, and
replacement of other equipment.
I135N
W149N C203
W149S D204 G133W
B154N
C155N
S145
F132 I161 339
J136S T146
A179
Q169
A53
B54
N14 O15 U2
O15S R144
331
G185S
L190
1870N
1870
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Development
Figure 3-2 shows the bigger projects undertaken in New York this past fiscal
year. The projects outlined include reconfigurations, installation of new
conductors, repair and replacement of structures, and replacement of other
equipment.
T3170
T3280
T3030
T3080
T2350
T2720
T1490 T1540
T1530 T1550
T5750
T1500
T4070
T4210
T1260
T1270
T1280
T1
This program was initiated several years ago to perform the analyses and
develop the strategies necessary to define the investments in the system
required to improve the overall reliability. This phase of the program was
completed this year, when the comprehensive reviews of the asset condition
in both New York and New England were completed. The implementation
phase of the program has begun. The plan is the guideline for major
increases in capital investment in the system over the next decades.
The National Grid Five Year Statement, 2008-2012 provides insights into
generation development and transmission system loadings and limitations
across the New York and New England regions. It also provides information
on the impacts of some proposed transmission projects on transmission
congestion, and provides indications of where market prices for electricity
may be higher or lower than the regional average. This report is available
upon request.
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Feedback
4.1 Feedback
Bill Malee
Manager, Transmission Commercial Services
National Grid
25 Research Drive
Westboro, MA 01582
phone: 508 389 2062
Email: [email protected]
The following tables contain the system statistics used for calculation of the
various normalized metrics in this report. These counts are for the end of
FY2008. Note that these are the data that OPR uses in its performance
analysis and are not the official statement of circuits or mileage. The official
counts are contained within the Power System Statement.
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Feedback
The total length of a designated circuit in miles. This would be the sum of all
Circuit-Mile
the span lengths (pole, tower, etc.), in a given circuit, including taps.
A catastrophic event occurs, such as a natural disaster (eg. Ice Storm), which
results in sustained transmission disturbances where:
a. Restoration crews were assigned to related storm duty for greater than 48
Major Event hours.
b. Extensive damage to the transmission power system
c. More than a specified number of customers simultaneously out of service (i.e.
in line with the associated Distribution state-related regulatory requirements)
The point at which 50% of systems (or circuits) perform at or above and 50%
Median
perform at or below.
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Feedback
The total time a circuit is not available for power flow to an interconnection,
Outage delivery point or between two or more terminals. The duration is measured in
Duration minutes and is the time difference from when a circuit is interrupted from normal
power flow to when it is restored to normal power flow.
Q1 (First The top quartile, the range in which the best-performing 25% of systems (or
Quartile) circuits) perform.
Q2 (Second The range below the First Quartile and above the Median containing the
Quartile) second-tier 25% of systems (or circuits).
Q3 (Third The range below the Median and above the Fourth Quartile containing the
Quartile) third-tier 25% of systems (or circuits).
Q4 (Fourth The bottom quartile, the range in which the worst-performing 25% of systems
Quartile) (or circuits) perform.
A point where transmission line conductors terminate and they are connected
to one or more sectionalizing devices. The purpose of the terminal is to isolate
Terminal
the given circuit. Typically, a terminal would be in a substation or switch station,
where sectionalizing devices are also connected to a station bus or transformer.
A voltage level used for analysis purposes, by grouping together circuits with a
Voltage Class
common transmission voltage for transmission performance reporting.
Lost Customer Minutes: A transmission customer impact metric that is the product
of the customers interrupted multiplied by their interruption durations, in minutes.
LCM Usually multiple feeders are involved with differing interruption durations. In these
cases, the LCM is the sum of the products of the same calculation as above for each
feeder. Often expressed as MLCM (Millions of LCM)
Transmission System Average Interruption Duration Index. The total duration of all
TSAIDI the disturbance outages in a given period divided by the number circuit-years in the
period.
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National Grid Performance Report
FY2008 Feedback
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