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Solution Project Management

The document summarizes the critical path for a project with 11 jobs. It identifies the critical path as jobs 1 → 3 → 6 → 8 → 9 → 11, with an expected completion time of 26.83 days. It calculates the variance and standard deviation for the project duration and finds the probability of completing the project within 30 days is 91.14%.

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wandy ramdany
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41 views2 pages

Solution Project Management

The document summarizes the critical path for a project with 11 jobs. It identifies the critical path as jobs 1 → 3 → 6 → 8 → 9 → 11, with an expected completion time of 26.83 days. It calculates the variance and standard deviation for the project duration and finds the probability of completing the project within 30 days is 91.14%.

Uploaded by

wandy ramdany
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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SOLUTION

1 - Network diagram

2 - Critical path.

Where slack is zero is the critical path.

Critical Path: 1  3  6  8  9  11

JOB a b c Activity Duration ES EF LS LF Slack Variance


NO. (DAYS)
1 2 3 4 (2+4*3+4)/6 = 3 0 3 0 3 0 σ2 = (2 – 4)2/36=
0.111
2 1 2 3 (1+4*2+3)/6 = 2 3 5 6 8 3 0.111
3 4 5 12 (4+4*5+12)/6 = 6 3 9 3 9 0 1.778
4 3 4 11 (3+4*4+11)/6 = 5 3 8 7 12 4 1.778
5 1 3 5 (1+4*3+5)/6 = 3 5 8 8 11 3 0.444
6 1 2 3 (1+4*2+3)/6 = 2 9 11 9 11 0 0.111
7 1 8 9 (1+4*8+9)/6 = 7 8 15 12 19 4 1.778
8 2 4 6 (2+4*4+6)/6 = 4 11 15 11 15 0 0.444
9 2 4 12 (2+4*4+12)/6 = 5 15 20 15 20 0 2.778
10 3 4 5 (3+4*4+5)/6 = 4 15 19 16 20 1 0.111
11 5 7 8 (5+4*7+8)/6 = 6.83 20 26.83 20 26.83 0 0.25

3 - What is the expected completion time for the project?

The duration of the project is:

3+6+2+4+5+6.83 = 26.83 Days

4. (1) Reduce job 5 by two days – I will not choose


(2) Reduce job 3 by two days - I will not choose

(3) Reduce job 7 by two days - I will not choose

**This is because the amount saved is less than the additional cost incurred all the three
options above.

5. Sum critical path variances: 0.111+1.778 + 0.111 + 0.444 + 2.778 +0.25 = 5.472

Standard Dev. = √(5.472) = 2.339

𝟑𝟎 − 𝟐𝟔. 𝟖𝟑
𝒛= = 𝟏. 𝟑𝟓
𝟐. 𝟑𝟑𝟗

From the Distribution Table, the probability at z = 1.35 is 0.91149

This translates to 91.14%

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