2017-DSE
MATH EP
M1
LONGMAN MATHEMATICS SERIES Candidate Number
HONG KONG DIPLOMA OF SECONDARY EDUCATION EXAMINATION
2017 Class
MOCK PAPER
Class Number
MATHEMATICS Extended Part
Module 1 (Calculus and Statistics)
Question-Answer Book
Time allowed: 2 hours 30 minutes
This paper must be answered in English.
INSTRUCTIONS
1. After the announcement of the start of the examination,
you should first write your Candidate Number, Class and
Class Number in the spaces provided.
2. This paper consists of Section A and Section B. Answer
ALL questions in this paper.
3. Do not write in the margins. Answers written in the
margins will not be marked.
4. Unless otherwise specified, all working must be clearly
shown.
5. Unless otherwise specified, numerical answers must be
either exact or given to 4 decimal places.
6. The diagrams in this paper are not necessarily drawn to
scale.
2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 1
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Section A (50 marks)
1. Let X and Y be two events such that P ( X Y ) 0.57 , P (Y | X ) 0.2 and
P ( X ) 0 .4 .
(a) Find P ( X Y ) and P(Y).
(b) Are X and Y independent? Explain your answer.
(5 marks)
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2. The table below shows the probability distribution of a discrete random variable
X, where a and b are constants.
x 1 2 4 5 7 8
P( X x) a 0.23 0.25 0.3 b 0.05 It
is
given that E ( X ) 4.13 .
(a) Find the values of a and b.
(b) Find E[( 4 3 X ) 2 ] and Var (4 3 X ) .
(6 marks)
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3. On any school day, Peter takes one of the three bus routes R 1 , R 2 and R 3 to school with
probabilities 0.5, 0.3 and 0.2 respectively. From past experience, the probabilities that
Peter is late for school when he takes routes R 1 , R 2 and R 3 are 0.1, 0.2 and 0.3 respectively.
(a) Given that Peter is late for school on a certain day, find the probability that he has
taken route R 3 .
(b) Peter is late for school on five school days, find the probability that he has taken
either route R 1 or R 2 in at least two of the days.
(6 marks)
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4. In a random sample of 120 citizens, 32 of them agree with the arrangement of universal suffrage
proposed by the government. Let p be the proportion of the citizens who agree with the
government’s arrangement.
(a) Find an approximate 95% confidence interval for p.
(b) Someone claims that at least 95 citizens are required in the sample so that the width
of the 90% confidence interval for p is less than 0.15. Do you agree? Explain your
answer.
(7 marks)
5. Let k be a positive constant.
2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 5
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(a) Expand e kx in ascending powers of x as far as the term in x 2 .
(b) It is given that the coefficient of x 2 in the expansion of e kx ( 2 3 x) 7 is 14 368.
Find the coefficient of x.
(6 marks)
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x 3
5
6. Let f ( x) , where x > –3.
x3
(a) (i) If 5 x e y , express y in terms of x.
(ii) Find f ( x ) dx .
(b) The equation of the curve C is y f (x) . Find the exact value of the area of the region
bounded by C and the x-axis between x = 1 and x = 6.
(6 marks)
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1 1
7. Consider the curve C: y x( 4 x 1) 2 , where x .
4
dy
(a) Find .
dx
(b) Someone claims that there is only one tangent to C which is perpendicular to the
straight line 3 x 13 y 2 0 . Do you agree? Explain your answer.
(7 marks)
2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 8
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8. A researcher models the rate of change of the population of a city by
2
dN 1 t
e ke t ,
dt 10
where N (in millions) is the population of the city, t ( 0) is the time measured in months from
the start of the research. It is known that the rate of change of the population
ln 19
of the city increased to the maximum value at t .
2
(a) Find the value of k.
(b) If the population of the city is 1 million at the beginning of the research, express
N in terms of t.
(7 marks)
2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 9
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Section B (50 marks)
9. In a supermarket, the waiting time (in minutes) of a customer at the cashier follows a normal
distribution with mean and standard deviation . From a random sample of
16 customers, a 95% confidence interval for is found to be (1.74, 5.66).
(a) (i) Find the value of .
(ii) Find the mean of the sample.
(3 marks)
(b) Another sample of 9 customers is randomly selected and their waiting times (in
minutes) in the cashier are recorded as follows:
3.4 4.2 4.4 3.5 3.8 4.1 4.0 4.2 3.9
The two samples are then combined. Construct a 99% confidence interval for
using the combined sample.
(3 marks)
(c) Suppose that = 3.8.
(i) Find the probability that the waiting time of a randomly chosen customer
is
less than 4.2 minutes.
(ii) Find the probability that the 5th randomly chosen customer is the 3rd one
whose waiting time is less than 4.2 minutes.
(iii) A random sample of m customers is taken. If the probability that the sample
mean of the waiting time of these m customers is
greater than 4.2 minutes is
at most 0.33, find the minimum value of m.
(6 marks)
2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 10
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2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 11
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10. The number of customers visiting a bagel store in a minute follows a Poisson distribution with
mean 3.8. The probability distribution of the number of bagels bought by a customer in the
bagel store is shown in the following table.
Number of bagels bought 1 2 3 4 5 6
Probability 0.1 0.18 0.3 0.24 0.1 0.08
Assume that the numbers of bagels bought by customers are independent.
(a) Find the probability that fewer than 5 customers visit the bagel store in a certain minute.
(2 marks)
(b) Find the probability that 4 customers visit the bagel store in a certain minute and
exactly 3 of them buy more than 3 bagels.
(3 marks)
(c) Given that fewer than 5 customers visit the bagel store in a certain minute, find the
probability that exactly 3 of them buy more than 3 bagels.
(2 marks)
(d) The manager of the bagel store launches a promotion programme to increase sales.
Customers who buy more than 3 bagels can participate in a game. In the game,
there is a box containing 7 balls numbered 1, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3 and 5 respectively. Three balls
are drawn randomly from the box without replacement. If the sum of the numbers on the
balls drawn is at least 9, the customer wins a cash coupon.
(i) Find the probability that among 4 customers who participate in the game,
exactly 3 of them win a cash coupon from the game.
(ii) Find the probability that fewer than 5 customers visit the bagel store in a
certain minute and exactly 3 of them win a cash coupon from the game.
(6 marks)
2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 12
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11. The number of participants in a fund-raising programme is given by P(t) (in thousands) for
0 t 15 , where t is the number of days since the start of the programme. The rate of change
of the number of participants can be modelled by P' (t ) A(t 4)e kt , where A and k are
non-zero real constants.
P' (t )
(a) Express ln as a linear function of t.
t4
(1 mark)
(b) It is given that the slope and the intercept on the horizontal axis of the graph of the
linear function obtained in (a) are –0.25 and 4ln2.5 respectively.
(i) Find the values of A and k.
(ii) Can the rate of change of P’(t) exceed 11 thousands/day? Explain your
answer.
(6 marks)
d
(c) (i) Evaluate (t 4)e nt , where n is a non-zero constant.
dt
e nt (t 4)e nt
(ii) Hence, show that (t 4)e nt dt
n2
n
C , where C is a constant.
(iii) It is known that there are 1000 participants at the beginning of the fund-raising
programme. The organizer of the programme claims that there will be more
than 75 000 participants 15 days after the programme
starts. Do you agree? Using the result in (b), explain your
answer.
(6 marks)
2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 15
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2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 16
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12. A financial analyst models the rate of change of monthly profit (in thousand dollars) made by
company A by
340 ln(2t 1)
P (t ) ,
( 2t 1) 2
where t (1 t 11) is the time measured in months.
(a) (i) Using the trapezoidal rule with 5 sub-intervals, estimate the total profit made
by company A from t = 1 to t = 11.
d 2 P (t )
(ii) Find . Hence, determine whether the estimate in (a)(i) is an
dt 2
over-estimate or an under-estimate.
(6 marks)
(b) The financial analyst also models the rate of change of monthly profit (in thousand
dollars) made by company B by
Q (t ) t t 4 ,
where t (1 t 11) is the time measured in months.
(i) Find the total profit made by company B from t = 1 to t = 11.
(ii) The financial analyst claims that the total profit made by company B from t = 1
to t = 11 is at least twice that of company A. Do you agree? Explain your
answer.
(6 marks)
2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 17
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2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 18
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END OF PAPER
2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 19
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2017-DSE-MATH-EP(M1) 20
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