Thanks to visit codestin.com
Credit goes to www.scribd.com

Scribd
Upload
94 views3 pages

EEE 598: Power System Reliability Homework #2 Please Submit Your Homework Through Canvas Course Website

The two-bus power system has two identical generators that can each supply 100MW. The failure and repair rates for the generators and transmission line are given. The mean time to first failure of the system is calculated to be 52.381 days by analyzing the state transition diagram and transition rate matrix of the system. The steady state probabilities of each state are determined and used to calculate the mean up time as the inverse of the sum of failure rates out of the up states, weighted by the steady state probabilities.

Uploaded by

Engr Umer Cheema
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
94 views3 pages

EEE 598: Power System Reliability Homework #2 Please Submit Your Homework Through Canvas Course Website

The two-bus power system has two identical generators that can each supply 100MW. The failure and repair rates for the generators and transmission line are given. The mean time to first failure of the system is calculated to be 52.381 days by analyzing the state transition diagram and transition rate matrix of the system. The steady state probabilities of each state are determined and used to calculate the mean up time as the inverse of the sum of failure rates out of the up states, weighted by the steady state probabilities.

Uploaded by

Engr Umer Cheema
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 3

EEE 598: Power System Reliability

Homework #2
Please Submit Your Homework through Canvas Course Website

Problem 1 (100 Points)


Assume a two-bus system shown below:

a. The two generators are identical; each generator has generation capacity of 100MW, failure rate 𝜆𝐺
= 0.1/day, repair rate 𝜇𝐺 = 2/day
b. Transmission line’s failure rate 𝜆 𝑇 = 0.01/day, repair rate 𝜇 𝑇 = 4/day
c. Load is 100MW
Define failure of this system as load being not supplied.
Assume all the failures of components are independent.

(1) Find the mean time to first failure (MTTFF) of the system if it started in an initial state that all the
components are in up state.
(2) Please find the mean time between failure (mean up time) of the system.

Solution to Problem 1
First, draw the state transition diagram of the system:
From the conditions given, failure states = States 4,5,6,7,8. Success states = States 1,2,3.
Define 𝑋 + = {All success states} = {States 1,2,3}.
Define 𝑋 − = {All failure states} = {States 4,5,6,7,8}.

Build the transition rate matrix R:

(1) Consider the up-left corner (Rows 1-3, Columns 1-3) of the transition rate matrix:

Since the system started in State 1, then:

The mean time to first failure of the system starting in State 1 is (column vector 𝑈3 = [1, 1, 1]𝑇 ):
(2) Since all the components fail/repair independently, the steady state probability can be calculated
through multiplication:
𝜇𝐺 2
𝑃𝑔𝑒𝑛−1−𝑢𝑝 = 𝑃𝑔𝑒𝑛−2−𝑢𝑝 = 𝜆 = 0.1+2 = 0.9524
𝐺 +𝜇𝐺
𝜆𝐺 0.1
𝑃𝑔𝑒𝑛−1−𝑑𝑜𝑤𝑛 = 𝑃𝑔𝑒𝑛−2−𝑑𝑜𝑤𝑛 = 𝜆 = 0.1+2 = 0.0476
𝐺 +𝜇𝐺
𝜇𝑇 4
𝑃𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒−𝑢𝑝 = 𝜆 = 4+0.01 = 0.9975
𝑇 +𝜇𝑇
𝜆𝑇 0.01
𝑃𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒−𝑑𝑜𝑤𝑛 = 𝜆 = 4+0.01 = 0.0025
𝑇 +𝜇𝑇

Steady-state probability of State 1, 2, and 3:


2 2 4
𝑃1 = 𝑃𝑔𝑒𝑛−1−𝑢𝑝 × 𝑃𝑔𝑒𝑛−2−𝑢𝑝 × 𝑃𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒−𝑢𝑝 = 2.1 × 2.1 × 4.01 = 0.9048
0.1 2 4
𝑃2 = 𝑃𝑔𝑒𝑛−1−𝑑𝑜𝑤𝑛 × 𝑃𝑔𝑒𝑛−2−𝑢𝑝 × 𝑃𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒−𝑢𝑝 = 2.1 × 2.1 × 4.01 = 0.0452
2 0.1 4
𝑃3 = 𝑃𝑔𝑒𝑛−1−𝑢𝑝 × 𝑃𝑔𝑒𝑛−2−𝑑𝑜𝑤𝑛 × 𝑃𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒−𝑢𝑝 = 2.1 × 2.1 × 4.01 = 0.0452

The mean up time is:


𝑃1 +𝑃2 +𝑃3
𝑀𝑈𝑇 = 𝑃 (𝜆 )+𝑃
= 52.381
1 14 +𝜆15 +𝜆16 +𝜆17 +𝜆18 2 24 +𝜆25 +𝜆26 +𝜆27 +𝜆28 )+𝑃3 (𝜆34 +𝜆35 +𝜆36 +𝜆37 +𝜆38 )
(𝜆
(days)

Where: 𝜆𝑖𝑗 = (𝑖, 𝑗)𝑡ℎ element in the transition rate matrix.

You might also like