i Summer - 2020 Gujarat Technological Probability and Statistics University ‘Semester - II (CE/IT/ECE/Elex.) (3130006) Solved Paper Time :25 Hours] [Total Marks : 70 at a) An insurance company obtained the following data for accident claims (in thousand rupees) from a particular region. Find its mean, eas and mode. [3] 35 | 5 7 “78 ol | 1-13 Frequency f Mia Raine OrrProbebilty and Statistics he 2is of median dass ie. 7-5? = Fis fequency ofthe median class ato is cf ofthe cass preceding median a5 Putting values in equation (1) Median = 5+ (00-53) = 625 ) Calculation of mode ‘Maximum frequency is 75 For this class, 1= 5,h=7-5=2/f, = 75. f) = 47 is frequency before fy f = 46 is frequency before fy sl) nay gil Comal 5 fy 2x75-47-46 b) A market survey was conducted in four cities to find out the preference for brand (a and the corresponding median class is 5 - 7. = enh Mate sto a) What is the probability that it ere ty that a consumer preferred brand A, given that he toas }) Given that a consumer i porate preferred brand A, what is the probability that he was Ans.: a) 60 consumers from Chennai consumers ; preferred brand A. Total the cits preferred brand 'A are 45 + 55 + 60 +50 = 210 = °) a) P(X= b) PU: Q2 a) distribut20 ~ end Statistios : probabil S-28 ‘Solved Paper Summer-2020 e) i) The ee monthly breakdowns of a computer is a random variable-having poisson dis ition with mean 1.8. Find the probability that the computer will ‘function for a month a) Without a breakdown b) With at least one breakdown.{3] ii) Assume that 5 % of the apples weigh less than 150 gm and 20 % of the apples weigh more than 225 gm. If the distribution of the weight of the apples is normal, find the mean and standard deviation of the distribution. (Refer section 2.6) [4] ‘ans: i) Let 'X' denote the number of breakdowns in one month. This breakdown follows Poisson distribution with mean \ = 1.8. enh x PR aN) Fs Xa OL A 40 9 PHO = d >) P(X=1) = = he =18 e718 Q2 a) The probability that one of the ten telephone lines is busy at an instant is 0.2. [3] : a) What is the probability that 5 of the lines are busy ? | b) What is the probability that all the lines are busy ? ‘Ans: Let 'X' indicates number of telephone lines busy. p = P(telephone line busy) = 0.2 1—p = Pitelephone line not busy) = 08 There are total n = 10 telephone lines, This problem can be solved using binomial distribution. P G lines busy) = P(X=5)= “Cupp 0.0264 = 9; (0.2)° (08) > (All ines busy) = POC=10)= "CypA-pI* 10,9 (02)'9 (as)! = Lo2z4x10 a “TECHNICAL PUBLICATIONS = ‘An up thst for knowled@®ae chanel corn fo cpfinder car is 95 kan per liter which is | a gine zs found that the mean petrol consumption of a sanrp 30 of these coy ie ee a i of 22 fs pte: Tl 5% level of significance. OT} OE Fete ee eens mice 1 Sor, Sample standard deviation s = 35 km Population mean p= 9.5 kn Sizce population SD is unknown we consider ¢ = s ‘The sample is a large sample and so we apply Z-test Nall hypothesis : There is no significant difference between the sample average and the company's claim, ie, Hy zy = 95, Alternative hypothesis : There is significant difference between the sample average and the company’s claim, ie, H, :u ¢95 (two tailed test) ‘The level of significance 0. = 5 % = 0.05 Applying the test statistic F-# ny, z = 10-98 05 Z = =F -N(1) Z “a5 ~ NO1) = 75 = 101 va ac Ths the cals value 1.01 and the sigifcnt value or table value Zy = 1.96 Comparing, the calculated and table value, here Z < Zap ive, 101 < 1.96, Since the calculated value is less than table value ie) Z ot oland statistics 8-27 ‘Solved Paper Summer-2020 3260 47434 : Fo 1 ) 0 process is not under control. 4p Following table shows various outcomes in tossing three coins: | vx Headsin Y: : Tails in Ll a [coin and 2 coin 2 and 3 distribution of X and Y based on above table. There Following table shows the joint there is no outcome for X = 0 and Y = 0. For X= 0 are total 8 outcomes. Observe that and Y = 1, there is one outcome. NR8-26 Probability and Statists : Q3 a) Show that A and B are independent events if P(A) P(AUB) = 0.50 ‘Ans: We know that, PAUB) = PIA)+P independent events P(AB) = P(A)-P(B) Ce x a | ‘thus correlation P(AUB) = PA)+P(B)-P(A) PC | (B)- P(AB) = 025 +040 - 0.25 x 0.40 = 0.55 A i Hl Since given P(AUB) = 05, the events are not independent, | s A b) Given that n = 25, )X = 125, YX? = 650, YY = 100, Sy? = = 46) og ine SEXY = 508, Later on it wns found that two of the points (8, 12) ana 5 ‘mere wrongly entered as (6, 14) and (8, 6). Prove that r = 2/3, ql w ‘Ans: The points to be corrected in the given data are : | iB) Wrong Correct | 614) + 6,12) | 86 > 68) An: DE Here, n = 25. Let us evaluate correct value of DX. | a) Coefficient \ Cormect 3)X = Incorrect )X~ (Sum of incorrect X) + (Sum of correct X) eee ereee = 15-6 +8)+(8 +6) =125 : Similarly other values can be calculated, \ Comect YY = 100~ (14+ 6)+ (1248) = 109 Sas XP = 650- (6? +8)+(62 4.62) = 659 Correct Swe = 460-(14? 462) 4192 452) = agg Correct 5 ae =(6x14+ 8x6) + @x 1246 Correlation coefficient is given ag %8) = 520 Coefficient b) Coefficis The averagoS oe above equation, i q ty 590-225%100 ree! 5 2 125? i t 50S 100° aN a sas conmlaton coefficient is obtained as desired after whee end ene ye c) i) The runs scored by two batsmen A and-B in 10 matches are given in the ( 1 i / (6, 8) ‘ a Whois more consistent ? ii) Calculate the first four moments about the mean of the following data: {4} x] 51 10 15 20) 25 HO Oh ‘Ans: i) Here we have to calculate coefficient of variation for team A and B. 4) Coefficient of variation bastman A ‘The average runs scored by batsman A are, } _ 444134+26+53417+29+ 79+ 364 84449 xe eer er = 40 Yex-x)? = (us? 4013-40)? 406-407 +63-407+07- 407° +(29- 40)? +(79-40)? +(36= 40)? (84-40)? +(49- 40)? 5974 runs scored by batsman Bare, 37+22+56+52+14+10+ 37+48+20+4 _ 39 10 X= TECHNICAL PUBLICATIONS ~ An up tt fr awe * j$-30 00-30? #07-207 +48- 20" +(20- 309244 = My = _ (e. | Ve yee = fee 754 Coefficient of variation, | 54 joa " jg more consistent since his C.V. i Concason Bataan Bis mo is less compare jy | ‘AL Mey] a3 8) THe mum 4) Let the abivary origin be x = 15. Let as prepare the following table, | eee Let ee eee 7 . a] fi 4, fd? ;¢ Number of request 4 : ape fa Probability Find the ‘Ans.: Mean val Mean = ie \ For Poisson dis Hi = SD Ad = 2x40) = NDA di = x(-40) =-1 a 4 1 | iba ee ; 2 NDA GP =F x(400) = a5 | Variance a by From Ws = Aye asd noid = BXC2509 = 625 | Net a corr . 14 FS ied Now NEES Wp0000) = 2750 / Moments about the mean are L Hy =0 ‘alulated as follows : tae Ans: Folk Ee sii Here n = 8. 35, (Cl)? = 34as 4) ‘number of requis es b ; prosty ana Sites BS wg 3m gm4 +2104)? Ha = 625-3 (85)(-1) +2 (-1)? = 405 my 4 05 0h +605 (u4)? 304) Solved Paper Summer-2020 = 2750-4 (-62.5)(-1)+6(35)(-1)? -3(-1)* 2707 OR The number of page requests that arrive at a web server is a Poisson random variable, Its probability distribution is as follows : Le 368 ~ Find the mean and variance of this probability distribution. ‘Ans.: Mean value is given as, Diea)-% Mean = SS Y fe) sl For Poisson distribution Mean = A= 1 b) Variance = 2 = 1 Networking (CN) and correlation. {3 (0.368(0)+ 0,368(1)+ 0.184(2)+' 0,061(3)+.0.015(4) +' 0,003(5) + 0.001(6)) (0368+ 9.3681 0.184 + 0061+ 0015+ 0.003+ 0.001) From the following data of the marks obtained by 8 student Complier Design (CD) papers, compute rankModified ranks in CN: In the above table note that there are two entries of 20 mais, asa Hence fx 2) mas the same modified rank of Pre 55 5 allotted. Modified ranks in CD : ae +546 ranks are 4, 5 and 6, Hence for 30 marks, the same modified rank of —[— =5 allotted. ‘Rank correlation coefficient using rank data a 6 ya? _ iat n? When there are sae ranks, above formula is modified as follows : n ; si ges AL ma m}—my Tas oeen Q— See pom Solved Paper Summer-2020 , = 2, because there are '2' items wets of rank 5.5 m> = 3, because there are ‘3 iterns of 3 puting values in above equation, 6481.5. (31 | ii) Find the coefficient of skewness based on the method of moments for the following data : {4 Chass 0-10 | 10-20. 20-30 | 30-40 0-0 of 3) 2 jm, | 3: | 2 lat (4) jst 1) een = zie 20, Hence N= = 1 ua eot ive frequency grater than ante 12 and the comesponding ve oi 10 Hence te mela lo table Ao, ee calculate mean deviation about above calculated median. Following fj x | x; >Median =f xxi 7201 - Median |i 3-34 Sots Fever Sunes probably Se ae ee 4x2=8 | ‘ Coceffic jee tert [12-101 =? 2s =12 | } ‘ [4-10] =4 ene | | a ag ieee ie ie alne= WLR’ bl i : i ayer) Dix - Median| = 48 | Coefficies i =Sh seo Dil =Median| 4894 N 2 Mean deviation about median. = | a4 a) | | dyexy-2 Dida Pyare pha? -—m0n In the above table arbitrary mean value of mid-values of class x; is considered to be 25. : Moments about '25' are as follows ; 2 1 1 } Hi = Didi = hxa0=03 : 1 Ma = HDA dP = 1 aasso0 = 145 Pig aed i MS = NDA d? = 5 x(-3000) = - 30 b) To find out moments about mean : ee piootentesbout ata men ca be chained as follows Hy = 0 Ba = i-CH? =145-(03)2 = 4491 b) Pre peau De ==20-3145)(03)4203)3 ae highy‘and Statistios ‘ poe 5:38 Solved Paper Summer.2020 | @ | cosfcient of skewness based on moments 1S | = MS. clos? 8.4603x10°> | w3 Gason? a Coefficient of skewness based on 3" moment is given as, = 84603x10> = 0.09198, / as 8) In a certain district, the proportion of highway sections requiring repairs in any given year is a random variable having the probability density (1 ei fe 12x? (1-3), for O Here n =8-37 Solved Paper Summer-2020 5er15 7 — = 03347 two will artive in next one min, time) = P(X = 2) — Mert 1507 a compara orc! Hence probability that one will arrive in 1% minute and two will arrive in next minute will be, PX =1and X= 2) = PX =1)-P(X=2) = 03347 x 0.1673. = 0.056 ©) Fit a parabola y = a + bx + cx? to the following data Leo [tale ips 1 10M e170 ‘Ans.: Following least squares table is prepared for the given data. “Yas Dy The normal equation of 2"! degree parabola are, Lyi = na+b xi +X Days = aba LeteLy Dey, = aye ye teL = 5 and putting other values in above equations, Sa+10b+30c = 62 10a+30b+100¢ = 195 joa+i000+354¢ = 67Probability and Stat propniy® Solving above simultaneous equations, = ‘The second degree parabola is given *5 y= atbxto y= pet xt15x? a Ans.? Q4 a) The joint probability density of two random variables X and X2 is given by 3) represent flewn) = finn, , Prosi sie 0 Putting f P(X> b) Sample Populat Null hy{ 020 : probebity and Statistics 8-43 Solved Paper Summer-2020 n= 5 n=10 I: eee Jass/i0 | 0.698 a | ta = 1432 tot «+ Ho is rejected. OR nd : i a as a) A power supply unit for a computer component is assumed to follow an eal exponential distribution with a mean life of 1200 hours. What is the probability a that the component will survive more than 1500 hours ? G1 = ‘Ans: The mean of exponential distribution is, | 1 Teel rst ee a Mean = 5. = Njean ~1200 [3] Exponential pdf is given as, =x ws | KO) = he’ forx20 ier 0 forx<0 he : ef CDF of exponential pdf is given as, x Fx(s) = fixddx = Jae ax =Ee*], = 1-e for x20 0 ‘The probability that component will survive more than 1500 hours wil be, P(X > 1500) = 1-P(Xs1500) = 1-Fy (1500) = fe epee A ie 5 Putting for 1 = 59 in above equation, . i P(X >1500) = 1-1+e 200" = 0.287 b) Twenty people were attacked by a disease and only 18 survived. Will you reject the hypothesis that the suroioal rate if attacked by this disense is 85 % in favour of the hypothesis that itis more at 5 % level. fl Given that n = 20 and x = 185-4 Probability and Statistics ‘ is Hy 1 > 0:85 ‘Alternative hypothesis s et 00 Be eaes poh. 22 == 9078 Test satstic Z = “Hy ~ Jogsx01s ° ee prob yn 20 Semes Calculated value Z = 06265 ; sa of ogulcance te tabulated value Za = MOP ime +2 Hi ions | calculated value| $ Tabulated value ee, 0.6265] << 1,645 = Accept Ho: sy c) i) The mea life of a random sample of 10 light bulbs was found t 5 3 1456 hours with a standard deviation of 423 hours. A second sample of 17 bub : chosen at random from a different batch showed a mean life of 1280 hours wit, standard deviation of 398 hours. Is the difference between the mean life ofthe tyy ai a) batches significant at 5 % level of significance ? Fi ‘Ans.: Two samples have been obtained from the same population with unknown g, So to test Ho : My = fz against Hy : Hy #2 It is given that, X, = 1456 $= 423 n, = 10 Mean, X = 1280 S$) =398 n,=17 The pooled estimated of o is g = nxn? a7 x55 10+17-2 S= 434 Therefore t, = |1456=1280|, f10xi7 pace 10317 tor = 104 “The value oft from table 9 7 ‘ t 5% lev reaps fy is less than this valu, there ig fy dens temas ane with 25 df. is 2.06. Since evidenc a b)M let 4 fe tt 10 see whether there is # vi i) Hen gogo