Sales forecasting
1. What is sales forecasting?
Sales forecasting is one of the most important part of a company’s operation. Sales
forecasting is the process of estimating a company’s future revenue by predicting how much
a product or service will sell in a specific time frame, these time frames can be calculated in
weeks, months or in a year. This activity can help decide how much money a company
should invest in staff and marketing to start producing, or it can in fact help decide if putting
money into a specific product is worth the investment or not.
2. What do they do?
Most importantly forecasters analyze industrial conditions, they estimate how much it
will actually cost to make the product. Economic conditions, like inflation, monetary policies
and productivity rates. They also have to analyze customer trends and, of course they have
to estimate how much will the competition of the market affect their revenue. In short, they
identify opportunities and risks of entering a new market with a new product.
Of course there are internal and external factors.
Its methods:
Historical forecasting: Looking up performances from similar timeframes, and
assuming if the next period’s results will be greater or lower (for ex. looking at July’s
sales rates in the past few years and predicting how much you’ll sell in this July)
Pipeline forecasting: Estimates the opportunity value of each deal
Opportunity stage
Intuitive sales
Length of sales: Predicts how long it takes for a deal to close
Multivariable: Combines the methods
3. What are the benefits?
Reduced costs: The business avoid over- and underproduction
Increased sales: Making sure the business is ready to satisfy the demand
Improved customer satisfaction: it is important for businesses to meet the customer needs,
because it can help build a loyalty in the customer towards the brand
4. What can go wrong?
It’s hard to overstate how important it is to accurately forecast the sales of a product, if a
forecast is not accurate enough, it can cause several problems in cash flow for the company
Too much marketing can create such demands, that the company simply is not able
to supply
Too little marketing can leave the company with too much inventory, with no buyers
5. Conclusion
For conclusion, I would like to say a popular quote I read in an article. Essentially, sales
forecasting is like a compass that guides a business through unpredictable markets. It offers
foresight and paves the way for sustained growth.