Full Text 01
Full Text 01
Examensarbete i matematik, 30 hp
Handledare och examinator: Johan Tysk
Mars 2009
Department of Mathematics
Uppsala University
Acknowledgement
I would also like to thank him because he is the one who introduced me to the Financial
Mathematics Master at the initial stage of my studies.
Also thanks to the rest of the professors in the Financial Mathematics and Financial
Economics Programme who provided instruction, encouragement and guidance,
I would like to say Thank you to you all. They did not only teach me how to learn, they
also taught me how to teach, and their excellence has always inspired me.
Finally, I would like to thank my Father, Ramadan for his financial support and
encouragement, my mother, and my wife Nellie who for their patience and continuous
support, when I was studying and writing this thesis.
1
Introduction
2
Chapter 1
Introduction
In recent years many investment products have emerged in the financial
markets and one of the most important products are so-called structured products.
Structured products involve a large range of investment products that combine many
types of investments into one product through the process of financial engineering.
Retail and institutional investors nowadays need to understand how to use such
products to manage risks and enhance their returns on their investment.
As structured products investment require some derivatives instruments knowledge.
The author will present some derivative introduction and topics that will be used in the
main context of structured products .
In fact, those products can be considered ready-made investment strategy available for
investors so the investor will save time and effort to establish such complex investment
strategies.
In the pricing models and hedging, the author will tackle mainly the basic models of
underlying equities and interest rate derivatives and he will give some pricing examples.
Structured products tend to involve periodical interest payments and redemption (which
might not be protected).
A part of the interest payment is used to buy the derivatives part. What sets them apart
from bonds is that both interest payments and redemption amounts depend in a rather
complicated fashion on the movements of for example basket of assets, basket of
indices exchange rates or future interest rates.
Since structured products are made up of simpler components, I usually break them
down into their integral parts when I need to value them or assess their risk profile and
any hedging strategies.
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This approach should facilitate the analysis and pricing of the individual components.
For many product groups, no uniform naming conventions have evolved yet, and even
where such conventions exist, some issuers will still use alternative names. I use the
market names for products which are common; at the same time, I try to be as accurate
as possible. Commonly used alternative names are also indicated in each product’s
description.
Definition: Structured products are investment instruments that combine at least one
derivative contract with underlying assets such as equity and fixed-income securities.
The value of the derivative may depend on one or several underlying assets.
Furthermore, unlike a portfolio with the same constituents the structured product is
usually wrapped in a legally compliant, ready-to-invest format and in this sense it is a
packaged portfolio.
Structured investments have been part of diversified portfolios in Europe and Asia for
many years, while the basic concept for these products originated in the United States in
the 1980s.
The recent growth of these instruments is due to innovative features, better pricing and
improved liquidity.
The idea behind a structured investment is simple: to create an investment product that
combines some of the best features of equity and fixed income namely upside potential
with downside protection.
This is accomplished by creating a "basket" of investments that can include bonds, CDs,
equities, commodities, currencies, real estate investment trusts, and derivative products.
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This mix of investments in the basket determines its potential upside, as well as
downside protection.
The usual components of a structured product are a zero-coupon bond component and
an option component.
The payout from the option can be in the form of a fixed or variable coupon, or can be
paid out during the lifetime of the product or at maturity.
Therefore, the investor cannot suffer a loss higher than the note, but may lose significant
part of it.
While in a second step, exotic products can be uniquely identified and named, a similar
differentiation within the group of plain-vanilla products is not possible.
Therefore, I assign terms to some products that best characterize their payment
profiles.
Most structured products can be divided into two basic types: with and without coupon
payments generally referred to as reverse convertibles and discount certificates.
5
In order to value structured products, I decompose them by means of duplication,
i.e., the reconstruction of product payment profiles through several single components.
Thereby, I ignore transactions costs and market frictions, e.g., tax influences.
The products are typically constructed in such a way that the issue price is as close as
possible to the bond’s face value (with adjustment by means of the nominal interest
rate).
It is also common that no payments (including coupons) are made until the product’s
maturity date.
The investor’s participation in the performance of the underlying asset can take an
extremely wide variety of forms.
In the simplest variant, the redemption amount is determined as the product of the face
value- and the percentage change in the underlying asset’s price during the term of the
product.
If this value is lower than the guaranteed redemption amount; the instrument is
redeemed at
the guaranteed amount.
R=N(1+max(0,ST-S0))
6
S0
= N + N . max(0,ST-S0))
S0
where
R: redemption amount
N: face value
Therefore, these products have a number of European call options on the underlying
asset embedded in them.
The number of options is equal to the face value divided by the initial price (cf. the last
term in the formula).
The instrument can thus, be interpreted as a portfolio of zero coupon bonds (redemption
amount and coupons) and European call options.
The most important characteristics for classifying these products are as follows:
(2) Are the strike prices or barriers known on the date of issue?
Are they calculated as in Asian options or in forward start options?
(3) What are the characteristics of the underlying asset? Is it an individual stock,
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an index or a basket?
(4) Is the currency of the structured product different from that of the underlying
asset?
In the sections that follow, a small but useful selection of products is presented.
As there are no uniform names for these products, they are named after the
options embedded in them .
Derivatives are those financial instruments whose values derive from price of the
underlying assets e.g. bonds, stocks, metals and energy.
The derivatives are traded in two main markets: ETM and OTC.
Investment assets are assets held by significant numbers of people purely for
investment purposes (examples: bonds ,stocks )
2) Over the counter (OTC) is the important alternative to ETM. It is telephone and
computer linked network of dealers ,who do not physically meet.
This market became larger than ETM and structured product are traded in the OTC
market although this market has a huge number of tailored derivative contract.
One of the disadvantages of the OTC markets is that such markets suffer from great
exposure to credit risk.
8
1.2.1 Futures and Forward contracts pricing and hedging
The pay-off is (ST - K ) for long position and (K - ST) for short position .
A future price K is delivery price in a forward contract which is updated daily and F0 is
forward price that would apply to the contract today.
2 When interest rates are uncertain they are, in theory, slightly different:
3 A strong positive correlation between interest rates and the asset price implies the
futures price is slightly higher than the forward price
Futures contracts is standardized forward contact and traded in exchange markets for
futures.
Settlement price: the price just before the final bell each day
Open interest: the total number of contracts outstanding Ways Derivatives are used
• To hedge risks
• To change the nature of a liability and creating synthetic liability and assets
• To change the nature of an investment and change the exposure to assets status
without incurring the costs of selling.
9
Now I will introduce some important hedging and trading strategies that Structured
product depend on.
“Short selling “ involves selling securities you do not own. Your broker borrows
the securities from another client and sells them in the market in the usual way, at some
stage you must buy the securities back so they can be replaced in the account of the
client. You must pay dividends and other benefits the owner of the securities. by
If a contract is not closed out before maturity, it usually settled by delivering the assets
underlying the contract.
If r is compounded annually
F0= S0 (1 + r )T
F0=S0erT
• For any investment asset that provides no income and has no storage costs
when an investment asset provides a known yield q
F0= S0e(r–q )T
where q is the average yield during the life of the contract (expressed with Continuous
compounding)
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Valuing a Forward Contract
• assume that stock index that pays dividends income on the index the payment is fixed
and known in advance.
F0= S0e(r–q )T
For the formula to be true it is important that the index represent an investment asset.
In other words, changes in the index must correspond to changes in the value of a
tradable portfolio.
Index Arbitrage
When F0>S0e(r-q)T an arbitrageur buys the stocks underlying the index and sells futures
When F0<S0 e(r-q)T an arbitrageur buys futures and shorts or sells the stocks underlying
the index
Index arbitrage involves simultaneous trades in futures and many different stocks
F0≤ S0e(r+u )T ,
where u is the storage cost per unit time as a percent of the so the equality should hold.
Otherwise there will be an arbitrage opportunity.
11
How to hedge using futures
h= ρ* (σS/ σF)
where σS is the standard deviation of dS, the change in the spot price during the hedging
period, σF is the standard deviation of dF, the change in the futures price during the
hedging period ρ is the coefficient of correlation between dS and dF.
To hedge the risk in a portfolio the number of contracts that should be shorted is where P
is the value of the portfolio, β is its beta, and A is the value of the assets.
In practice regression techniques are employed to hedge equity option by using equity
index futures (the author is working in this field).
Combining these with a long zero coupon bond gives the primal structured products,
some of which have not failed to go out of fashion.
The following Figure shows clearly the interaction between investment view and payoff .
12
1.2.3 European type Options
European options give the holder the right to exercise the option only on the expiration date T .
Hence the holder receives the amount (S(T)), where ϕ is a contract function.
Moreover, there are two basic types of European options namely European call options
and European put options.
13
European Call option: a derivative contract that gives its holder the right to buy the
underlying assets by certain date at certain strike price.
European Put option: a derivative contract that gives its holder the right to sell the underlying assets
by certain date at certain strike price.
Black and Scholes derived a boundary value partial differential equation (PDE) for the value F(t, s) of
an option on a stock.
This value F(t , s) solves the Black&Scholes PDE Under risk neutral measure for one underlying asset
only.
∂F (t , s ) ∂F (t , s ) 1 2 2 ∂ 2 F (t , s )
+r S + σ S − r (t ,Fs ) = 0
∂t ∂s 2 ∂s
F (t , s ) = Φ ( s )
in [0 T ]×R+. Here r is the interest rate; σ is the volatility of the underlying assumed fixed parameters.
Asset S and Φ(s) = max(s −k ,0) is the contract function. According to the Feynman-Kac theorem PDE
solution can represented as an expected value
F(t,s)=e –r(T-t) Et ,s [Φ ( s, T )]
This price process is called geometric Brownian motion. Here W is a Wiener process
where S starts in s at time 0.
For the purpose of option pricing I thus should assume that the underlying stock follows
this dynamics even if in reality we do not expect the value of the stock to grow with the
interest rate r.
The American version of those two options is the same except that it can be exercised
earlier than exercise date.
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1.2.4 An American option
gives the owner the right to exercise the option on or before the Expiration date t ≤ T
before the expiration, date (also called early exercise).
The holder of an American option needs to decide whether to exercise immediately or to wait.
If the holder decides to exercise at say t ≤T, then he receives Φ(S(t)) where Φ is the appropriate
contract function.
Similarly, this option can also be classified into two basic types:
American call options which give the owner the right to buy an underlying asset for a
given strike price on or before the expiration date, and American put option which gives
the owner the right to sell an underlying asset for a certain strike price on or before the
expiration date.
If the underlying stock pays no dividends, early exercise of an American call option is not
optimal.
On the other hand early exercise of an American put option can be optimal even if the
underlying stock does not pay dividends.
For example
Prices of the following options long plain vanilla call option non dividend share for 3
months to expiry date option the two price functions (European and American plain
vanilla option) are plotted here for the same
strikes of 100
15
Risk free rate of 10 %
Volatility of 40.
Figure 1.1 is showing the price function of European option using Black and Scholes
formula .
Figure 1.2 is showing the price function of the American option using Bjerksund &
Stensland approximation.for more details about this approximation see the Bjerksund & Stensland
approximation 2002.
The table used to generate the 3 d graph for the American option using Bjerksund approximation
& Stensland approximation.
110.00 10.4857 12.0799 13.5459 14.8645 16.0723 17.1955 18.2514 19.2524 20.2072
105.00 6.1194 8.2180 9.8410 11.2294 12.4717 13.6114 14.6736 15.6747 16.6255
100.00 2.7763 5.0530 6.6920 8.0687 9.2905 10.4065 11.4440 12.4201 13.3462
95.00 0.8696 2.7262 4.1907 5.4529 6.5875 7.6319 8.6080 9.5299 10.4073
90.00 0.1638 1.2453 2.3693 3.4191 4.4001 5.3241 6.2009 7.0380 7.8413
85.00 0.0159 0.4614 1.1806 1.9564 2.7338 3.4970 4.2412 4.9657 5.6711
80.00 0.0007 0.1318 0.5035 1.0009 1.5555 2.1355 2.7253 3.3167 3.9055
75.00 0.0000 0.0273 0.1774 0.4466 0.7951 1.1937 1.6237 2.0735 2.5355
70.00 0.0000 0.0038 0.0494 0.1684 0.3564 0.5989 0.8823 1.1961 1.5325
65.00 0.0000 0.0003 0.0103 0.0516 0.1359 0.2631 0.4283 0.6253 0.8487
60.00 0.0000 0.0000 0.0015 0.0122 0.0424 0.0981 0.1807 0.2894 0.4218
55.00 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0021 0.0103 0.0297 0.0640 0.1150 0.1832
50.00 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0002 0.0018 0.0069 0.0182 0.0377 0.0671
16
Figure 1.1 European call Figure 1.2 American call Bjerksund
17
A Trinomial tree has been set up for the American option in case of the American option.
A 500 steps trinomial tree is constructed with matrix of underlying price is as follows.
The following diagram shows how the first node is calculated also I will mention here
how we calculate the relevant probabilities of up and down probabilities and here is part
of algorithm
n is number of steps
v is the volatility
pu is the up probability
dt = T / n
d=1/u
pu = (Exp(r * dt / 2) - Exp(-v * Sqr(dt / 2))) ^ 2 / (Exp(v * Sqr(dt / 2)) - Exp(-v * Sqr(dt / 2))) ^ 2
pd = (Exp(v * Sqr(dt / 2)) - Exp(r * dt / 2)) ^ 2 / (Exp(v * Sqr(dt / 2)) - Exp(-v * Sqr(dt / 2))) ^ 2
pm = 1 - pu – pd
18
19
Calculations of
table used to
generate 3-D
graph
Time to
maturity
in days
Asset 10.0 30.8 51.7 72.6 93.5 114. 135. 156 177. 218. 239. 260. 281. 302. 323. 344.
price 0 8 6 5 3 41 29 .18 06 82 71 59 47 35 24 12 3
52.
50.1 50.4 50.7 50.9 51.2 51.5 51.9 240 52.5 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.5 5
150.00 369 222 070 944 892 945 118 2 795 823 432 076 775 508 223 009
47.
45.1 45.4 45.7 46.0 46.3 46.6 46.9 312 47.6 48.4 48.8 49.1 49.5 49.9 50.3 50.7 5
145.00 369 222 080 003 059 269 632 5 731 194 011 892 774 679 604 523
42.
40.1 40.4 40.7 41.0 41.3 41.6 42.0 423 42.8 43.6 44.0 44.4 44.8 45.2 45.6 46.0 4
140.00 369 223 109 139 380 833 467 8 114 126 208 286 404 512 630 700
37.
35.1 35.4 35.7 36.0 36.3 36.7 37.1 592 38.0 38.8 39.3 39.7 40.1 40.6 41.0 41.4 4
135.00 369 228 195 437 985 787 799 5 153 803 138 493 842 174 462 784
32.
30.1 30.4 30.7 31.1 31.5 31.9 32.3 845 33.3 34.2 34.7 35.1 35.6 36.0 36.5 36.9 3
130.00 369 252 427 069 107 414 874 4 088 449 064 730 292 867 394 815
28.
25.1 25.4 25.8 26.2 26.7 27.2 27.7 220 28.7 29.7 30.2 30.7 31.2 31.6 32.1 32.6 3
125.00 369 361 025 357 093 038 110 6 273 378 338 226 095 831 547 227
23.
20.1 20.4 20.9 21.4 22.0 22.6 23.1 760 24.3 25.3 25.9 26.4 26.9 27.4 27.9 28.4 2
120.00 370 775 442 825 492 213 932 3 155 976 250 351 461 448 303 040
19.
15.1 15.6 16.2 16.9 17.6 18.2 18.9 517 20.1 21.2 21.8 22.3 22.8 23.3 23.8 24.3 2
115.00 404 142 555 340 075 652 042 8 226 695 218 553 769 940 969 871
15.
10.1 10.9 11.8 12.7 13.4 14.2 14.9 575 16.2 17.4 17.9 18.5 19.0 19.5 20.0 20.5 2
110.00 877 996 786 056 827 193 112 0 035 033 707 184 487 710 822 802
11.
5.55 6.90 8.00 8.95 9.80 10.5 11.3 988 12.6 13.8 14.4 14.9 15.5 16.0 16.5 17.0 1
105.00 16 85 59 13 37 811 015 5 383 499 199 701 027 197 279 230
2.04 3.68 4.84 5.81 6.66 7.44 8.16 8.8 9.47 10.6 11.2 11.7 12.2 12.7 13.2 13.7 1
100.00 77 63 87 61 89 38 12 337 00 569 155 547 767 835 763 566
0.39 1.57 2.55 3.41 4.18 4.89 5.55 6.1 6.77 7.89 8.42 8.93 9.42 9.90 10.3 10.8 1
95.00 91 85 87 67 70 85 80 817 96 62 23 05 28 10 663 227
0.03 0.50 1.13 1.76 2.37 2.95 3.52 4.0 4.58 5.57 6.04 6.51 6.96 7.40 7.82 8.24 8
90.00 08 40 31 40 47 62 30 567 38 04 68 19 29 12 81 46
0.00 0.11 0.40 0.77 1.18 1.61 2.03 2.4 2.89 3.71 4.12 4.51 4.90 5.29 5.67 6.05 6
85.00 07 03 00 75 66 33 99 694 24 81 53 95 93 91 91 03
0.00 0.01 0.10 0.28 0.51 0.77 1.06 1.3 1.67 2.31 2.63 2.96 3.28 3.60 3.92 4.24 4
80.00 00 51 71 10 05 48 44 671 64 73 93 01 49 15 08 13
0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.18 0.31 0.48 0.6 0.88 1.32 1.56 1.80 2.05 2.30 2.55 2.80 3
75.00 00 11 04 91 09 86 62 751 12 75 48 82 39 44 87 78
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.10 0.18 0.2
20
0.40 0.68 0.84 1.01 1.18 1.36 1.55 1.74 1
70.00 00 00 25 66 09 85 84 895 69 76 64 26 56 87 26 59
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.1 0.16 0.31 0.40 0.50 0.62 0.74 0.86 0.99 1
65.00 00 00 02 24 07 91 01 045 15 48 74 85 17 13 49 98
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.0 0.05 0.12 0.17 0.22 0.28 0.35 0.43 0.51 0
60
50
40
30
20
10
260.59
177.06
0
Time to maturity 93.53
150
145
140
135
130
125
120
115
110
105
100
95
10.00
90
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
Asset price
As we can see here that the trinomial method is value the American option than the
approximation but it will converge as the number of steps increase.
21
1.2.5 Bermudan Option
This type of options lies between American and European. They can be exercised at
certain discrete time points for any discrete time t <t < <t =T.
Therefore the Bermudan options being a hybrid of European and American options, the
value of a Bermudan is greater than or equal to an identical European option but less than
or equal to its equivalent American option .
I will price some of Bermudan type option like equity Cliquet option .
This type of option depends on the average value of the underlying asset over a time,
Therefore, an Asian option is path dependent.
Asian options are cheaper relative to their European and American counterparts because of
their lower volatility feature
3) Combination of 1 and 2
The pay-off can be averaged on a weighted average basis, whereby a given weights is applied to
each stock being averaged.
This can be useful for attaining an average on a sample with a highly skewed sample
population.
There are no known closed form analytical solutions arithmetic options, due to the a property of
these options under which the lognormal assumptions collapse –so it is not possible to
analytically evaluate the sum of the correlated lognormal random variables.
22
A further breakdown of these options concludes that Asians are either based on the average
price of the underlying asset, or alternatively, there is the average strike type.
n
1/ n
Payoff Asian call =max 0, ∏ S i − X
i =1
n
1/ n
Payoff Asian put =max 0, X − ∏ S i
i =1
Kemna & Vorst (1990) put forward a closed form pricing solution to geometric averaging
options by altering the volatility, and cost of carry term.
Geometric averaging options can be priced via a closed form analytic solution because of the
reason that the geometric average of the underlying prices follows a lognormal distribution as
well, whereas with arithmetic average rate options, this condition collapses.
The solutions to the geometric averaging Asian call and puts are given as:
CG =S e(b-r)(T-t)N(d1)-X e-r(T-t)N(d2)
and,
PG = X e-r(T-t)N(-d2)- S e(b-r)(T-t)N(-d1)
d1=ln(S/X)+(b+0.5 σ A )T
2
σA T
d2=ln(S/X)+(b-0.5 σ A )T
2
σA T
23
The adjusted volatility and dividend yield are given as:
σ A =σ / 3
b=1/2(r-D- σ /6)
2
Here I will mention one of the approximations to calculate the price of a structured product that
1) The zero coupon bonds parts are valuated using the relevant spot interest rates.
2)The Asian option for which payments are based on a geometric average are relatively easy
approximations have been developed by Turnbull and Wakeman (1991),
Levy (1992) and Curran (1992).
In Curran’s model, the value Of an Asian option can be approximated using the following
formula:
24
Here is an example of capital guaranteed structured product that has Asian pay off.
On the FTSE 100 index using Curran’s model.
Average calculated quarterly and the interest rate used are annual compounded
and volatility is used are annual rate. The main parameters used are as follows
25
120.0000
100.0000
80.0000
60.0000
40.0000
20.0000 323.24
218.82
0.0000
114.41 Time to maturity
50.00
65.00
80.00
95.00
110.00
125.00
10.00
140.00
155.00
170.00
185.00
200.00
Asset price
The frequency with which the value of the underlying asset is sampled varies widely from product to
product.
The averages are usually calculated using daily, weekly or monthly values.
Depending on whether an Asian call or put option is embedded, the redemption amount is
calculated using one of the following formulas:
26
1.2.7 Cliquet options
Cliquet are option contracts, which provide a guaranteed minimum annual return in
exchange for capping the maximum return earned each year over the life of the contract.
Applications:
Recent turmoil in financial markets has led to a demand for products that reduce risk
while still offering upside potential.
For example, pension plans have been looking at attaching Guarantees to their products
that are linked to equity returns.
The strike price is then reset at the new level of the underlying asset.
I will use the following form, considering a global cap, global floor and local caps at pre-
defined resetting times ti (i = 1, . . . , n).
n S − S i
m m ∑i mna Fi m
x a C i , −x i n i −1 , F , C
i =1
S i −1
P=exp(-rtn)N.EQ
where N is the notional, C is the global cap, F is the global floor, Fi, i = 1. . . n the local f
floors, Ci, i = 1, . . . , n are the local caps, and S is the asset price following a geometric
Brownian motion, or a jump-diffusion process.
Under geometric Brownian motion with only fixed deterministic annual rate of interest
27
I can use the binomial method (CRR) binomial tree to price Cliquet option .
This binomial cliquet option valuation model which maintains the important property of
flexibility, can be used to price European and American cliquets.
The settings for this model are the same as those described in the previous section:
U=e σ ∆t
and D = e- σ ∆t
P = e σ∆t -D
U-D
For each node that falls under the reset date m, the new strike price is determined.
If the stock price at m is above the original strike, the put will reset its strike price equal to the then-
current stock price.
For call options: if the stock price m is below the original strike, the call will reset its strike price equal
to the then-current stock price.
Pricing example
28
Current stock price = 100
In addition, here is comparison between plan vanilla European call and European Cliquet option
prices for various stock prices
29
110
100
90
80
70
60 cliquet price
50 Plan vanila CRR
40
30
20
10
0
50.00 70.00 90.00 110.00 130.00 150.00 170.00 190.00 210.00 230.00 250.00
And here is comparison between plan vanilla American call and European Cliquet option prices
for various stock prices
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
cliquet price
70
CRR vanilla
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
50.00 70.00 90.00 110.00 130.00 150.00 170.00 190.00 210.00 230.00 250.00
As you can see from both charts that the price is different only when the stock price is less than 100
strike price for both the American and European option .
30
Chapter 2 interest rate structured products
Floating rate notes does not carry a fixed nominal interest rate.
The coupon payments are linked to the movement in a reference interest rate (frequently money
market rates, such as the LIBOR) to which they are adjusted at specific intervals, typically on each
coupon date for the next coupon period.
The initial coupon payment to become due in six-months time corresponds to the 6-month LIBOR as
at the issue date. After six months the first coupon is paid out and the second coupon payment is
locked in at the then current 6-month LIBOR. This procedure is repeated every six months.
The coupon of an FRN is frequently defined as the sum of the reference interest rate and a spread of
x basis points. As they are regularly adjusted to the prevailing money market rates, the volatility of
floating rate notes is very low.
Replication
Floating rate notes may be viewed as zero coupon bonds with a face value equating the sum of the
forthcoming coupon payment and the principal of the FRN. Because their regular interest rate
adjustments guarantee interest payments in line with market condition.
Bond options are an example for derivatives depending indirectly (through price movements of the
underlying bond) on the development of interest rates.
It is common to embed bond options into particular bonds when they are issued to make
them more attractive to potential purchasers.
A callable bond, for example, allows the issuing party to buy back the bond at a
predetermined price in the future.
A putable bond, on the other hand, allows the holder to sell the bond back to the issuer at a certain
future time for a specified price.
31
Pricing bond options
The well-known Black-Scholes equation was derived for the pricing of options on stock
prices and it was published in 1973 .
Shortly afterwards, the model has been extended to account for the valuation of options
on commodity contracts such as forward contracts.
In general, this model describes relations for any variable, which is log normally distributed and can
therefore be used for options on interest rates as well.
The main assumption of the Black model for the pricing of options on bonds is that
at time T the value of the underlying asset VT follows a lognormal distribution with the
Standard deviation.
S[ln VT]= σ T.
Furthermore, the expected value of the underlying at time T must be equal to its forward
price for a contract with maturity T, since otherwise, arbitrage would be possible.
E[VT]=F0
E[max(V-K),0]=E[V]N(d1)-KN(d2)
E[max(K-V),0]=KN(-d2)-E[V]N(-d1)
d1 = ln (E[V]/K)+s2/2
s
This is also the main result of Black's model which, for the first time, allowed an
Analytical approach to the pricing of options on any log normally distributed underlying.
32
The symbol N(x) denotes the cumulative normal distribution.
For a European call option on a zero-coupon bond this leads to the well-known result for
the value of the option.
C= P(0,T)(F0 N(d1)-KN(d2))
where the value at time T is discounted to time 0 using P(0;T) as a risk free deflator.
The value of the corresponding put option is
Here is pricing example of European bond call option and put option using the Black
model and the following parameter .
Calculate
33
This is the graph of the call option price against the strike
4.5
4
3.5
3
Option Price
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
95.00 97.00 99.00 101.00 103.00 105.00
Strike Price
5
Option Price
0
95.00 97.00 99.00 101.00 103.00 105.00
Strike Price
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2.3 Interest Rate Caps and Floors
Interest rate caps are options designed to provide hedge against the rate of interest on a floating-rate
note rising above a certain level known as cap rate.
If this rate exceeds the cap rate, The cap rate applies instead. The tenor denotes the time between
reset dates. The Individual options of a cap are denoted as caplets.
Note that the interest rate is always set at the beginning of the time period, while the payment must
be made at the end of the period.
In addition to caps, floors and collars can be defined analogously to a cap, a floor Provides a payoff if
the LIBOR rate falls below the floor rate, and the components of a floor are denoted as floorlets.
A collar is a combination of a long position in a cap and a short position in a floor. It is used to insure
against the LIBOR rate leaving an interest rate range between two specific levels.
Consider a cap with expiration T, a principal of L, and a cap rate of RK. The reset dates
The LIBOR rate observed at time tk is set for the time Period between tk and tk+1, and the
If the LIBOR rate Fk is assumed lognormal distributed with volatility σ k, each caplet can be valued
separately using the Black formula. The value of a caplet becomes
35
with
σ k tk
d2= ln(Fk /RK )- σ k tk/2
2
σ k tk
For the pricing of the whole cap or floor, the values of each caplet or floorlet have to be
discounted back using discount factor as the numeraire: for N number of floorlet and caplets
∑ C iP
(t , t i)
Ctotal= i =0
∑ F iP
(t , t i)
Ftotal = i =0
A Swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange cash flows in the future.
Such 'plain vanilla' interest rate swaps are often used to transform floating rate to fixed-rate loans or
vice versa.
A swap agreement can be seen as the exchange of a floating-rate (LIBOR) bond with a fixed-rate
bond.
The forward swap rate Sα,β(t) at time t for the sets of times T and year fractions τ is the
rate in the fixed leg of the above IRS that makes the IRS a fair contract at the present time.
36
Sα,β(t) = P(t;T α )- P(t;T β )
∑τi P(t,Ti)
i =α +1
Application
Life insurance companies use the hedge interest rate risk and extend their asset duration in order to
stay matched with their long duration liabilities.
2.5 European payer (receiver) swaption is an option giving the right (and no obligation)
to enter a payer(receiver) IRS at a given future time, the swaption maturity.
Usually the swaption maturity coincides with the first reset date of the underlying IRS.
The underlying-IRS length (T1 − T2 in our notation) is called the tenor of the swaption.
Sometimes the set of reset and payment dates is called the tenor structure.
I can write the discounted payoff of a payer swaption by considering the value of the underlying payer
IRS at its first reset date T1, which is also assumed to be the swaption maturity. Such a value is given
by changing sign in formula .
1
1 −
C= (1 + F / m) t1x m − r T [F * N (d1) − X (N
d 2)]
e
F
1
1 −
P= (1 + F / m) − r T [X * N (−d 2) − F (−Nd1)]
t1 x m
e
F
37
d1= ln(F /X )+ σ tk/2
2
σ T
d2 =d1 - σ T
where F is the strike swap rate and X is the current implied forward swap rate for t1
which is here the maturity of the option element of the swaption and start time of the
swap and time t2 is the time when the swap contract terminate
T= t2- t1
Here is example of pricing receiver swaption that life insurer use to hedge their interest rate exposure
in guaranteed annuity option.
Price: 1.318E-08
DV01 (Per basis point): -1.25E-09
Calculate
Gamma01 (Per %): 1.172E-08
Vega (per %): 7.45E-08
38
25
20
15
Option Price
10
0
1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00% 10.00%
Swap Rate
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2.6 Callable/Putable Zero Coupon Bonds
Callable (putable) zero coupon bonds differ from zero coupon bonds in that the Issuer has the right
to buy (the investor has the right to sell) the paper prematurely at a specified price. There are three
types of call/put provisions.
• European option:
• American option:
• Bermuda option:
A call provision allows the issuer to repurchase the bond prematurely at a specified price. In effect,
the issuer of a callable bond retains a call option on the bond. The investor is the option seller.
A put provision allows the investor to sell the bond prematurely at a specified price.
In other words, the investor has a put option on the bond. Here, the issuer is the option seller.
Call provision
The issuer has a Bermuda call option which may be exercised at an annually changing strike price.
Replication
This instrument breaks into callable zero coupon bonds down into a zero coupon bond and a call
Option.
40
where
+ long position
- Short position
The decomposed zero coupon bond has the same features as the callable zero coupon bond except for
the call provision. The call option can be a European, American or Bermuda option.
Variance swaps
Variance swaps are instruments, which offer investors straightforward and direct exposure to the
volatility of an underlying asset such as a stock or index.
They are swap contracts where the parties agree to exchange a pre-agreed Variance level for the actual
amount of variance realised over a period.
Variance swaps offer investors a means of achieving direct exposure to realised variance without the
path-dependency issues associated with delta-hedged options.
Buying a variance swap is like being long volatility at the strike level; if the market delivers more than
implied by the strike of the option, you are in profit, and if the market delivers less, you are in loss.
Similarly, selling a variance swap is like being short volatility.
However, variance swaps are convex in volatility: a long position profits more from an increase in
volatility than it loses from a corresponding decrease. For this reason variance swaps normally trade
above ATM volatility.
41
Market development
Variance swap contracts were first mentioned in the 1990’s, but like vanilla options only really took
off following the development of robust pricing models through replication arguments.
The directness of the exposure to volatility and the relative ease of replication through a static portfolio
of options make variance swaps attractive instruments for investors and market-makers alike.
The variance swap market has grown steadily in recent years, driven by investor demand to take direct
volatility exposure without the cost and complexity of managing and delta hedging a vanilla options
position.
Although it is possible to achieve variance swap payoffs using a portfolio of options, the variance
swap contract offers a convenient package bundled with the necessary delta-hedging.
This will offer investors a simple and direct exposure to volatility, without any of the path dependency
issues associated with delta hedging an option.
Variance swaps initially developed on index underlings. In Europe, variance swaps on the Euro Stoxx
50 index are by far the most liquid, but DAX and FTSE are also frequently traded.
Variance swaps are also tradable on the more liquid stock underlings – especially Euro Stoxx 50
constituents, allowing for the construction of variance dispersion trades.
42
Variance swaps are tradable on a range of indices across developed markets and increasingly also on
developing markets.
An investor want to gain exposure to the volatility of an underlying index (e.g, Dow
Jones FTSE 100 ) over the next year.
The investor buys a 1-year variance swap, and will be delivered the difference between
the realised variance over the next year and the current level of implied variance, multiplied by the
variance notional.
Suppose the trade size is 2,500 variance notional, representing a p/l of 2,500 per point
difference between realised and Implied variance.
If the variance swap strike is 20 (implied variance is 400) and the subsequent variance realised over the
course of the year is(15%)2 = 0.0225 (quoted as 225),
The investor will make a loss because realised variance is below the level bought.
43
Volatility measures the variability of returns of an underlying asset and in some sense provides a
measure of the risk of holding that underlying.
In this note I am concerned with the volatility of equities and equity indices, although much of the
discussion could apply to the volatility of other underlying assets such as credit, fixed-income, FX and
commodities.
Figure 3 shows the history of realised volatility on the Dow Jones Industrial Average
over the last 100 years. Periods of higher volatility can be observed, e.g. in the early 1930’s as a result
of the Great Depression, and to a lesser extent around 2000 with the build-up and unwind of the dot-
com bubble. Also noticeable is the effect of the 1987 crash, mostly due to an exceptionally large
single day move, as well as numerous smaller volatility spikes
.
The following are some of the commonly observed properties of (equity market) volatility:
• Volatility tends to be anti-correlated with the underlying over short time periods
44
This list suggests some of the reasons why investors may wish to trade volatility: as a partial hedge
against the underlying .
Especially for a volatility spike caused by a sudden market sell-off; as a diversifying asset
class; to take a macro view e.g. or a potential change in volatility regime; for to trade a spread of
volatility between related instruments.
First let us understand the cash flow structure the following diagram explain the cash flow exchanged
by looking to the following diagram
45
Volatility swaps are series of forward contracts on future realized stock volatility, variance.
Swaps are similar contract on variance, the square of the future volatility.
Both these instruments provide an easy way for investors to gain exposure to the future level of
volatility.
σ R(S) is the annualized standard deviation of the Stock’s returns during the period of
interest , where the subscript R denotes the observed or "realized" volatility for the stock .
The easy way to trade volatility is to use volatility swaps, sometimes Called realized volatility forward
contracts, because they provide pure exposure To volatility (and only to volatility). A stock volatility
swap is a forward contract on the annualized volatility.
N( σ 2
R(S)-Kvar )
Where σ R(S)) is the realized stock volatility (quoted in annual terms) over the life of the contract.
46
T
(σ 2
R(S) =1/T ∫
0
σ 2(S) ds
Kvar is the delivery price for variance, and N is the notional amount of the swap in dollars per
annualized volatility point squared.
The holder of variance swap at expiration receives N dollars for every point by which the stock's
realized variance has exceeded the variance delivery price Kvar.
Therefore, pricing the variance swap reduces to calculating the realized volatility square.
Valuing a variance forward contract or swap is no different from valuing any other derivative security.
The value of a forward contract P on future realized variance with strike price Kvar is the expected
present value of the Future payoff in the risk-neutral world:
P=E(e-rT ( σ 2
R(S)-Kvar )
where r is the risk-free discount rate corresponding to the expiration date T (Under the
assumption of deterministic risk free rate)and E denotes the expectation.
E [( σ 2
R(S)]
Approximation (which is used the second order Taylor expansion for function px)
where
E[ σ 2 ≈ E (V ) - Var(V)
R(S)]
47
8 E(V)3/2
Where V = σ 2R(S)
In addition, Var(V) this the term of the convexity adjustment.
8 E(V)3/2
Thus, to calculate volatility swaps ineed the first and the second term
Varn(S)=n/(n-1)*1/T * ∑ log 2 St
i =1
St-1
V=Var(S)= lim Varn (S)
n→ ∞
St-1
For simplicity reason only. Inote that iuse Heston (1993) model:
t1
t1
St1-1
48
S
∑
n
E(varn(S))= n t =1
E ( l o2 gt1 )
S t1−1
(n-1)T
snd
t1 t1 t1 t1 t1
S t1
∫t E (σt ) d t + 4
1
E( log S )= ∫ r d t) 2 ∫ ∫ ∫ Eσ 2 t σ 2 s d
2
2 ( _( r d t)
t1−1 t1 −1 t t1 −1 t
t −1 t1 −1 t1 −1
t1 t1 t1
49
Appendix 1
where rt is deterministic interest rate, σ 0 and θ are short and long volatility,
The Heston asset process has a variance that follows Cox-Ingersoll- Ross (1985) process,
described by the second equation .
If the volatility follows Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process (see, for example, Oksendal (1998)), then Ito's
lemma shows that the variance follows the process described exactly by the second equation .
50
References
Avellaneda, M., Levy, A. and Paras, A. (1995): Pricing and hedging derivative
securities in markets with uncertain volatility, Appl. Math. Finance 2, 73-88.
51
Black, F. and Scholes, M. (1973): The pricing of options and corporate
liabilities, J. Political Economy 81, 637-54.
Cox, J., Ingersoll, J. and Ross, S. (1985): "A theory of the term
structure of interest rates", Econometrica 53, 385-407.
52