Using Advanced Analytics To Make Big Decisions
Using Advanced Analytics To Make Big Decisions
in
Using advanced
analytics to make
Big Decisions
Over the last few years, digital acceleration, Our most recent Global Data and Analytics Survey
coupled with global shifts in economic power, has (2016)1 involved the participation of more than
DOWHUHGWKHSOD\LQJğHOGIRUFRPSDQLHVDURXQGWKH 2,100 global executives (globally) and more than 100
world. Advanced analytics and machine learning— Indian executives, ranging from C-suite leaders and
technologies that once seemed like beacons from departmental heads to managers and analysts.
a distant future—are increasingly available and The survey aimed to understand the extent to which
accessible to businesses. executives and managers view their organisations as
The ability to make intelligent decisions that drive data-driven, how mature their current usage of analytics
growth, disrupt the market and capitalise on emerging is, and the key challenges they face in employing data
opportunities is now linked less to gut feeling and to drive the next big decision, including the need for
PRUHWRSUHGLFWLYHDQGSUHVFULSWLYHDQDO\WLFVDUWLğFLDO improvement in the speed and sophistication of the
intelligence and data-driven insights. Gaining a decision-making process itself.
competitive advantage is no longer about accepting the The results suggest that Indian organisations are more
status quo or relying on age-old traditions. It’s about FRQğGHQWDERXWWKHIXWXUHDVRIWKHUHVSRQGHQWV
mustering the courage and commitment to harness felt that the changes would be gradual, as opposed to the
both mind and machine. JOREDOğJXUHVRI
1 PwC. (2016). Global Data and Analytics Survey 2016. Retrieved from http://www.pwc.com/us/en/advisory-services/data-
possibilities/big-decision-survey.html
Speed and Data-driven Type of Mix of mind Driving functions for The road
sophistication decision making analytics and machine analytics adoption ahead
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Leadership courage Other limitations
Descriptive and diagnostic Predictive and prescriptive
Source: PwC analysis
4 PwC
)XUWKHU,QGLDQH[HFXWLYHVZKRVWDWHGWKDWWKHLUğUPV those using basic analytics. This group also indicated
used predictive and prescriptive analytics were more a higher potential for shareholder value creation from
strongly optimistic about their next big decision than their decisions.
100% 100%
50% 50%
0% 0%
Strongly Positive Neutral 5-50% increase in 100-200% increase in
positive value value
Descriptive and diagnostic Predictive and prescriptive Descriptive and diagnostic Predictive and prescriptive
Source: PwC analysis Source: PwC analysis
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Reduced cost Increased More innovative Increased Improved Reduced risk Increased
market share products or customer business or regulatory customer
services acquisition processes exposure retention
6 PwC
/FXBHFæSNTBOETUBSUVQT Company size (by revenue) does not necessarily correlate
to greater investment in advanced analytics capabilities.
are better equipped than Companies with relatively smaller revenues and, in
established players in their particular, start-ups indicated predictive and prescriptive
analytics to be deeply embedded in their operating model
usage of advanced analytics DQGSURFHVVHV ZLWKPRUHUHVSRQGHQWVVWDWLQJ
for decision making. WKDWWKHLUğUPVXVHGDGYDQFHGDQDO\WLFVFRPSDUHGWR
PRUHHVWDEOLVKHGğUPVLQWKHLULQGXVWU\
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Start-up Established Inorganic expansion Organic growth
Predictive and prescriptive as % of analytics use
Source: PwC analysis
This result may be attributed to the fact that many data infrastructure to capture, store and draw insights
UHFHQWVWDUWXSVDVZHOODVIDVWJURZLQJğUPVKDYH from comprehensive and accurate data; access to a
built their business and operating model around skilled workforce; and smaller size—which translates
leveraging advanced analytics—examples being into more uniform adoption of analytical tools and
e-commerce players, app-based cab services, and algorithms across the organisation—have facilitated
payment banks and portals. An emphasis on the rapid growth.
The challenges to effective strategic decision making are shortcomings need to be addressed in order to respond
rooted in leadership concerns, budgetary considerations, quickly and effectively in an environment of uncertainty,
and lack of manpower and resources. These change and opportunity.
A comprehensive analytical programme needs to have • Predictive analytics anticipates future behaviour or
the right mix of descriptive, diagnostic, predictive and estimates unknown outcomes. It discovers hidden
prescriptive capabilities. The complexity and maturity relationships among various factors in order to predict
of analytics modelling techniques also move in the same the outcome of future events.
order, starting with descriptive analytics and moving • Prescriptive analytics helps to specify a preferred course
towards prescriptive techniques. RIDFWLRQ,WRSWLPLVHVGHFLVLRQVE\HIğFLHQWO\DOORFDWLQJ
• 'HVFULSWLYHDQDO\WLFVğQGVZKDWLVFXUUHQWO\ UHVRXUFHVRUğQGLQJWKHPRVWVXLWDEOHZD\IRUZDUG
happening or has happened. It improves the The Big Decisions Survey highlights that the use of
XQGHUVWDQGLQJRISDVWSHUIRUPDQFHLGHQWLğHV analytics is mostly restricted to descriptive and predictive,
historical trends and monitors the performance with relatively limited use of prescriptive analytics as yet.
of actions. +RZHYHU,QGLDQOHDGHUVVFRUHKLJKHU WKDQWKHLU
• 'LDJQRVWLFDQDO\WLFVLGHQWLğHVZK\RXWFRPHVHYHQWV JOREDOFRXQWHUSDUWV LQWHUPVRIGHSOR\LQJSUHGLFWLYH
or trends occurred. It provides greater visualisation modelling techniques for decision making. Similarly, Indian
RIWKHGDWDLGHQWLğHVUHODWLRQVKLSVDQGH[SODLQV leaders have shown greater preference for prescriptive
the outcome. DQDO\WLFV DVFRPSDUHGWRJOREDOOHDGHUV
%
19 3% Ind
dia, bal, 1 i
Gl a,
In Glo o
23 27%
ba
Prescriptive: Descriptive:
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Predictive: Diagnostics:
a, 1
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happen? lob
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ia 29%
Ind
8 PwC
Speed and sophistication
Source: ‘The power of analytics for better and faster decisions’ – WEF Annual Meeting presentation
Improving both speed and sophistication will help with multi-format data and analytical skills to perform
increase the return on investment for data and insightful analyses.
analytics. With the cycle of innovation narrowing, The survey results show the current level of speed and
organisations cannot take months, or even weeks, to sophistication in orange, while magenta indicates the
analyse an opportunity. They must increase the speed level that companies aim to reach by 2020. This survey
at which they make decisions while applying the right also reveals that Indian organisations are currently at
insight to their problems using more sophisticated higher levels of speed and sophistication as compared
data analytics. The key challenges that need to be WRJOREDORUJDQLVDWLRQVZKLFKGLVSOD\DVLJQLğFDQWJDS
overcome are data quality, readiness of systems to deal between their current state and future expectations.
10 PwC
Data-driven decision making
Global India
Rarely data-driven, Rarely data-driven,
7.9% 2.6%
Strategic decisions are often based on human instincts. Respondents were asked to rate their organisation on
To gain a competitive edge, advanced machine learning two parameters. First, on how analysis is performed—
techniques should be used to complement experience whether it is human judgement driven or based on
and intuition, and support the volume and frequency machine algorithms. Second, on how they perceive the
of decisions. The use of data analytics and emerging future risks to be—whether they will be known and
technologies can help an organisation uncover patterns manageable or unknown and uncertain.
that lead to new predictions. 7KH%LJ'HFLVLRQV6XUYH\UHVXOWVVKRZWKDW
At the same time, it’s important for all organisations of Indian leaders use machine analysis/algorithms
to understand and manage risk in their day-to-day DVFRPSDUHGWRRIJOREDOOHDGHUV2QWKHKXPDQ
operations and strategic decisions. Analytics makes MXGJHPHQWSDUDPHWHU,QGLDQOHDGHUVKDGDVFRUH
it possible to assess risks that were previously seen DVFRPSDUHGWRIRUJOREDOOHDGHUV7KHVHVWDWLVWLFV
DVXQTXDQWLğDEOH7KLVFUHDWHVDQRSSRUWXQLW\IRU clearly demonstrate that Indian leaders trust analytical
organisations to better manage their risk and make sure tools and techniques while taking important decisions as
that an appropriate return is being achieved. against relying on their instincts.
Global India
A wide variety of machine algorithms are being used Factor analysis: Used to analyse large numbers of
for developing analytical models for solving different dependent variables to detect certain aspects of
business issues: the independent variables (factors) affecting those
Cluster analysis: The task of grouping a set of objects in dependent variables
such a way that objects in the same group (cluster) are Machines won’t replace human judgment, but the right
more similar, in one sense or another, to each other than mix of mind and machine can reduce the impact of
to those in other groups (clusters) human bias, yield more accurate answers and de-risk
Regression analysis: A statistical process for estimating decisions—even for complex problems.
relationships between a dependent variable and one or The cost of technology is falling, opening up many
more independent variables more sources of data, synthesised from both internal
Decision tree analysis: A decision support tool that and external sources and a variety of machine learning
uses a tree-like graph of decisions and their possible algorithms. This gives company executives real-time
consequences, including chance event outcomes and FRQğGHQFHDURXQGWKHKDSSHQLQJVRIWKHLURUJDQLVDWLRQ
resource costs and utility Individuals can use data to connect the grass roots of
an organisation to the boardroom in a quick, effective
Time Series analysis: Comprises methods for analysing DQGFRQğGHQWZD\7KLVHQKDQFHGYLVLELOLW\PHDQVWKDW
time series data to extract meaningful statistics and other strategic decision making becomes more proactive and
characteristics of the data less reactive.
12 PwC
Functions driving analytics adoption
The survey reveals that the leading functions in terms which show a high usage of predictive and prescriptive
of analytics adoption in organizations are IT, Strategy DQDO\WLFV RYHUUHVSRQGHQWV DORQJVLGHWKHGHVFULSWLYH
& business development and General Management and diagnostic forms.
Overall, it can therefore be said that over the short requisites and developing the right skills and insights in
term, an IT department will have a major role to order to institutionalise data-driven decision making
play in establishing the infrastructure and data pre- in organisations.
Big decision making is changing. Many business they’d like to take their company. That being said, they need
leaders now have enriched information to draw upon WRFRQVLGHUWKHIROORZLQJğYHVWHSVEHIRUHDUULYLQJDWWKHLU
before making a choice about the direction in which next big decision:
1
Keep an open mind
Data analysis is not limited to recurring decisions. Some executives already rely on it
for one-off decisions, such as identifying a potential mergers and acquisitions target.
2
Unlock existing insights
Data does not have to be ‘big’ to be useful. Analysing databases previously
mothballed or kept in silos can lead to fresh insights.
5
Take the lead on accountability
Being clear about who has decision-making rights can improve outcomes.
Opening up access to data and analysis can allow decisions to be challenged.
The reshaping of businesses kicked off by the global introduces analytics in a phase-wise approach.
recession is set to continue. Although this should offer +RZHYHUWKLVLVDVORZSURFHVVDQGWKHWLPHWRğUVW
up plenty of opportunities, these decisions will be taken insight increases drastically.
in an uncertain economic environment, often as a • Inorganic in-house: In this case, an organisation
reaction to changes beyond the decision maker’s control. buys an analytics company which can start
More people have become involved, and a majority working on various analytics projects across the
RIğUPVKDYHLQFRUSRUDWHGGDWDDQGDQDO\VLVLQWKHLU enterprise. This approach can improve the time to
decision-making process. This has mostly been for the value. However, integration issues might cause the
better; however, potential pitfalls remain. Establishing analytics resources to take some time to understand
clear decision rights and accountability is crucial, and the organisation’s processes and culture.
similar discipline must be applied to the amount and • Primarily outsourced: In this case, the entire
type of data being collected and analysed to avoid analytics work is completely outsourced to an
overload. external vendor who ingests the various data feeds
While many organisations have started their analytics from the retailer, performs the analysis and sends
journey and are at various stages of maturity, they are the results and insights back to the retailer. This
still struggling to identify the most appropriate model for approach can deliver quick results, but in the long
sustainable analytics implementation. They can adopt run, it can prove to be an expensive proposition
analytics across their enterprise using various options: for the organisation due to reliance on the
• Organic in-house: An organisation augments its external vendor, along with loss of control on
in-house analytics team over a period of time and analytics operations.
14 PwC
• Hybrid model (recommended): This model is a Organic Inorganic Primarily Hybrid
combination of in-house and outsourcing approaches. in-house in-house outsourced Model
It helps the organisation in countering the challenges
in terms of availability of skilled resources and Time to value 8 Ù 9 9
investing a huge amount of money upfront. An Total cost of
external consultant works with the organisation to set ownership Ù 9 Ù 9
up an analytics centre of excellence and to co-create
Access to
various analytics models on its premises. This not latest best 8 Ù 9 9
only helps in gaining access to the latest best practices practices
prevalent in the market but also keeps the retailer in
control at all times. Control of
9 9 8 9
operations
Whatever the business issue or industry sector,
organisations need to draw upon a number of core building Suggested
Source: PwC analysis approach
blocks to capture and manage data, analyse it to release
insight and ensure it drives business change going forward.
Our Data and Analytics practice has been working with the retail and consumer, insurance, banking, private
leading organisations across the globe, helping them equity, manufacturing, mining and utilities, telecom,
with strategy and needs assessment, benchmarking, automotive, healthcare, pharma and government sectors.
process management, vendor and tool evaluation, We are experts in implementing analytics solutions
PRGHOLPSOHPHQWDWLRQğQDQFLDOPRGHOOLQJDQDO\WLFV through leading market tools, by aligning them to the
competency centre set-up as well as support and change client’s technology landscape.
management. We have executed multiple projects across
Contact us
For a deeper conversation on how technology can help with your big decisions, please contact:
Contributors
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