Chapter 5
Chapter 5
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The AFI Strategy Framework
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Chapter 5 Outline
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Chapter 5 Outline
*True/False?
A firm that achieves positive financial performance has
competitive advantage over other competitors in the
same industry.
False. Maybe the whole industry can have positive financial peformance.
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Assessing Competitive Advantage
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Accounting Profitability Ratios
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Apple vs. Microsoft
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5.1 Competitive Advantage and Firm
Performance
To measure competitive advantage, we must:
1. Assess firm performance and
2. Benchmark to the industry average / other competitors
**Tax shield=the reduction in income taxes that results from taking an allowable deduction
from taxable income
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Invested Capital=Net working capital + Net property, plant, and equipment + Goodwill + Other operating assets
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
= 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛 𝑋 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝑇𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 = 𝑅𝑂𝐴 𝑅𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 𝑜𝑛 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
= 𝐿𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 (𝑇ℎ𝑒 𝑎𝑚𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑒𝑏𝑡 𝑢𝑠𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝑓𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑎 𝑓𝑖𝑟𝑚′ 𝑠 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠)
𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
𝑅𝑂𝐴 𝑋 𝐿𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 = 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
= ROE (Return on Equity)
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Limitations of Accounting Data
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Limitations of Accounting Data
4% $400
3% $300
2%
$200
1%
0% $100
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
-1% $0
ROA Ind. ROA Stock price
industry ROA
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Annual revenue of Amazon Web Services from 2013 to 2020 (in million U.S. dollars)
Amazon Web Services: Annual revenue 2013-2020
50,000
45,370
45,000
40,000
Revenue in million U.S. dollars
35,026
35,000
30,000
25,655
25,000
20,000 17,459
15,000 12,219
10,000 7,880
4,644
5,000 3,108
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
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Limitations of Accounting Data
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Real Example
• https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/
000156459020004475/tsla-10k_20191231.htm
• Tesla, INC
• 10-K (annual financial statement)
• 8-K (quarterly financial statement)
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Tesla 10-K
• Automotive
• Services
• Energy generation and storage
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• Earning per share is one of the most important variables for
determining a company’s share prices. A high EPS indicates
that the company is more profitable and has more profits to
distribute to shareholders.
• P/E Ratio = the price-to-earnings ratio indicates the dollar
amount an investor can expect to invest in a company in
order to receive one dollar of that company’s earnings.
P/E=20. (willing to pay $20 for $1 of current earnings).
what kind of earnings? earning per share or revenues
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Shareholder Value Creation
• Shareholders
– Own one or more shares of stock in a company
– The legal owners of public companies
• Risk Capital
– Money provided for an equity share in a company
– Cannot be recovered if the firm goes bankrupt
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Shareholder Value Creation
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Shareholder Value Creation
• Market Capitalization
– External and forward-looking performance measure
– Efficient-market hypothesis: all available information
about a firm’s past, current state, and expected future
performance is reflected in the market price of the firm’s
stock
– Dollar value of total shares outstanding
– Number of outstanding shares x share price
e.g.) 50 million shares outstanding traded at $200 in the
market: 50million*200 = $10 billion
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Limitations of Shareholder Value Creation
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Limitations of Shareholder Value Creation
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10억
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$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$100
$200
$300
$0
19900331
19901231
19910930
19920630
19930331
19931231
19940930
19950630
19960331
19961231
19970930
19980630
19990331
19991231
Apple
20000930
20010630
20020331
20021231
20030930
20040630
20050331
20051231
Microsoft
20060930
20070630
20080331
20081231
20090930
Market Capitalization: Apple vs. Microsoft
20100630
20110331
20111231
Shareholder Value Creation
20120930
20130630
20140331
20141231
20150930
20160630
Exhibit 5.4 Apple’s Market Cap
(December 2011- April 2013)
Market Capitalization
=Number of outstanding shares
X Share price
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Economic Value Creation
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Economic Value Creation and Competitive Advantage
$1000 $1200
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Economic Value Creation and Competitive Advantage
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Economic Value Creation and Competitive Advantage
$1200 $1200
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Economic Value Creation and Competitive Advantage
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What Makes the Apple Watch Tick
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Producer & Consumer Surplus
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Economic Value Creation
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Economic Value Creation and Competitive Advantage
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Opportunity Costs
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Opportunity Costs: Exercise
• You have two options for your career path after graduation: 1)
being an entrepreneur or 2) being an employee.
✓ You need to invest $750,000 to open your own business.
✓ You can make an accounting profit of $70,000 (total revenue –
expense) if you choose option 1.
✓ Your salary is $60,000 if you choose option 2.
✓ If you choose option 2, you can buy U.S. Treasury bills with a 2percent
return instead of investing $750,000 in your business.
Considering all these factors, which option do you prefer and why?
What if you value the independence as an entrepreneur more than
5,000?
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Limitations of Economic Value Creation
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The Balanced Scorecard Approach
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The Balanced Scorecard Approach
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Chapter 5 Summary
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Key Takeaway 1
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Key Takeaway 2
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Key Takeaway 3
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Exercise Answer
NOPAT=6800-1250+825=6375
IC=(-2500)+4000+5000+1700+10000=18200
ROIC=6375/18200=0.3503
Decompose the CA
(6375/36200) X (36200/18200)=0.1761 X 1.989=0.3503
Consumer advantage (0.1761) X Production advantage
(1.989)
*There were only two groups that had right answer for
ROIC question.
**There were only one group that had right answers for
every question. (Trevor and Inchul; good job)
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