Selfstudys Com File
Selfstudys Com File
Objective
In this lesson, we will go through the meaning and objectives of regional grouping.
Regional Grouping
In this day and age, the general consensus among all nations is to understand the
development strategies followed by other nations and to strengthen their respective
economies. Countries aim for mutual cooperation with the motive of working towards
their common interests.
To achieve this objective, different nations come together to form regional and global
economic groups.
Regional grouping refers to the formal agreement that various nations enter into
in terms of economic, political and social integration. Member countries of a
regional group seek to attain higher economic growth by pooling in their resources and
minimising trade restrictions.
A regional group also provides a common platform to the member countries to raise
their voices in a unified manner on certain common issues so as to safeguard their
common interests.
SAARC, European Union, G-8, G-20 and ASEAN are some examples of regional and
economic groups.
Objective
In this lesson, we will analyse the development strategy followed by China, India and
Pakistan.
Introduction
All of you must be aware that India and Pakistan got independence in the year 1947.
But do you know that China also got independence around the same time, in the year
1949? Thus, all the three nations, India, Pakistan and China started on the path of
development at the same time.
India announced its first five-year plan for the period 1951-56, while in Pakistan the first
five-year plan was introduced in the year 1956 and was named as 'Medium Term Plan'.
China, on the other hand, initiated its planning in the year1953. Moreover, the strategies
of development followed by the three nations bear high similarity.
Let us analyse the development strategies followed by China India and Pakistan in
detail.
The People's Republic of China came into existence in the year 1949. It followed a one
party rule. The development strategy of China can be traced from the below mentioned
points.
1. Great Leap Forward Program of 1958: With the view of attaining rapid growth,
China initiated the Great Leap Forward (GLF) program in 1958. GLF aimed at country’s
industrialisation on massive scale and simultaneously transforming the economy from
an agrarian to an industrialised economy. The following were the major objectives of
Great Leap Forward Program.
i) Large scale industrialisation: The major objective of the campaign was to initiate large
scale industrialisation in the country. The expanse of the program can be judged from
the fact that the people in the urban areas were motivated to set up industries even in
their backyards.
ii) Commune system in agriculture: Under the commune system, the farmers were
encouraged to cultivate land collectively and not individually. That is, the farmers were
encouraged to combine their individual plots of land and perform farming collectively.
According to the estimates, in the year 1958, there were about 26,000 communes that
covered almost the entire farming population. The basic objective of the system was to
enable the farmers to reap the benefits of large scale production.
However, the GLF faced serious problems in the later years. The following were the two
major problems that hindered the success of GLF.
i) Failure of agriculture policies: In 1960, due to the failure of agricultural policies and
bad monsoon, China was badly hit by a massive famine. The drought claimed the lives
of nearly 30 million people.
ii) Withdrawal of professionals by Russia: Due to certain border conflicts with China,
Russia withdrew the professionals that it had sent to China. These professionals were
important and aided the industrialisation process in China. Thus, their withdrawal greatly
hampered the industrialisation process.
2. The Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution, 1966: After the failure of the GLF, the
'Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution' was introduced by Mao in the year 1966. This
revolution aimed at enforcing socialism and eradicating capitalism and cultural elements
in China. Under the revolution, the students and professionals were forced to learn and
work from within the countryside.
i) Division of commune lands: Under the reforms, the commune land was divided into
small plots and was given to the individual households. The households would cultivate
the land and retain the income so generated after paying all the taxes. As the farmers
could keep the profits with themselves, this encouraged greater farm investment and
thereby, higher productivity.
ii) Reforms in the industrial sector: As per the reforms, the private sector firms were also
allowed to undertake production of goods and services. That is, the private sector firms
broke the monopoly of the state owned enterprises. The state owned enterprises now
faced competition from the private enterprises.
iii) Dual-pricing: The economic reforms also introduced the concept of dual-pricing.
Dual-pricing implies that the farmers and the industrial units were required to buy and
sell certain fixed quantities of inputs and outputs at the legislated price as fixed by the
government and the remaining quantities can be traded at the prevailing market price.
In other words, there exists two prices in the market simultaneously, one, as fixed by the
government and second the market price.
iv) Setting up of Special Economic Zones: Special economic zones were also set up to
attract greater foreign investment.
Thus, it can be summed up that China’s economic development can be attributed to the
success of the multi-dimensional economic reforms that were introduced and
implemented strictly.
Soon after independence, the basic objective of India was to pull up the economy from
the state of deterioration and stagnation. In this regard, various policies were followed.
Some of the key features of the development strategy followed by India are as follows.
1. Path of mixed economy: India followed the path of mixed economy. The path of
mixed economy implied the co-existence of public sector and private sector. Although,
India laid a strong emphasis on public sector, it also stressed on the active participation
of the private sector in a democratic framework.
2. Heavy reliance on public sector in the initial years: In the initial years of planning,
public sector was accorded a dominant role in the growth and development process.
The public sector controlled the development of strategic and basic industries in the
country such as iron and steel industry, railways, etc.
3. Industrial Policy Resolution (IPR), 1956: Industrial Policy Resolution was passed in
the year 1956 with the objective of increasing the industrial base of the country. This
policy rested on three major features- three fold classification of industries, Industrial
licensing policy and Industrial concession policy. In addition to this, emphasis was also
laid on the development of the small scale industries.
4. Inward looking trade policy during 1951-1991: During the initial seven years of
planning, India followed an inward looking trade policy in the form of import substitution.
The policy of import substitution implies substituting imports with domestically produced
goods. This strategy emphasised on reducing the dependence of Indian economy on
the foreign goods and also aimed at providing impetus to the budding domestic firms.
To serve this purpose, the Government of India also provided various financial
encouragements, incentives and licenses to the domestic firms in order to produce the
import substituted goods.
5. Export promotion policy: Emphasis was laid by the policymakers on the promotion
of exports with the aim of increasing the volume of foreign exchange reserves. Another
purpose of this policy was to make India a self reliant nation in the world market.
7. New Economic Policy of 1991: The industrial and trade policies followed by India in
the initial years of planning yielded fruitful results only in the short run, but in the long
run it had serious negative consequences. The public sector was plagued with
inefficiencies and incurred huge losses. Moreover, excessive control on the private
sector hampered their growth and the industrial sector lacked modernisation.
As a result, Indian economy regressed into a state of stagnation. By the year 1991,
India faced a serious economic crisis. India faced mounting foreign debt. To overcome
the situation, India initiated the multi-dimensional economic reforms in the year 1991,
which are collectively known as New Economic Policy (NEP).
The New Economic Policy replaces liberalisation (L) in place of licensing; privatisation
(P) in place of quotas; and globalisation (G) in place of permits for exports and
imports. Liberalisation provided greater role to the market forces. It initiated a
gradual move from a planned socialist economy towards a market economy. On the
other hand, privatisation imparted greater role to the private sector undertakings in the
growth and development process. With globalisation, the liberalisation and the
privatisation policies were extended and the Indian economy was opened up to the
world economy.
Pakistan largely followed the development strategy adopted by India. The following are
the key features of the development strategy followed by Pakistan.
1. Mixed economy pattern: With the objective of economic development, Pakistan
adopted the path of mixed economy with the co-existence of both private and public
sectors.
5. Policy orientation in 1970's and 1980's: In order to encourage the private sector,
Pakistan shifted its policy orientation by denationalising the thrust areas in the late
1970s and early 1980s. For their encouragement and active participation, various
incentives were offered by the government to the private sector.
The three countries started off on the path of development following their respective
development strategies. Now the next question that needs to be analysed is that how
well each of the nations fared. In the subsequent lessons, we analyse the performance
of the three nations on various grounds such as GDP growth rate, demographic
indicators and human development indicators.
Objective
Introduction
In the previous lesson, we studied about the development strategies of India, China and
Pakistan. In this lesson, we will analyse how the three countries have fared in the
development process by comparing their respective sectoral contribution of output to
GDP.
Agriculture 23 15 23 60 54 49
According to the table, in China, the agricultural sector contributed 15% to GDP in 2003.
For the same period, this sector had an 8% more share in GDP in both Pakistan and
India. The relatively lower contribution of the Chinese primary sector to GDP reflects the
measures taken by China to shift the emphasis of its economy from the agricultural
sector to the industrial and services sectors. The table shows that in each nation, a
significant percentage of the total workforce is engaged in agriculture and allied
activities.
The given table shows the comparative study of the contributions of the secondary sector
to GDP in India, China and Pakistan, and the workforce employed in this sector in the
three nations.
Industry 26 53 23 16 27 18
According to the table, in China, the industrial or manufacturing sector contributed 53%
to GDP in 2003. For the same period, the contributions of this sector to GDP in Pakistan
and India were only 23% and 26% respectively. The significantly higher contribution of
the Chinese industrial sector to GDP reflects the higher pace of industrialisation in
China as compared to that in Pakistan or India. Further evidence of this fact is that
among the three nations, China has the highest proportion of workforce engaged in the
industrial sector.
The given table shows the comparative study of the contributions of the tertiary sector to
GDP in India, China and Pakistan, and the workforce employed in this sector in the
three nations.
According to the table, in China, the services sector contributed 32% to GDP in 2003.
For the same period, the contributions of this sector to GDP in Pakistan and India were
54% and 51%, respectively. Clearly, in both India and Pakistan, the services sector
contributes considerably more to the GDP than the agricultural and industrial sectors.
However, this sector employs only 24% and 37% of the total workforce in India and
Pakistan respectively. Thus, we see that although the agricultural sector employs the
largest proportion of the workforce in each of these countries, it is the services sector
that contributes the most to GDP. In other words, the sector that employs the greater
part of the total workforce, contributes the least to GDP.
The following figure shows the contributions of the different sectors to GDP in the three
nations.
Comparative Study of the Trend in Output Growth in Different Sectors
The given table shows the comparative study of the trends in output growth in the
different sectors in India, China and Pakistan.
The development path of any developed nation reveals to us that development leads to
a shift in employment and output—first, from the agricultural sector to the manufacturing
sector; then, from the manufacturing sector to the services sector.
We can observe this growth pattern in case of China. The share of the agricultural
sector declined from 5.9% in 1980–90 to 3.9% in 1990–2003. During the same period,
the share of the manufacturing sector marginally increased from 10.8% to 11.8%, while
the share of the services sector declined from 13.5% to 8.8%.
In case of India, the output growth trends reveal that there has been a direct shift
from the agricultural sector to the services sector. For the given period, the share of
the agricultural sector fell from 3.1% to 2.7%, while the share of the services sector
increased greatly from 6.9% to 7.9%. The share of the manufacturing sector reduced
from 7.4% to 6.6%.
Thus, growth in China has been driven by the manufacturing sector; meanwhile,
in India, it is the services sector that has been the driving force.
In case of Pakistan, the shares of all the three sectors in GDP have been on the
decline. For the given period, the share of the agricultural sector declined from 4% to
3.7%; the share of the manufacturing sector declined from 7.7% to 3.9%; and the share
of the services sector declined from 6.8% to 4.3%.
Comparison of Demographic Indicators and Human Development Indicators in
India, China and Pakistan
Objective
In the previous lesson, we compared the GDP growth rate and the contribution of
different sectors to GDP in China, India and Pakistan. In this lesson, let us analyse how
the three nations differ in terms of the various demographic indicators (i.e. indicators
related to the population). Some of the important demographic indicators are as follows.
2. Annual growth rate of population: Although China is the largest populated country
but a strong positive point for China is that its annual growth rate of population is just
1% per annum, while that of India and Pakistan is 1.7% and 2.5% per annum
respectively. With such a high growth rate it would not be wrong to expect that in the
forthcoming decades India will surpass the total population of China.
The low population growth rate of China can be attributed to the one-child norm policy
followed by it. However, this implies that in the coming decades, there will be more
elderly people in proportion to young people. This will oblige the country to provide
social security measures with fewer workers.
3. Density of population: In spite of the fact that China is highly populated, its density
of population is the lowest. It is as low as 138 persons per square kilometre of area
compared to 358 and 193 persons in India and Pakistan respectively. Low degree of
density of population in China suggests a lower pressure on the country’s natural
resources and higher probability of sustainable development.
4. Sex ratio: This ratio counts the number of females per 1000 males. The sex ratio in
all the three countries is almost the same, with China having a marginally higher sex
ratio of 937 females per 1000 males. A low sex ratio depicts a situation of low economic
and social status of women.
5. Fertility rate: This rate refers to the number of children a woman gives birth to during
her lifetime. China enjoys an upper hand in this case. The fertility rate of Chinese
woman is only 1.8, whereas that of India and Pakistan is 3.0 and 5.1 respectively. This
implies that in India and Pakistan a woman usually gives birth to approximately 3 and 5
children respectively, in a lifetime. This is the most important concern for both India and
Pakistan as with such a high fertility rate, population in the coming decades will surpass
that of China.
6. Urbanisation: Similar to other demographic indicators, China scores above India and
Pakistan in urbanisation as well. China is comparatively more urbanised than India and
Pakistan. The rate of urbanisation in China is 36.1%, while that in India and Pakistan is
27.8% and 33.4% respectively.
The degree of urbanisation depicts the standard and quality of living of people of a
particular country. Higher the degree of urbanisation, higher is the standard of living.
Also, urbanisation confirms the shift in the economic structure of an economy. Higher
degree of urbanisation reveals higher industrialisation and development of tertiary
sector in the economy.
Comparative analysis of various demographic indicators in the three nations can be
summarised with the help of the following table.
Demographic Indicators, 2000-01
Annual
Estimated Growth
Density
Population Rate of Sex Fertility Urbanisation
Country (per sq.
(in Population Ratio Rate (%)
km)
millions) (1990-
2003)
India 1103.6 1.7 358 933 3.0 27.8
China 1303.7 1.0 138 937 1.8 36.1
Pakistan 162.4 2.5 193 922 5.1 33.4
Conclusion: From the above analysis, it can be concluded that although China is the
largest populated country, its other demographic indicators are stronger than those of
both India and Pakistan. It is expected that in the coming decades China would improve
on this ground as well.
In other words, it would not be wrong to expect a decline in China’s population in the
coming decades due to implementation of various policy measures regarding population
and also due to low annual growth rate of population.
We know that human development refers to the holistic development and overall well
being of the human capital of a nation. Based on the various parametres of human
development, an index for human development (Human Development Index) can be
constructed. Different countries can be ranked on the basis of their performance on HDI
indicators. Higher the HDI rank of a nation, higher is the performance of the nation in
terms of social and economic development. HDI (Human Development Index) of a
country is based on the following individual indices/rates.
1. Life expectancy rate: Life expectancy refers to the number of years one is expected
to live. Higher life expectancy rate reflects better access to health facilities in the
country. As per the Human Development Report 2005, life expectancy for China is
approximately 71.6 years, whereas for India and Pakistan it is approximately 63 years.
2. Adult literacy rate: Adult literacy rate refers to that percentage of population (above
the age of 15 years) who can read and write. In China, adult literacy rate is
approximately 90.9%, while in India and Pakistan it is 61% and 48.7% respectively.
3. Infant mortality rate: Infant mortality rate refers to the number of deaths of infants
under the age of one year per 1000 live births. China has the lowest level of infant
mortality among the three nations at 30 per thousand, while India and Pakistan has
infant mortality of 63 and 81 per thousand respectively.
4. Maternal mortality rate: Maternal mortality rate refers to the number of maternal
deaths per 100,000 live births. For China, the rate of maternal mortality is very low at 56
per thousand as compared to India and Pakistan where maternal mortality rate is 540
and 500 per thousand respectively.
5. Percentage of population below poverty line: China has 16% of population living
below poverty line while for India and Pakistan it is 34% and 13% respectively.
6. Per capita GDP: In terms of Purchasing Power Parity, China has highest per capita
GDP of $5,003. As against this, the per capita GDP in India and Pakistan is $2,892 and
$2,097 respectively.
The following table summarises the comparative analysis of the various human
development indicators in the three nations.
Some Selected Indicators of Human Development, 2003
Indices/Rates India China Pakistan
Conclusion: From the above analysis it can be concluded that China scores over India
and Pakistan in all the indicators of HDI. Global HDI ranking for China is 81, for
Pakistan it is 128 and for India it is 136.
It is often argued that in the construction of HDI, certain other indicators that are the
liberty indicators must also be included. Liberty indicators are defined as a measure of
the extent of demographic participation in the social and political decision-making. In
other words, it is an index used to measure the participation of people in making
decisions. The following are some of the examples of liberty indicators that can be
introduced while constructing HDI.
It is said that if liberty indicators are also included for the construction of HDI, the global
HDI ranking for India will improve considerably. This is because India performs fairly
high on these indicators as compared to China and Pakistan.
Objective
In the previous few lessons, we analysed the development policies and strategies
adopted by India, China and Pakistan. Also, we examined the performances of the three
nations on various grounds. In this lesson, we critically evaluate their development
strategies.
We know that every nation goes through different phases of development. For a nation,
an analysis of the development strategies of other nations in terms of their failures and
achievements acts as a guiding principle in formulating their own policies and
strategies. Thereby, it guides the nation in the path of development.
For the purpose of comparison, we take the initiation of reforms as the point of
reference and analyse the performance of the nations on various grounds in the pre-
reform and the post-reform period. Among India, China and Pakistan, China was the
first nation to initiate the reforms in the year 1978. On the other hand, Pakistan and
India introduced the reforms in the year 1988 and 1991 respectively.
Prior to the introduction of reforms, China was under the Maoist rule. The Maoist
strategy of development was based on the ideas of decentralisation, achieving self-
sufficiency and discard of foreign technology. However, such a system resulted in slow
economic growth rate.
The economy suffered from lack of modernisation. Moreover, despite the extensive
focus on the agriculture sector to improve the production and productivity through the
Great Leap Forward and the commune system, the per capita food grain remained
stagnant. That is, the objective of self-sufficiency could not be actually achieved.
Consequently, unsatisfied with the slow growth rate, China decided to introduce the
reforms in the year 1978.
After the introduction of the reforms the Chinese economy experienced a positive
change. The following points highlight the success of the reforms in China.
3. Better implementation of reforms: Each reform was first initiated on a small scale
and then in the later phases was extended to a larger scale. The experimentation at the
small scale helped in better administration and thereby, better implementation of the
reforms on the large scale.
4. Export driven manufacturing: Under the reform process, Chinese economy was
opened up to the world economy. The planners highly encouraged exports and the
manufacturing activities were export driven. With this China experienced a drastic rise in
the growth rate.
Thus, it can be said that with the reforms, China experienced a rapid growth.
1. Greater dependency on the public sector enterprises: The main cause behind the
slow economic growth in Pakistan is excess dependence on public sector enterprises.
Pakistan relied largely on the policy of protection by assigning central role to the public
sector enterprises. However, the operational inefficiencies of public sector enterprises
along with the misallocation of scarce resources resulted in dormant economic growth
rate.
5. Lack of political stability: The lack of political stability demanded huge public
expenditure for maintaining law and order in the country. This huge public expenditure
acted as a drain on the country’s economic resources.
6. Insufficient foreign Investment: Pakistan also failed to attract sufficient foreign
investment due to lack of political stability, low degree of international credibility and
lack of well developed infrastructure.
The development strategy followed by India and Pakistan bear high degree of
resemblance. The major similarities between the developmental strategies of the two
nations can be summed up as follows.
i) Same period of the initiation of development process: India and Pakistan both
have started their development programmes based on economic planning soon after
their independence in 1947.
ii) Reliance on public sector: Both the countries relied heavily on public sector for
initiating the process of growth and development.
iii) Mixed economic structure: Both of them have followed the path of mixed economic
structure involving the participation of both the state as well as the private sector.
iv) Same period of the initiation of reforms: Both the nations introduced economic
reforms at the same time to strengthen their economies.
The two nations have also experienced similar success and failures in their respective
development strategies. The common achievements and failures of India and Pakistan
are as follows.
Common Achievements of India and Pakistan
i) Increase in the per capita income: Over the years, both the nations have been able
to successfully increase their per capita income. This is despite the fact that population
in both the countries has increased tremendously.
ii) Self-sufficiency in food: Both the countries have been able to achieve self-
sufficiency in the food grain production. The food grain production has risen
proportionately with the population growth rate. As a result, the nutrition status in the
two countries has improved considerably.
iii) Growth of the modern sector: With the growth and development process, there
has been a gradual shift from the traditional sector (agriculture sector) to the the modern
and industrial sector.
ii) Heavy reliance on public sector: In the initial years of planning, both the nations
accorded greater priority to the public sector with the private sector playing only a
subsidiary role. However, the public sector was plagued with inefficiencies and
hampered the growth rate.
iii) High fiscal deficit: Both India and Pakistan faced a heavy debt burden and
continuously rising fiscal deficit. The average fiscal deficit has been around 7% of the
GDP in both the nations.
iv) Corruption and bureaucracy: Both the nations suffer from high degree of
corruption at all levels of the system. As a result, the growth plans and policies suffered
from improper implementation.
The following diagram summarises the similarities in the development strategies and
the achievements and failures in India and Pakistan.
Areas Where India Scores over Pakistan
Although both India and Pakistan followed similar development strategies, there are
certain areas where India has outshined Pakistan.
i) Better human capital: Human capital formation has been far better in India than in
Pakistan. Number of research scholars in India is far greater than in Pakistan. The
overall literacy rate in India has improved much more in comparison to Pakistan.
ii) Control over the population growth rate: With continuous efforts of the
government in terms of population control programmes and due to improvement in the
literacy rates, India has been able to control its population growth rate. The population
growth rate in India is 1.7% while, that in Pakistan it is 2.5%.
iii) Better health status: Comparatively, India fares better than Pakistan in terms of the
health status. Overall the health issues, particularly infant mortality, have been better
dealt with in India.
i) Shift from the agriculture sector to the industrial sector: The structural
transformation from the agriculture sector to the industrial Sector has been greater in
Pakistan than in India. In Pakistan, a greater section of the workforce has migrated from
the agriculture sector to the manufacturing sector.
ii) Rise in the standard of living: Although the growth rate in India has been higher
than that in Pakistan, the overall standard of living has improved more in Pakistan.
Pakistan has been able to reduce its BPL (Below Poverty Line) population to 13.4%. As
against this, India has 21.8% of its population below the poverty line.
iii) Better external trade: Pakistan experienced a greater expansion of external trade
than India. In Pakistan, the trade-GDP ratio is 20%, while that in India it is just 10%.
i) Early start of the reform process: In China, the reform process started in 1980's.
As against this, India initiated the reforms in 1990's.
ii) Difference in the objective: One of the major objectives of the reform process in
China has been the reduction of poverty. As a result, during the period 1978 to 1989,
China has been able to reduce the rural poverty by 85%. On the other hand, the sole
focus of the reforms in India has been achieving high growth rate with stability and
thereby, lagged behind in terms of other areas such as poverty, unemployment, etc.
iii) Better impact of the agricultural reforms: Reforms in the agriculture sector in
China, particularly the Commune System, yielded high positive results. The agriculture
production and productivity as well as the status of the farmers have improved greatly in
China. As against this, in India, agriculture reforms could not yield much fruitful results.
iv) Opening up of economy: China was more liberal in terms of international trade
than India. Besides allowing 100% equity investment, it also allowed 100% FDI in retail.
Moreover, the manufacturing in China has been export driven. As a result, China has
been able to reap the benefits of globalisation, while India lags behind.