T/F Questions

1 0 WhenR2=1, then SSR=0 and Adjusted-R2=1.

2 TRUE
3 0 If Cov(X,Y)>0, then the slope in the regression of Y on X will be positive.
4 TRUE
5 0 See handout7r.pdf, page 29.
6 FALSE
7 1 See ExamplesHandout8R line 99-114, or InClassExamples_Handout8_SimulationOVB.xlsx.
8 0 When the dataset is small, the p-value for the t-statistic calculated based on the normal distributio
9 0 Depending on the sample, the sample correlation (r_xy) can be greater or less than the true (unkn
10 1 If F-statistic is zero, then R^2=0, then Corr(X,Y) = 0.
ut8_SimulationOVB.xlsx.
d based on the normal distribution will be different from that automatically reported by Excel and R. See InClassExamples_Handout6_Hou
reater or less than the true (unknown) population correlation.
assExamples_Handout6_HousePrices.xlsx.
Multiple Choice Questions
1A Sample Mean Sample SE Normal Cutoff Confidence Level
8 0.33333333333 1.641 90%
2E F-stat n
400 402
3A P(X=1) P(Y=Long|X=1) P(Y=Short|X=1) E(Y|X=1)

∆𝑌 SE( ∆𝑌)
0.7 0.1 0.9 22
4B SE(beta1) CI_L CI_H
50 250 5 41.80 58.20
5C TSS = ESS + SSR = ESS + 1/4ESS= 5/4ESS
R2 0.8
F 400
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square A
Adjusted R Square B
Standard Error C
Observations

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression D E F
Residual G
Total 399 5324284

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 528.12594951 30.87656636376 17.104426162 1.452875E-49 467.424400874
X 12.142503701 6.183032209063 0.0502439808 H

E 3.8566788067 A 0.00959715 B
F 0.0502439808 C 115.10521785 D
A 0.00959715 E 3.8566788067 F
D 51097.951948 G 13249.211176 H
B 0.0071087006
C 115.10521785
G 13249.211176
H 0.0237605711
I -1.680045957 Since the |t-stat| = |-1.68| = 1.68 is greater than 1.64 in absolute value, we can reject th

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.0979650446
R Square 0.00959715
Adjusted R Square 0.0071087006
Standard Error 115.10521785
Observations 400

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 51097.95194753 51097.951948 3.8566788067 0.05024398079
Residual 398 5273186.048052 13249.211176
Total 399 5324284
 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept 528.12594951 30.87656636376 17.104426162 1.452875E-49 467.424400874
X 12.142503701 6.183032209063 1.9638428671 0.0502439808 -0.0129810095
 Upper 95%
588.82749814

0.0071087006
51097.951948
0.0502439808
0.0237605711

4 in absolute value, we can reject the null.

 Upper 95%
588.82749814
24.297988411
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R A
R Square
Adjusted R Square B
Standard Error C
Observations 250

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression D 163.79582041 5.2761441E-68
Residual 14202.34831457
Total E

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept F 0.000197428 -45.510708487
X1 0.3632343129 0.196122043865 1.8520830488 0.0652168272 -0.0230660846
X2 G 1.805194E-05 0.00313830449
X3 0.050743812399 -2.3136077719 0.0215176884 H
X4 0.1731971852 1.036173E-38 0.15138753644

C 7.6137223899 A 0.8531314105 B
R2 0.7278332035 C 7.6137223899 D
A 0.8531314105 E 52182.516379 F
E 52182.516379 G 4.3524989997 H
D 37980.168064
B 0.723389664
F 7.955191368
SE for X2 0.0013117266
G 4.3524989997
Coefficients for X3 -0.117401279
H -0.216859151
SE for X4 0.0111273718
I -2.408728246 Since t-stat = |-2.42| = 2.42 (or 2.41 if using normal) is less than 2.58 in absolute value, w

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8531314105
R Square 0.7278332035
Adjusted R Square 0.723389664
Standard Error 7.6137223899
Observations 250

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 37980.16806401 9495.042016 163.79582041 5.2761441E-68
Residual 245 14202.34831457 57.968768631
Total 249 52182.51637858

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -29.91853341 7.916039603263 -3.7794825323 0.000197428 -45.510708487
X1 0.3632343129 0.196122043865 1.8520830488 0.0652168272 -0.0230660846
X2 0.0057092885 0.001305270851 4.374025928 1.805194E-05 0.00313830449
X3 -0.117401279 0.050743812399 -2.3136077719 0.0215176884 -0.2173510575
X4 0.1731971852 0.011072608051 15.641950334 1.036173E-38 0.15138753644
 Upper 95%
-14.326358324
0.7495347104
0.0082802726
-0.0174515

0.723389664
37980.168064
7.955191368
-0.216859151

s less than 2.58 in absolute value, we cannot reject the null.

 Upper 95%
-14.326358324
0.7495347104
0.0082802726
-0.0174515
0.195006834
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.795702235362407
R Square 0.633142047360731
Adjusted R Square 0.626591012492173
Standard Error 94.5475910496208
Observations 400

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 7 6047699.746472 863957.10664 96.647638131 2.32944979E-81
Residual 392 3504184.813528 8939.2469733
Total 399 9551884.56

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 198.216862871424 29.2484076974 6.7770138095 4.517397E-11 140.713495753
Income 3.51221638006787 0.136780487774 25.677758847 5.339449E-86 3.24330127588
Cards 7.83831748540138 3.462450569607 2.2638063209 0.0241319333 1.03102157055
Age -0.362050621572528 0.280203702151 -1.292097923 0.1970844349 -0.912940657
Education -0.155036106285023 1.52374394644 -0.1017468234 0.9190096588 -3.1507686759
Male -6.21936740839046 9.480279177312 -0.6560320948 0.5121883438 -24.857919618
Student -9.09486855880405 15.89862727912 -0.5720536999 0.567613492 -40.35211205
Married 1.42502010848499 9.791140847873 0.1455417842 0.8843579353 -17.824696748

Income
a 3.51 According to the regression, an increase in income of 1 thousand dollars is expected to in
 It is statistically significantly different from zero as the p-value reported above is far less t
Education
-0.155 According to the regression, having one more year of education is expected to decrease
It is not statistically significantly different from zero as the p-value reported above is grea
The regression model explains about 63% of the variation in rating.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.79524427757421
R Square 0.632413461014527
Adjusted R Square 0.629628714507061
Standard Error 94.1622308716462
Observations 400

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 6040740.373801 2013580.1246 227.09911273 1.10647818E-85
Residual 396 3511144.186199 8866.5257227
Total 399 9551884.56

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 192.969829533021 18.91689978545 10.200922547 7.53532E-22 155.779722718
Income 3.51058575504391 0.135903885527 25.831386214 5.920171E-87 3.24340243871
Cards 7.84980435054902 3.442042094797 2.2805660519 0.0231047755 1.08284387498
Age -0.359103596169019 0.277884672531 -1.2922756513 0.1970152774 -0.9054172507
b
F-stat 0.194629723614696
p-value 0.941144958053806
Null hypothesis (H0: the coefficients for education, male, student, and married are all equal to zero) cannot be rejected.
The restricted model in part b) fits as well as the unrestricted model in part a).

c
1.1034018447462 14.59620685635 CI for one unit change (don't need to report)
2.20680368949239 29.1924137127 CI for 2 unit change 2.16568774996
-0.903757554330731 0.185550361993 CI for one unit change (don't need to report)
-4.51878777165365 0.927751809963 CI for 5 unit change -4.5270862534

d Specific Prediction
633.128513767847 477.1172155133 789.13981202 SE(specific)
633.128513767847 476.2886 789.9684 using t (calculated in R)

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.79524427757421
R Square 0.632413461014527
Adjusted R Square 0.629628714507061
Standard Error 94.1622308716462
Observations 400

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 6040740.373801 2013580.1246 227.09911273 1.10647818E-85
Residual 396 3511144.186199 8866.5257227
Total 399 9551884.56

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 633.128513767847 13.52666082038 46.805972455 1.80026E-163 606.535469111
Income125 3.51058575504391 0.135903885527 25.831386214 5.920171E-87 3.24340243871
Cards2 7.84980435054901 3.442042094797 2.2805660519 0.0231047755 1.08284387498
Age40 -0.359103596169018 0.277884672531 -1.2922756513 0.1970152774 -0.9054172507

e According to this regression, a $1000 increase in income is associated with a 100*0.00886 = 0.886 percent increase i
Mean (rating) 354.94
Evaluated at the mean of rating, this is 0.00886*354.94 = 3.145 points increase in rating (evaluated at the average ra
According to part a), an increase of $1000 income would lead to 3.51 points in rating, so the answers seem somewha
We can't compare the R2 here with the model in part b), because the dependent variable is now different.
(Optional) In Depth Answer:We can take a look at the residual plots to compare the model fits. In a multiple regressio
In plot(fitted, residual), we would expect residuals to be symmetrically distributed, about
In Model e), var(residuals) is not stable as we move along the x-axis, and the residuals are
Therefore, we would be concerned about using Model e).

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.685377676074442
R Square 0.469742558861202
Adjusted R Square 0.465725457034393
Standard Error 0.330563439044297
Observations 400

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 38.3334546069 12.777818202 116.93568625 3.07005488E-54
Residual 396 43.27178614419 0.1092721872
Total 399 81.60524075109

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 5.38500022082394 0.066409168424 81.088204364 9.61634E-249 5.25444161475
Income 0.00886325164730344 0.000477100589 18.577322807 7.474972E-56 0.00792528496
Cards 0.0232775731843499 0.012083542007 1.926386582 0.0547715258 -0.0004783394
Age -0.00142991816269639 0.000975534587 -1.4657790525 0.1435020473 -0.0033477924
 Model a) Residual Plot
200

150

100

50
Residuals

0
150 250 350 450 550 650 750 850 950

-50

-100
Upper 95%
255.72022999 -150
3.7811314843
-200
14.6456134
0.1888394139 Predicted Rating
2.8406964633
12.419184801
22.162374932
20.674736965

thousand dollars is expected to increase rating by 3.51 points, holding all other variables constant.
-value reported above is far less than .01.

ducation is expected to decrease rating by 0.155 points, holding all other variables constant.
he p-value reported above is greater than .01.

Upper 95%
230.15993635
3.7777690714
14.616764826
0.1872100583
ot be rejected.

29.233529652 using t

0.9360502917 using t

95.128840399
 Upper 95%
659.72155842
3.7777690714
14.616764826
0.1872100583

.00886 = 0.886 percent increase in ratings, holding #cards and Age constant.

ating (evaluated at the average rating of 354.94).

g, so the answers seem somewhat different.
ariable is now different.
model fits. In a multiple regression we can take a look at the plot(fitted, residual) or plot(fitted, actual) to see how our model fits.
symmetrically distributed, about the y-axis. Also we would expect the var(residuals) to be stable throughout the range of x-axis. That's what we mos
ng the x-axis, and the residuals are not symmetric about the y-axis. We are clearly violating OLS Assumptions.

Model e) Residual Plot

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2
 0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.

Residuals
-0.2

-0.4

-0.6
Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-0.8
5.5155588269 5.254442 5.515559
0.0098012183 0.007925 0.009801
-1
0.0470334858 -0.000478 0.047033
-1.2
0.0004879561 -0.003348 0.000488
Predicted ln(Rating)
850 950
xis. That's what we mostly see in Model a) plot.
7 7.5
PersonID Rating Income Cards Age Education Male Student Married Income125
1 283 14.891 2 34 11 1 0 1 -110.109
2 483 106.025 3 82 15 0 1 1 -18.975
3 514 104.593 4 71 11 1 0 0 -20.407
4 681 148.924 3 36 11 0 0 0 23.924
5 357 55.882 2 68 16 1 0 1 -69.118
6 569 80.18 4 77 10 1 0 0 -44.82
7 259 20.996 2 37 12 0 0 0 -104.004
8 512 71.408 2 87 9 1 0 0 -53.592
9 266 15.125 5 66 13 0 0 0 -109.875
10 491 71.061 3 41 19 0 1 1 -53.939
11 589 63.095 4 30 14 1 0 1 -61.905
12 138 15.045 3 64 16 1 0 0 -109.955
13 394 80.616 1 57 7 0 0 1 -44.384
14 511 43.682 1 49 9 1 0 1 -81.318
15 269 19.144 2 75 13 0 0 0 -105.856
16 200 20.089 3 57 15 0 0 1 -104.911
17 286 53.598 3 73 17 0 0 1 -71.402
18 339 36.496 3 69 15 0 0 1 -88.504
19 448 49.57 1 28 9 0 0 1 -75.43
20 479 42.079 2 44 9 1 0 0 -82.921
21 235 17.7 4 63 16 0 0 0 -107.3
22 458 37.348 1 72 17 0 0 0 -87.652
23 213 20.103 3 61 10 1 0 1 -104.897
24 398 64.027 5 48 8 1 0 1 -60.973
25 156 10.742 3 57 15 0 0 0 -114.258
26 326 14.09 5 25 16 0 0 1 -110.91
27 289 42.471 6 44 12 0 1 0 -82.529
28 333 32.793 2 44 16 1 0 0 -92.207
29 949 186.634 2 41 14 0 0 1 61.634
30 411 26.813 4 55 16 0 0 0 -98.187
31 413 34.142 4 47 5 0 0 1 -90.858
32 210 28.941 5 43 16 1 0 1 -96.059
33 563 134.181 2 48 13 0 0 0 9.181
34 162 31.367 4 30 10 1 0 1 -93.633
35 199 20.15 2 25 14 0 0 1 -104.85
36 220 23.35 3 49 12 0 1 0 -101.65
37 455 62.413 2 71 11 0 0 1 -62.587
38 462 30.007 2 69 9 0 0 1 -94.993
39 300 11.795 4 25 10 0 0 0 -113.205
40 264 13.647 4 47 14 1 0 1 -111.353
41 253 34.95 3 54 14 0 0 0 -90.05
42 538 113.659 2 66 15 1 1 1 -11.341
43 351 44.158 2 66 13 0 0 1 -80.842
44 445 36.929 1 24 14 0 0 1 -88.071
45 469 31.861 3 25 16 0 0 1 -93.139
46 564 77.38 3 50 12 0 0 1 -47.62
47 376 19.531 2 64 16 0 1 1 -105.469
48 320 44.646 2 49 15 1 1 1 -80.354
49 205 44.522 6 72 15 1 0 1 -80.478
50 354 43.479 4 49 13 1 1 1 -81.521
51 376 36.362 3 49 15 1 0 1 -88.638
52 301 39.705 2 27 20 1 0 1 -85.295
53 394 44.205 1 32 12 1 0 1 -80.795
54 413 16.304 4 66 10 1 0 1 -108.696
55 138 15.333 2 47 9 0 0 1 -109.667
56 154 32.916 2 60 8 0 0 1 -92.084
57 372 57.1 7 79 18 0 0 1 -67.9
58 367 76.273 4 65 14 0 0 1 -48.727
59 281 10.354 2 70 17 1 0 1 -114.646
60 390 51.872 4 81 17 0 0 0 -73.128
61 364 35.51 2 35 20 0 0 0 -89.49
62 254 21.238 3 59 10 0 0 0 -103.762
63 160 30.682 2 77 7 0 0 0 -94.318
64 251 14.132 4 75 17 1 0 0 -110.868
65 223 32.164 2 79 15 0 0 1 -92.836
66 320 12 4 28 14 0 0 1 -113
67 694 113.829 4 38 13 0 0 1 -11.171
68 380 11.187 4 69 16 0 0 0 -113.813
69 418 27.847 2 78 15 0 0 1 -97.153
70 505 49.502 4 55 14 1 0 1 -75.498
71 318 24.889 4 75 12 1 0 1 -100.111
72 538 58.781 2 81 12 0 0 1 -66.219
73 355 22.939 1 47 18 0 0 1 -102.061
74 338 23.989 4 31 15 1 0 0 -101.011
75 418 16.103 4 45 10 0 0 1 -108.897
76 224 33.017 2 28 16 1 0 1 -91.983
77 251 30.622 1 68 16 1 1 0 -94.378
78 253 20.936 1 30 15 0 0 0 -104.064
79 468 110.968 3 45 11 0 0 1 -14.032
80 171 15.354 2 65 14 1 0 0 -109.646
81 288 27.369 3 40 9 0 0 1 -97.631
82 317 53.48 1 83 15 1 0 0 -71.52
83 344 23.672 3 63 11 1 0 0 -101.328
84 122 19.225 3 38 14 0 0 0 -105.775
85 232 43.54 4 69 11 1 0 0 -81.46
86 828 152.298 4 41 12 0 0 1 27.298
87 448 55.367 1 33 15 1 0 1 -69.633
88 182 11.741 4 59 12 0 0 0 -113.259
89 352 15.56 4 57 8 1 0 1 -109.44
 90 543 59.53 3 52 9 0 0 0 -65.47
91 431 20.191 4 42 16 1 0 1 -104.809
92 456 48.498 3 47 16 1 0 1 -76.502
93 249 30.733 4 51 13 1 0 0 -94.267
94 388 16.479 2 26 16 1 0 0 -108.521
95 245 38.009 3 45 15 0 0 0 -86.991
96 120 14.084 5 46 17 0 0 1 -110.916
97 367 14.312 1 59 17 1 1 0 -110.688
98 266 26.067 4 74 17 0 0 1 -98.933
99 241 36.295 2 68 14 0 1 0 -88.705
100 607 83.851 5 47 18 1 0 0 -41.149
101 256 21.153 1 41 11 1 0 0 -103.847
102 190 17.976 3 70 16 0 1 0 -107.024
103 531 68.713 2 56 16 1 1 0 -56.287
104 682 146.183 6 66 15 1 0 0 21.183
105 365 15.846 4 53 12 0 0 0 -109.154
106 259 12.031 2 58 18 0 0 1 -112.969
107 115 16.819 2 74 15 1 0 1 -108.181
108 263 39.11 3 72 12 1 0 0 -85.89
109 449 107.986 4 64 14 1 0 1 -17.014
110 279 13.561 5 37 19 1 0 1 -111.439
111 250 34.537 3 57 17 0 0 1 -90.463
112 231 28.575 2 60 11 0 0 0 -96.425
113 491 46.007 4 42 14 1 0 1 -78.993
114 474 69.251 4 30 12 0 0 1 -55.749
115 268 16.482 4 41 15 1 0 0 -108.518
116 369 40.442 5 81 8 0 0 0 -84.558
117 186 35.177 3 62 16 0 0 0 -89.823
118 626 91.362 1 47 17 1 0 1 -33.638
119 173 27.039 3 40 17 0 0 0 -97.961
120 137 23.012 3 81 16 1 0 0 -101.988
121 128 27.241 2 67 15 0 0 1 -97.759
122 599 148.08 2 83 13 1 0 1 23.08
123 481 62.602 1 84 11 0 0 0 -62.398
124 117 11.808 3 77 14 0 0 0 -113.192
125 192 29.564 1 30 12 0 0 1 -95.436
126 195 27.578 1 34 15 0 0 1 -97.422
127 433 26.427 5 50 15 0 1 1 -98.573
128 259 57.202 3 72 11 0 0 0 -67.798
129 610 123.299 2 89 17 1 1 0 -1.701
130 279 18.145 3 56 15 1 0 1 -106.855
131 281 23.793 4 56 12 0 1 1 -101.207
132 162 10.726 5 46 19 1 0 1 -114.274
133 407 23.283 4 49 13 1 0 1 -101.717
134 427 21.455 4 80 12 0 0 1 -103.545
135 452 34.664 3 77 15 0 0 1 -90.336
136 257 44.473 3 81 16 0 0 0 -80.527
137 314 54.663 2 70 8 0 0 0 -70.337
138 278 36.355 4 35 9 1 0 1 -88.645
139 175 21.374 2 74 11 0 0 1 -103.626
140 728 107.841 3 87 7 1 0 0 -17.159
141 459 39.831 3 32 12 0 1 1 -85.169
142 483 91.876 2 33 10 1 0 1 -33.124
143 549 103.893 3 84 17 1 0 0 -21.107
144 387 19.636 3 64 10 0 0 0 -105.364
145 228 17.392 3 32 14 1 0 1 -107.608
146 341 19.529 2 51 14 1 0 0 -105.471
147 371 17.055 3 55 15 0 0 1 -107.945
148 150 23.857 3 56 16 1 0 1 -101.143
149 192 15.184 2 69 11 0 0 1 -109.816
150 121 13.444 5 44 10 1 0 1 -111.556
151 435 63.931 3 28 14 0 0 1 -61.069
152 353 35.864 3 66 13 0 0 1 -89.136
153 184 41.419 4 24 11 0 1 0 -83.581
154 344 92.112 3 32 17 1 0 0 -32.888
155 235 55.056 2 31 16 1 0 1 -69.944
156 143 19.537 4 34 9 0 0 1 -105.463
157 338 31.811 5 75 13 0 0 1 -93.189
158 406 56.256 2 72 16 0 1 1 -68.744
159 406 42.357 2 83 12 0 0 1 -82.643
160 235 53.319 3 53 13 1 0 0 -71.681
161 381 12.238 5 67 11 0 0 0 -112.762
162 160 31.353 3 81 14 1 0 1 -93.647
163 515 63.809 1 56 12 1 0 1 -61.191
164 203 13.676 5 80 16 0 0 0 -111.324
165 429 76.782 4 44 12 1 0 1 -48.218
166 367 25.383 4 46 11 1 0 1 -99.617
167 214 35.691 2 35 15 1 0 0 -89.309
168 178 29.403 1 37 14 0 0 1 -95.597
169 219 27.47 1 32 11 0 0 1 -97.53
170 459 27.33 4 36 12 0 0 1 -97.67
171 167 34.772 3 57 9 1 0 0 -90.228
172 299 36.934 1 63 9 0 0 1 -88.066
173 344 76.348 4 60 18 1 0 0 -48.652
174 339 14.887 3 58 12 1 0 1 -110.113
175 750 121.834 3 54 16 1 0 0 -3.166
176 206 30.132 3 52 17 1 0 0 -94.868
177 221 24.05 4 32 18 1 0 1 -100.95
178 292 22.379 2 34 14 0 0 1 -102.621
179 316 28.316 2 29 10 0 0 0 -96.684
180 560 58.026 5 67 11 0 0 0 -66.974
181 294 10.635 5 69 16 1 0 1 -114.365
182 382 46.102 3 81 12 1 0 1 -78.898
183 459 58.929 2 66 9 0 0 1 -66.071
184 335 80.861 3 29 15 0 0 1 -44.139
185 805 158.889 1 62 17 0 0 1 33.889
186 316 30.42 1 30 14 0 0 0 -94.58
187 309 36.472 2 52 13 1 0 0 -88.528
188 167 23.365 2 75 15 1 0 0 -101.635
189 554 83.869 2 83 11 1 0 0 -41.131
190 326 58.351 2 85 16 0 0 1 -66.649
191 385 55.187 4 50 17 0 0 1 -69.813
192 701 124.29 3 52 17 0 1 0 -0.71
193 287 28.508 4 56 14 1 0 1 -96.492
194 730 130.209 7 39 19 0 0 1 5.209
195 181 30.406 2 79 14 1 0 1 -94.594
196 398 23.883 2 73 16 0 0 1 -101.117
197 517 93.039 1 67 12 1 0 1 -31.961
198 304 50.699 2 84 17 0 0 0 -74.301
199 169 27.349 4 51 16 0 0 1 -97.651
200 310 10.403 3 43 7 1 0 1 -114.597
201 383 23.949 2 40 18 1 0 1 -101.051
202 529 73.914 6 67 15 0 0 1 -51.086
203 145 21.038 2 58 13 0 0 1 -103.962
204 499 68.206 5 40 16 0 1 0 -56.794
205 392 57.337 2 45 7 0 0 0 -67.663
206 321 10.793 8 29 13 1 0 0 -114.207
207 180 23.45 2 78 13 1 0 0 -101.55
208 358 10.842 5 37 10 0 1 1 -114.158
209 320 51.345 3 46 15 1 0 0 -73.655
210 642 151.947 2 91 11 0 0 1 26.947
211 243 24.543 2 62 12 0 0 1 -100.457
212 397 29.567 3 25 15 1 0 0 -95.433
213 323 39.145 2 66 13 1 0 1 -85.855
214 383 39.422 2 44 19 1 0 0 -85.578
215 410 34.909 2 62 16 0 0 1 -90.091
216 337 41.025 3 79 19 0 0 1 -83.975
217 215 15.476 3 60 18 1 0 0 -109.524
218 392 12.456 3 65 14 1 0 1 -112.544
219 149 10.627 2 71 10 0 1 1 -114.373
220 370 38.954 4 76 13 0 0 0 -86.046
221 437 44.847 3 53 13 0 1 0 -80.153
222 633 98.515 5 78 11 0 0 0 -26.485
223 451 33.437 4 44 9 1 1 0 -91.563
224 344 27.512 5 72 17 1 0 1 -97.488
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226 411 15.079 4 28 15 0 0 1 -109.921
227 527 59.879 6 78 15 0 0 0 -65.121
228 430 66.989 3 47 14 0 0 1 -58.011
229 341 69.165 2 34 11 0 0 0 -55.835
230 547 69.943 3 76 9 1 0 1 -55.057
231 387 33.214 3 59 9 1 0 0 -91.786
232 378 25.124 4 29 12 1 0 1 -99.876
233 360 15.741 1 39 14 1 0 1 -109.259
234 187 11.603 3 71 11 1 0 1 -113.397
235 579 69.656 3 41 14 1 0 1 -55.344
236 232 10.503 3 25 18 0 0 1 -114.497
237 369 42.529 2 37 11 1 0 1 -82.471
238 388 60.579 5 38 15 1 0 1 -64.421
239 236 26.532 6 58 19 0 0 1 -98.468
240 263 27.952 1 35 13 0 0 1 -97.048
241 262 29.705 5 71 14 0 0 1 -95.295
242 103 15.602 2 36 11 1 0 1 -109.398
243 128 20.918 3 47 18 0 1 1 -104.082
244 460 58.165 1 56 12 0 0 1 -66.835
245 147 22.561 4 66 15 0 0 0 -102.439
246 189 34.509 5 80 18 0 0 1 -90.491
247 265 19.588 4 59 14 0 0 0 -105.412
248 188 36.364 3 50 19 1 0 0 -88.636
249 93 15.717 1 38 16 1 1 1 -109.283
250 134 22.574 3 43 13 0 1 1 -102.426
251 191 10.363 2 47 18 0 0 1 -114.637
252 267 28.474 5 66 12 1 0 1 -96.526
253 621 72.945 3 64 8 0 0 0 -52.055
254 402 85.425 6 60 12 1 0 1 -39.575
255 469 36.508 4 79 6 0 0 1 -88.492
256 304 58.063 3 50 8 1 0 0 -66.937
257 135 25.936 2 71 14 0 0 0 -99.064
258 186 15.629 1 60 14 1 0 1 -109.371
259 215 41.4 2 36 14 1 0 1 -83.6
260 450 33.657 6 55 9 0 0 0 -91.343
261 383 67.937 4 63 12 1 0 1 -57.063
262 665 180.379 3 67 8 0 1 1 55.379
263 296 10.588 1 66 13 0 0 1 -114.412
264 270 29.725 2 52 15 0 0 0 -95.275
265 380 27.999 1 55 10 1 0 1 -97.001
266 379 40.885 3 46 13 0 0 1 -84.115
267 360 88.83 4 86 16 0 0 1 -36.17
268 433 29.638 3 29 15 0 0 1 -95.362
269 142 25.988 4 82 12 1 0 0 -99.012
270 410 39.055 4 48 18 0 0 1 -85.945
271 217 15.866 1 39 13 1 0 0 -109.134
272 347 44.978 1 30 10 0 0 0 -80.022
273 299 30.413 2 25 15 0 1 0 -94.587
274 353 16.751 6 48 14 1 1 0 -108.249
275 439 30.55 5 81 9 0 0 0 -94.45
276 636 163.329 3 50 14 1 0 1 38.329
277 257 23.106 2 50 15 0 0 0 -101.894
278 353 41.532 2 50 12 1 0 1 -83.468
279 518 128.04 2 78 11 0 0 1 3.04
280 248 54.319 3 59 8 0 1 0 -70.681
281 377 53.401 3 35 12 0 0 0 -71.599
282 183 36.142 3 33 13 0 0 0 -88.858
283 581 63.534 2 50 17 0 0 1 -61.466
284 485 49.927 3 75 17 0 0 1 -75.073
285 167 14.711 2 67 6 1 0 1 -110.289
286 156 18.967 2 41 11 0 0 1 -106.033
287 142 18.036 2 48 15 0 0 0 -106.964
288 272 60.449 4 69 8 1 0 1 -64.551
289 387 16.711 3 42 16 0 0 1 -108.289
290 296 10.852 2 30 9 1 0 0 -114.148
291 268 26.37 5 78 11 1 0 1 -98.63
292 287 24.088 4 56 13 0 0 1 -100.912
293 380 51.532 2 31 15 1 0 1 -73.468
294 817 140.672 7 46 9 1 0 1 15.672
295 205 42.915 4 42 13 1 0 1 -82.085
296 149 27.272 5 67 10 0 0 1 -97.728
297 370 65.896 1 49 17 0 0 1 -59.104
298 321 55.054 3 74 17 1 0 1 -69.946
299 204 20.791 1 70 18 0 0 0 -104.209
300 372 24.919 3 76 11 0 0 1 -100.081
301 355 21.786 1 50 17 1 0 1 -103.214
302 289 31.335 3 38 7 0 0 0 -93.665
303 365 59.855 1 46 13 0 0 1 -65.145
304 352 44.061 1 79 11 1 0 1 -80.939
305 536 82.706 2 64 13 0 0 1 -42.294
306 165 24.46 2 50 14 0 0 1 -100.54
307 287 45.12 3 80 8 1 0 1 -79.88
308 298 75.406 3 41 14 0 0 1 -49.594
309 332 14.956 2 33 6 1 0 0 -110.044
310 494 75.257 3 34 18 0 0 1 -49.743
311 369 33.694 1 52 16 1 1 0 -91.306
312 396 23.375 3 57 15 0 0 1 -101.625
313 386 27.825 6 63 11 1 0 1 -97.175
314 534 92.386 2 75 18 0 0 1 -32.614
315 656 115.52 2 69 14 1 0 0 -9.48
316 296 14.479 3 43 16 1 0 1 -110.521
317 522 52.179 2 57 14 1 0 0 -72.821
318 340 68.462 2 71 16 1 0 1 -56.538
319 129 18.951 3 82 13 0 0 0 -106.049
320 229 27.59 5 54 16 1 0 1 -97.41
321 126 16.279 3 78 13 1 1 1 -108.721
322 236 25.078 2 27 15 0 0 1 -99.922
323 282 27.229 6 51 11 1 0 0 -97.771
324 982 182.728 4 98 17 1 0 1 57.728
325 223 31.029 2 66 17 1 1 1 -93.971
326 364 17.765 1 66 12 0 0 1 -107.235
327 721 125.48 3 82 16 1 0 1 0.48
328 508 49.166 3 68 14 0 0 0 -75.834
329 297 41.192 3 54 16 0 0 1 -83.808
330 527 94.193 2 44 16 0 0 1 -30.807
331 329 20.405 2 72 17 1 1 0 -104.595
332 291 12.581 2 48 16 1 0 1 -112.419
333 377 62.328 3 83 15 1 0 0 -62.672
334 261 21.011 2 68 17 1 0 1 -103.989
335 351 24.23 2 64 15 0 0 1 -100.77
336 270 24.314 2 23 7 0 0 1 -100.686
337 438 32.856 4 68 13 1 0 0 -92.144
338 119 12.414 3 32 12 1 0 1 -112.586
339 377 41.365 1 45 14 1 0 0 -83.635
340 707 149.316 1 80 16 1 0 0 24.316
341 301 27.794 4 35 8 0 0 1 -97.206
342 299 13.234 2 77 17 0 0 1 -111.766
343 260 14.595 5 37 9 1 0 1 -110.405
344 280 10.735 2 44 17 0 0 1 -114.265
345 401 48.218 7 39 10 1 0 1 -76.782
346 137 30.012 2 33 17 1 0 1 -94.988
347 420 21.551 5 51 18 1 0 1 -103.449
348 754 160.231 2 69 17 1 0 0 35.231
349 112 13.433 3 70 14 1 0 1 -111.567
350 389 48.577 3 71 13 0 0 1 -76.423
351 155 30.002 4 70 13 0 0 1 -94.998
352 374 61.62 1 71 9 1 0 1 -63.38
353 507 104.483 2 41 14 1 0 1 -20.517
354 342 41.868 2 47 18 1 0 0 -83.132
355 292 12.068 1 44 18 0 0 1 -112.932
356 832 180.682 2 58 8 0 0 1 55.682
357 442 34.48 3 36 14 1 0 0 -90.52
358 188 39.609 1 40 14 1 0 1 -85.391
359 339 30.111 1 81 18 1 0 1 -94.889
360 344 12.335 3 79 12 1 0 1 -112.665
361 434 53.566 4 82 10 0 0 0 -71.434
362 362 53.217 2 46 16 0 0 1 -71.783
363 382 26.162 3 62 19 0 0 0 -98.838
364 433 64.173 1 80 10 1 0 1 -60.827
365 685 128.669 3 67 16 1 0 1 3.669
366 489 113.772 4 69 15 1 1 1 -11.228
367 564 61.069 3 56 14 1 0 1 -63.931
368 263 23.793 2 70 14 1 0 0 -101.207
369 440 89 3 37 6 0 0 0 -36
370 599 71.682 3 57 16 1 0 1 -53.318
371 466 35.61 4 40 12 1 0 0 -89.39
372 173 39.116 4 75 15 1 0 0 -85.884
373 293 19.782 2 46 16 0 1 0 -105.218
374 383 55.412 2 37 16 0 1 1 -69.588
375 368 29.4 3 76 18 0 0 1 -95.6
376 413 20.974 5 44 16 0 0 1 -104.026
377 515 87.625 2 46 10 0 0 0 -37.375
378 142 28.144 3 51 10 1 0 1 -96.856
379 366 19.349 1 33 19 1 0 1 -105.651
380 214 53.308 1 84 10 1 0 1 -71.692
381 538 115.123 3 83 14 0 0 0 -9.877
382 574 101.788 2 84 11 1 0 1 -23.212
383 409 24.824 1 33 9 1 1 0 -100.176
384 282 14.292 9 64 9 1 0 1 -110.708
385 180 20.088 3 76 16 1 0 0 -104.912
386 398 26.4 3 58 15 0 0 0 -98.6
387 287 19.253 4 57 10 1 0 0 -105.747
388 126 16.529 3 62 9 1 0 0 -108.471
389 482 37.878 2 80 13 0 0 0 -87.122
390 503 83.948 2 44 18 1 0 0 -41.052
391 747 135.118 3 81 15 0 0 1 10.118
392 472 73.327 2 43 15 0 0 0 -51.673
393 196 25.974 2 24 10 1 0 0 -99.026
394 138 17.316 2 65 13 1 0 0 -107.684
395 410 49.794 4 40 8 1 0 0 -75.206
396 307 12.096 3 32 13 1 0 1 -112.904
397 296 13.364 5 65 17 1 0 0 -111.636
398 321 57.872 5 67 12 0 0 1 -67.128
399 192 37.728 1 44 13 1 0 1 -87.272
400 415 18.701 5 64 7 0 0 0 -106.299
Cards2 Age40 ln(Rating) Predicted_Rating (Model a) Residual (Model a)
0 -6 5.6454469 247.384446355311 35.6155536446894
1 42 6.1800167 554.431016010783 -71.4310160107826
2 31 6.2422233 563.293021944293 -49.2930219442933
1 -4 6.5235623 730.04590796711 -49.0459079671098
0 28 5.8777358 378.268806325782 -21.2688063257818
2 37 6.3438804 475.532015834546 93.4679841654538
0 -3 5.5568281 272.379686684528 -13.3796866845278
0 47 6.2383246 425.580748668348 86.4192513316523
3 26 5.5834963 264.619912641465 1.38008735853487
1 1 6.1964441 445.853813557423 45.1461864425769
2 -10 6.3784262 433.34705387834 155.65294612166
1 24 4.9272537 242.701925876156 -104.701925876156
-1 17 5.9763509 468.898897987233 -74.8988979872326
-1 9 6.2363696 335.545663557426 175.454336442574
0 35 5.5947114 251.962102222601 17.037897777399
1 17 5.2983174 270.751323271387 -70.751323271387
1 33 5.6559918 382.339299793351 -96.3392997933509
1 29 5.8260001 324.03164996029 14.9683500397097
-1 -12 6.1047932 370.048024064679 77.9519759353213
0 4 6.1717006 338.139131184956 140.860868815044
2 23 5.4595855 266.446595880601 -31.446595880601
-1 32 6.1268692 308.526179159533 149.473820840467
1 21 5.3612922 263.908104937453 -50.9081049374526
3 8 5.986452 438.872062479369 -40.8720624793695
1 17 5.049856 236.497616658408 -80.4976166584076
3 -15 5.7868974 276.788755962198 49.2112440378016
4 4 5.6664267 367.528580478279 -78.5285804782793
0 4 5.8081425 304.43943713565 28.5605628643497
0 1 6.8554088 853.802928855835 95.1970711441649
2 15 6.0185932 301.34982872474 109.65017127526
2 7 6.0234476 333.117684824458 79.8823151755423
3 3 5.3471075 316.212402825891 -106.212402825891
0 8 6.3332796 665.772304718927 -102.772304718927
2 -10 5.0875963 322.531596996687 -160.531596996687
0 -15 5.2933048 274.867906981776 -75.8679069817757
1 9 5.3936275 275.046285510935 -55.0462855109346
0 31 6.1202974 407.115487579103 47.884512420897
0 29 6.1355649 294.332777022339 167.667222977661
2 -15 5.7037825 260.395098413766 39.6049015862336
2 7 5.5759491 253.520117750011 10.479882249989
1 14 5.5333895 322.762538758093 -69.7625387580933
0 26 6.2878586 572.978400907589 -34.9784009075894
0 26 5.8607862 344.500158456257 6.4998415437434
-1 -16 6.0980743 326.323118759106 118.676881240894
 1 -15 6.1506028 323.527718281582 145.472281718418
1 10 6.3350543 474.969174571718 89.0308254282817
0 24 5.9295891 249.168930029811 126.831069970189
0 9 5.768321 336.744672436698 -16.7446724366981
4 32 5.32301 368.430131809811 -163.430131809811
2 9 5.8692969 348.632623104532 5.36737689546828
1 9 5.9295891 324.582657988421 51.4173420115787
0 -13 5.7071103 335.675613004757 -34.6756130047574
-1 -8 5.9763509 343.072304972079 50.9276950279211
2 26 6.0234476 256.593259287113 156.406740712887
0 7 4.9272537 250.759627535818 -112.759627535818
0 20 5.0369526 307.963306172394 -153.963306172394
5 39 5.9188939 423.665011662234 -51.665011662234
2 25 5.9053618 473.178636988227 -106.178636988227
0 30 5.6383547 217.485481624621 63.5145183753785
2 41 5.9661467 379.79410672569 10.2058932743101
0 -5 5.8971539 322.839807617698 41.1601923823022
1 19 5.5373343 273.41291907188 -19.41291907188
0 37 5.0751738 292.692170210389 -132.692170210389
2 35 5.5254529 243.195996862973 7.80400313702697
0 39 5.4071718 297.35790490071 -74.3579049007096
2 -12 5.768321 260.833826590308 59.1661734096923
2 -2 6.542472 615.013838246799 78.986161753201
2 29 5.9401713 241.399226867784 138.600773132216
0 38 6.0354814 282.557717409529 135.442282590471
2 15 6.2245584 376.554231084764 128.445768915236
2 35 5.7620514 283.177109103273 34.8228908967267
0 41 6.2878586 390.583575364686 147.416424635314
-1 7 5.8721178 268.239902880648 86.7600971193521
2 -9 5.8230459 294.056213283063 43.9437867169366
2 5 6.0354814 269.709734256133 148.290265743867
0 -12 5.4116461 312.444003658431 -88.444003658431
-1 28 5.5254529 271.192014412577 -20.1920144125768
-1 -10 5.5333895 266.399882248475 -13.399882248475
1 5 6.1484683 594.902787559586 -126.902787559586
0 25 5.1416636 235.896904843194 -64.8969048431936
1 0 5.6629605 303.405335722724 -15.4053357227242
-1 43 5.7589018 355.293401769669 -38.2934017696694
1 23 5.8406417 274.13904774 69.8609522600003
1 -2 4.804021 273.325746126686 -151.325746126686
2 29 5.4467374 349.585776535154 -117.585776535154
2 1 6.7190132 749.194174413198 78.8058255868025
-1 -7 6.1047932 381.448505265969 66.5514947340311
2 19 5.2040067 247.585645383207 -65.5856453832068
2 17 5.8636312 257.548698107066 94.4513018929343
 1 12 6.2971093 410.592099154732 132.407900845268
2 2 6.0661081 278.004242636468 152.995757363532
1 7 6.1224928 367.775981113785 88.224018886215
2 11 5.5174529 310.811660331361 -61.8116603313605
0 -14 5.9610053 253.658050299528 134.341949700472
1 5 5.5012582 336.609828152589 -91.6098281525886
3 6 4.7874917 269.00958350461 -149.00958350461
-1 19 5.9053618 217.011184741538 149.988815258463
2 34 5.5834963 293.120737497531 -27.1207374975311
0 28 5.4847969 305.484575043064 -64.4845750430638
3 7 6.4085288 505.884909448072 101.115090551928
-1 1 5.5451774 257.580253382402 -1.58025338240157
1 30 5.2470241 247.948427206287 -57.9484272062866
0 16 6.274762 417.158773490014 113.841226509986
4 26 6.5250297 726.232844844842 -44.2328448448415
2 13 5.8998974 264.175597352821 100.824402647179
0 18 5.5568281 233.784407254971 25.2155927450289
0 34 4.7449321 239.05383024804 -124.05383024804
1 32 5.572154 324.94715251505 -61.9471525150498
2 24 6.1070229 578.704238262501 -129.704238262501
3 -3 5.6312118 263.901710311027 15.0982896889732
1 17 5.5214609 321.185753318038 -71.1857533180376
0 20 5.4424177 290.826646439179 -59.8266464391791
2 2 6.1964441 368.98569291687 122.01430708313
2 -10 6.1612073 461.497697534999 12.5023024650015
2 1 5.590987 264.069498702169 3.93050129783143
3 41 5.9107966 348.883115943481 20.1168840565193
1 22 5.2257467 320.353334691218 -134.353334691218
-1 7 6.4393504 502.491952951927 123.508047048073
1 0 5.1532916 299.580995358537 -126.580995358537
1 41 4.9199809 264.528893209424 -127.528893209424
0 27 4.8520303 284.411871120506 -156.411871120506
0 43 6.3952616 697.122481130547 -98.1224811305469
-1 44 6.1758673 393.809300800607 87.1906991993934
1 37 4.7621739 233.155662994394 -116.155662994394
-1 -10 5.2574954 298.593413603041 -106.593413603041
-1 -6 5.2729996 289.704841067081 -94.7048410670806
3 10 6.0707377 302.127871451264 130.872128548736
1 32 5.5568281 394.864574777913 -135.864574777913
0 49 6.413459 596.773910194221 13.2260898057795
1 16 5.6312118 258.066257841717 20.9337421582829
2 16 5.6383547 283.331180610183 -2.33118061018331
3 6 5.0875963 250.686121279382 -88.6861212793816
2 9 6.0088132 286.794769651485 120.205230348515
2 40 6.056784 275.525272354648 151.474727645352
 1 37 6.1136822 314.700864579426 137.299135420574
1 41 5.5490761 346.123936350451 -89.1239363504513
0 30 5.749393 379.29794946552 -65.2979494655195
2 -5 5.6276211 338.395315298888 -60.3953152988877
0 34 5.164786 261.89148769278 -86.89148769278
1 47 6.590301 561.689717741332 166.310282258668
1 -8 6.1290502 340.511004346051 118.488995653949
0 -7 6.1800167 518.289511102694 -35.2895111026935
1 44 6.3080984 547.359278274691 1.64072172530859
1 24 5.9584247 265.976095323149 121.023904676851
1 -8 5.4293456 264.265809931552 -36.2658099315517
0 11 5.8318825 255.629116931992 85.3708830680077
1 15 5.9162021 260.819360017406 110.180639982594
1 16 5.0106353 277.97300169838 -127.97300169838
0 29 5.2574954 241.961121408022 -49.9611214080225
3 4 4.7957905 262.351751600116 -141.351751600116
1 -12 6.075346 435.388417938211 -0.388417938211092
1 26 5.8664681 323.208153285375 29.791846714625
2 -16 5.2149358 355.553142413381 -171.553142413381
1 -8 5.8406417 524.808489422883 -180.808489422883
0 -9 5.4595855 388.763588594029 -153.763588594029
2 -6 4.9628446 285.908278248869 -142.908278248869
3 35 5.8230459 321.39131967361 16.6086803263901
0 32 6.0063532 375.258671615223 30.7413283847766
0 43 6.0063532 332.174832295306 73.8251677046937
1 13 5.4595855 381.576160763027 -146.576160763027
3 27 5.9427994 254.428165543207 126.571834456793
1 41 5.0751738 295.559382356625 -135.559382356625
-1 16 6.2441669 403.236579969189 111.763420030811
3 40 5.313206 253.996894085876 -50.9968940858764
2 4 6.0614569 476.660122982884 -47.6601229828839
2 6 5.9053618 295.566648126915 71.4333518730849
0 -5 5.365976 318.031331905525 -104.031331905525
-1 -3 5.1817836 295.183520202272 -117.183520202272
-1 -8 5.3890717 290.669767366319 -71.6697673663185
2 -4 6.1290502 312.089770936738 146.910229063262
1 17 5.1179938 315.607025500758 -148.607025500758
-1 23 5.7004436 312.995886131103 -13.9958861311025
2 20 5.8406417 466.987774382579 -122.987774382579
1 18 5.8260001 246.364463951166 92.635536048834
1 14 6.6200732 621.38850710295 128.61149289705
1 12 5.3278762 299.880305754826 -93.8803057548258
2 -8 5.3981627 294.868319650305 -73.8683196503049
0 -6 5.6767538 279.438181698794 12.5618183012058
0 -11 5.7557422 301.295587771775 14.7044122282251
 3 27 6.3279368 415.245529153755 144.754470846246
3 29 5.6835798 242.504453611482 51.4955463885177
1 41 5.9454206 347.671133958817 34.3288660411835
0 26 6.1290502 396.999251031379 62.0007489686208
1 -11 5.8141305 494.333154524903 -159.333154524903
-1 22 6.6908423 740.449996533573 64.5500034664274
-1 -10 5.7557422 299.864778503324 16.1352214966763
0 12 5.7333413 314.929584544195 -5.92958454419482
0 35 5.1179938 260.257727941907 -93.257727941907
0 43 6.3171647 470.484607254094 83.5153927459065
0 45 5.7868974 387.004975409827 -61.0049754098268
2 10 5.9532433 404.085693402848 -19.0856934028483
1 12 6.5525079 627.708074518843 73.2919254811569
2 16 5.6594822 302.456709780047 -15.4567097800469
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