Research Report

Trends of State Assembly Election 2025 in

LAXMI NAGAR Constituency of NCT of Delhi

By: -
Name: Aditi Choudhury
Course: B. Com (Hons)
Roll No.: 22/1510
Subject: Political Leadership and Communication (SEC)
Submitted To: Prof. Akshat Pushpam
 Constituency Overview:
1) Historical Background
Laxmi Nagar serves as the central hub for East Delhi, historically referred to as Trans Yamuna. It has
evolved into a prominent shopping destination, particularly for garments, daily necessities and renowned
for hosting numerous coaching centers catering to variety professional courses, attracting students
across the state.

The Akshardham Temple, a notable landmark, is located approximately 3 km from Laxmi Nagar,
enhancing its cultural significance.

Administratively, it is part of the East Delhi Lok Sabha Constituency, of which details are given below: -

Constituency No.58 for the Delhi

Legislative Assembly
Constituency Details
Country India
Region North India
State Delhi
District East Delhi
Established 2008
Reservation None

The constituency underwent reorganization by the Delimitation Commission in 2022, leading to its
current geographical and political boundaries. It is a General category assembly seat and is one of the 10
assembly segments of East Delhi Parliament Seat.

2) Demographic Profile
 Male-Female Ratio of Voters:

Year-wise Comparison:

Total no. of Registered Voters on the electoral polls

140000

120000

100000

80000

60000

40000

20000

0
2015 2020 2025

Male Linear (Male)

Female Linear (Female)
 S erv ice Vo ters in 2015 S E R VI CE VOT E R S I N 2020

Female
39% Male Female
61% 9%

Male
91%

In 2015, the total number of voters in Laxmi Nagar constituency was 203695.Out of which, 115298
voters were male and 88380 were female. There were 682 valid postal votes in the constituency. The
number of service voters was 31, consisting of 19 men and 12 women.

In 2020, the total number of voters was 221792.Out of this, 123595 voters were male and 98024 were
female voters. There were 43 valid postal votes in the constituency. The number of service voters was
1232 consisting of 1126 men and 106 women.

In 2025, the total number of voters was 206783.Out of this, 112438 voters were male and 94334 were
female voters and 11 belonging to third gender. There were 522 valid postal votes in the constituency.

A Comparative Analysis of 2015, 2020 and 2025 Elections

Voter Composition and Growth:

The total number of registered voters in Laxmi Nagar has increased consistently over the years, reflecting
population growth and greater voter participation. However, it has experienced a decline in its voter
base as a reduction of 15213 registered voters from year 2020 to 2025. This trend was also observed in
other constituencies attributed to factors like changes in government housing policies and urban
development projects.

The data reveals a steady increase in voter enrollment with female voter participation improving
significantly over the years showing a positive trendline. However, the highest female participation could
be seen in the year 2020.

The rise in service voters indicates growing presence of defense and government personnel in the
constituency. More employees due to witnessing infrastructural growth, new government offices, police
stations and security agencies, etc. registering as service voters could be a factor. Another reason can be
that the Election Commission of India (ECI) has been actively promoting online voter registration for
service voters, making the process more accessible. This has led to better enrollment of personnel who
are stationed outside Delhi but belong to Laxmi Nagar.

 Caste Reservation in Election Candidates:

For the 2025 elections, the main contenders in Laxmi Nagar were:
 Abhay Kumar Verma(BJP)
A 52-year-old advocate with assets totalling approximately Rs.2 crore and liabiliies
of Rs.13.1 lakh.
B.B Tyagi (AAP)
A candidate with a graduate professional qualification, assets around Rs.7.3 crore
and two registered cases.
Sumit Sharma (INC)
An 8th pass candidate with assets totalling Rs.2.2 crore.

Thus, this constituency remains an unreserved seat, open to candidates from all communities and
continues to be a focal point of diverse political representation in Delhi’s legislative assembly.

However, broader caste dynamics play a vital role in overall Delhi’s elections. The city’s electorate
comprises approximately 30% Other Backward Classes (OBCs), including Jats and Gujjars, and over 16%
Dalits. Upper castes, such as Brahmins, Rajputs, Vaishyas and Punjabi Khatris also hold considerable
influence.

 Proportion of Female Candidates in Election:

In the Laxmi Nagar Assembly constituency elections of 2015, 2020 and 2025, female candidates had a
minimal presence:

2015 Elections – Kavita Narain of the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) was the sole female candidate. She
secured 687 votes, accounting for approximately 0.5% of the total votes.

2020 Elections – Only one female candidate contested that is, Anima Ojha of RTRP.

2025 Elections – Only two female candidates contested that is, Anima Ojha of Right to Recall Party and
Kusum Banwal of People Party of India-Democratic.

2.5
No. of Female Candidates

2
2

1.5

1
1 1

0.5

0
2015 2020 2025
Year of Election

Female Candidate Linear (Female Candidate)

This trend indicates a consistent underrepresentation of female candidates in Laxmi Nagar’s recent
assembly elections even though there is an increase in number of female contestants from last election.
 Employment and other details of candidates contesting in 2015, 2020 and 2025 elections:

Candidates from various political parties presented diverse professional backgrounds, as detailed in their
affidavits.

Based on this info, analysis about the following can be made: -

1. Age graph of contestants.

2. Candidates with declared criminal cases.
3. Candidates who are graduate or above.
4. Crorepati Candidates, etc.
Year-wise Analysis Comparison for overall Delhi Elections (2015, 2020, 2025)

1. General Election Statistics

 Total Constituencies:-The total number of constituencies analyzed remained constant at 70 across all
three election years.
 Total Candidates:-The total number of candidates analyzed was 673 in 2015, 672 in 2020 and
increased to 699 in 2025.

2. Criminal Cases among Candidates and Winners

 Candidates with Criminal Cases:-The percentage of candidates with declared criminal cases showed a
decrease over the year; 17% in 2015, 20% in 2020, and 19% in 2025.
 Winners with Criminal Cases:-The percentage of winners with declared criminal cases fluctuated;
34% in 2015, increased to 61% in 2020 and then decreased to 44% in 2025.
 Candidates with Serious Criminal Cases:-The percentage of candidates with declared serious criminal
cases also decreased; 11% in 2015, 16% in 2020, and 12% in 2025.
 Winners with Serious Criminal Cases:-The percentage of winners with declared serious criminal cases
showed a similar trend; 20% in 2015, increased to 53% in 2020, and decreased significantly to 24%
in 2025

3. Financial Background of Candidates and Winners

 Crorepati Candidates:-The percentage of such candidates increased over the years; 34% in 2015, 36%
in 2020, and 39% in 2025.
 Crorepati Winners:-The percentage of such winners also increased significantly; 63% in 2015, 74% in
2020, and 87% in 2025.

4. Educational Background

 Candidates who are Graduates or Above:-The percentage of candidates who are graduates or above
showed a gradual increase: 39% in 2015, 44% in 2020, and 46% in 2025.
 Winners who are Graduates or Above:- Their percentage showed slight fluctuations; 61% in 2015,
60% in 2020, and 64% in 2025.

5. Women Representation

 Total Women Candidates:-The percentage showed a slight increase over the years: 10% in 2015, 12%
in 2020, and 14% in 2025.
 Total Women Winners:-The percentage showed fluctuations: 9% in 2015, increased to 11% in 2020,
and then decreased to 7% in 2025.

6. PAN Declaration

 Candidates who have not declared PAN:-The percentage decreased significantly: 16% in 2015, 2% in
2020, and 1% in 2025.
 Winners who have not declared PAN:-This remained at 0% across 2015, 2020 and 2025.

7. ITR Filing (2015 Data)

 Total Candidates who have filed ITR:- 61% in 2015.
 Total winners who have filed ITR:- 93% in 2015.

Year-wise Analysis Comparison for Laxmi Nagar Elections (2015, 2020, 2025)

 Age Graph of Candidates:- In 2015, the average age was 48. In 2020, the average age was approx 45
years. In 2025, major candidates belonged to age group 41-50 years old.

5
Number of Candidates

3
2015
2020
2 2025

0
20-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70
Age Groups

 Candidates who are Graduates or Above:-

-In 2015, 4 out of 7 candidates (57%)
-In 2020, 4 out of 8 candidates (50%)
-In 2025, 9 out of 15 candidates (60%)
 Candidates with Declared Criminal Cases:-
-In 2015, 1 out 7 candidates (14%)
-In 2020, 2 out 8 candidates (25%)
-In 2025, 2 out of 15 candidates (13.33%)
 Crorepati Candidates:-
-In 2015, 4 out of 7 candidates (57%)
-In 2020, 1 out of 8 candidates (12.5%)
-In 2025, 8 out of 15 candidates (53.33%)

 Analysis of Voting Trends, Winners and Turnout Ratio:-

Past Winners:-
1 | 2020 – Abhay Verma (BJP)
2 | 2015 – Nitin Tyagi (AAP)
3 | 2013 – Nitin Tyagi (AAP)
4 | 2008 – Brij Mohan Jha (Congress)
5 | 2003 – Brij Mohan Jha (Congress)
The constituency has seen notable electoral shifts over the years. Live results for Laxmi Nagar elections
2025 were as follows:-
(Winner)
Candidate Party EVM Votes Postal Votes Total Votes Vote %
Bharatiya Janata 65560 298 65858 52.11
Party
Abhay Verma
B.B Tyagi Aam Aadmi Party 54148 168 54316 42.98
Mohid Waqar Bahujan Samaj 382 6 388 0.31
Choudhary Party
Sumit Sharma Indian National 4277 39 4316 3.42
Congress
Anima Ojha Right to Recall 45 0 45 0.04
Party
Ismail Voice of Awam 32 0 32 0.03
Party
Kusum Lata Peoples Party of 44 2 46 0.04
India(Democratic
)
Gandhi Azad Samaj 172 1 173 0.14
Gautam Party(Kanshi
Ram)
Danveer Rashtra Nirman 41 0 41 0.03
Vidyalankar Party
Deepak Magadh Congress 107 0 107 0.08
Pandey Party
Namaha Aapsi Sahyog 48 0 48 0.04
Party
Vikas Independent 133 2 135 0.11
Anurag Independent 48 0 48 0.04
Kumar
Jagdish Independent 74 0 74 0.06
Kumar Garg
Vimal kumar Independent 69 0 69 0.05
Saxema
NOTA None of the Above 680 6 686 0.54
TOTAL 125860 522 126382

2015 2020 2025

 Voter Turnout %
Poll 70.00% Dates:-
Laxmi 68.00% 67.23% Nagar
66.00% 64.70%
64.00%
61.74%
62.00% 60.50% Voter Turnout %
60.00%
58.00% 56.51%
56.00%
54.00%
52.00%
50.00%
2008 2013 2015 2020 2025
Constituency went to the polls in Phase 1 of the 2025 Delhi Assembly elections on Wednesday, February
5, 2025. The counting of votes was on Saturday, February 8, 2025.
Voter Turnout:-
According to data released by the Election Commission of India, in 2025 the estimated voter turnout was
60.5%. In 2020, this seat registered a turnout of 61.74%, while it was 67.23% in 2015, 64.70% in 2013
and 56.51% in 2008. The estimated turnout in 2025 is -00.98% compared to the 2020 turnout.
There is a steady decline in voter turnout from 2015 to 2025. While 2015 marked high enthusiasm,
particularly with the rise of AAP, subsequent elections witnessed voter fatigue or disillusionment.

Victory Margin:-
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) candidate Abhay Verma secured a decisive victory over Aam Aadmi Party
(AAP) candidate B.B Tyagi, winning by a margin of 11,542 votes. This victory margin represents a
significant increase compared to the 2020 elections, where Abhay Verma won the seat by a narrow
margin of 880 votes against AAP’s Nitin Tyagi. It also suggests a shift in voter preference and a
strengthening of BJP’s position in the region.
This win was part of a broader success for the BJP, which secured 47 out of 70 seats in the Delhi
Assembly, marking its first return to power in the capital after 27 years.

Key Factors Contributing:-

1. Strong Incumbency Advantage: Abhay Verma had been the sitting MLA since 2020 and maintained a
visible presence in the constituency. He engaged consistently with residents through community
outreach, especially during civic crisis like water shortages, cleanliness drives, and local development
demands. His accessibility and local image contributed to voter loyalty.
2. Consolidation of Middle-Class Voters: The BJP’s focus on addressing local traders’ concerns and
better regulating commercial spaces (a key issue in Laxmi Nagar) struck a chord with residents.
3. Voter Fatigue with AAP: While AAP remained competitive; there was growing discontent over
declining sanitation standards, parking chaos, and lack of follow-through on previous local promises.
4. Effective Ground Campaign: BJP’s campaign strategy involved booth-level management, strong
outreach through Resident Welfare Associations (RWA’s) and religious and cultural events.
5. Strategic Messaging on ‘Double Engine Sarkar’: Voters were persuaded by BJP’s pitch for seamless
coordination between Delhi’s local government and the Centre, especially on infrastructure projects and
law enforcement-key issues in Delhi.
6. Presence of multiple small parties and independents: In 2025, several minor parties and
independent candidates contested in Laxmi Nagar, including from BSP, NCP, and local outfits. These
candidates fragmented the anti-BJP vote, reducing AAP’s ability to consolidate opposition support.
7. Welfare Schemes proposed:
-Mahila Samridhi Yojana (Rs.2500 for women belonging to economically weaker sections)
-Financial Support for Pregnant Women (One time grant of Rs.21000 along with provision of six
nutritional kits to ensure maternal and child health)
-LPG Subsidy and Free Cylinders (up to Rs.500, free cylinder each during Holi and Diwali festivals)
-Atal Canteen Scheme (Canteens offering nutritious meals at Rs.5, targeting slum dwellers to address
food security)
-Ayushman Bharat Health Coverage (health insurance up to Rs. 10 lakh per family)
-Mukhya Mantri Kanyadaan Yojana (up to Rs.50000 for marriage of daughters to poor)
-Anti-Romeo Squads (to prevent sexual harassment in public places)

 Conclusion:-
The win reaffirmed Laxmi Nagar’s shifting electoral identity from a swing constituency to a BJP
stronghold.