Class Notes 3: Mathematics – Introduction to Probability
Date: August 14, 2025
Topic: Probability Basics
1. Definition
● Probability measures how likely an event is to occur, ranging from 0 (impossible) to 1
(certain).
2. Key Terms
● Experiment: Process leading to outcomes (e.g., rolling a die)
● Sample Space (S): All possible outcomes
● Event (E): A subset of the sample space
3. Probability Formula
● P(E)=Number of favorable outcomesTotal number of outcomesP(E) = \frac{\text{Number
of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}}P(E)=Total number of
outcomesNumber of favorable outcomes
4. Examples
● Coin toss: S = {Heads, Tails}, P(Heads) = 1/2
● Rolling a die: S = {1,2,3,4,5,6}, P(even number) = 3/6 = 1/2
5. Types of Probability
● Theoretical Probability: Based on reasoning (like dice rolls)
● Experimental Probability: Based on observation or experiment
● Subjective Probability: Based on opinion or experience
6. Key Rules
● Complement Rule: P(not E) = 1 − P(E)
● Addition Rule (for mutually exclusive events): P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
● Multiplication Rule (for independent events): P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B)
7. Summary
● Probability helps predict outcomes in uncertain situations
● Fundamental in statistics, gambling, decision-making, and science