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9 views14 pages

Notes Topic 1

Notes.

Uploaded by

thobeka snothile
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1

Session 1: Partial Equilibria using Matrix Algebra.


The position of equilibrium (eqm) is very important to
economists applied in numerous models.

Equilibrium: a point of rest i.e. all outside forces that alter a


particular variable are constant.

When those outside forces change we get a new equilibrium


(instantaneously or otherwise).

In economics we have endogenous variable(s) determined


by a model that is a function of exogenous variables. Classic
example is Demand = Supply.

D = f(P)
S = f(P)

If the price of another good (exogenous variable) alters, it


may change demand until a new eqm is reached. Eqm price
and quantity are treated as endogenous variables in this
context.

Equilibrium is not necessarily desirable. It is simply a


position obtained. “Goal” equilibria is another issue
altogether explored later (max utility; max profit; min av.
cost). An economy can settle at an eqm position of high
unemployment which is not a good thing.
2

A Partial equilibrium model: Demand and Supply


(linear case)
Find values of endogenous variables that satisfy an eqm
condition.

Demand (Qd) and Supply (Qs) : single good case

In general Q = f(P)

More specifically:
Qd = Qs
Qd = a – bP
Qs = - c + dP

We require 3 endogenous variables to be solved: P*, Qd*


and Qs* where Qd* = Qs*

Find P* first

a – bP = - c + dP (easier to rid negative signs)


a + c – bP = dP
a + c = dP + bP
a + c = P(d + b)

a + c = P* → reduced form (endog expressed in


d+b terms of exogenous (d+b≠0) vbles only

So note here that one of the endogenous variables has been


expressed in terms of the parameters (a,b,c,d) and not Q
which itself is another endogenous vble. The parameters in
a sense are behaving as exogenous vbles (slopes and
intercept terms).
3

Now for Q* (take Qs or Qd and substitute in)

Q* = a – b(a + c)
b+d

= a(b + d) – b(a + c)
b+d

= ab + ad – ba – bc
b+d

Q* = ad – bc → reduced form (ad > bc for Q* > 0)


b+d

A numerical example

Qs = -32 + 7P
Qd = 128 - 9P
Qs = Qd

128 - 9P = -32 + 7P
160 = 16P
10 = P*

If P* = 10, Qd* = Qs* = 38.

Check general equations


a = 128; b = 9; c = 32, d = 7

a + c = P* = 128 + 32 = 10 ☺
d+b 7+9
ad – bc = Q* = 128*7 – 9*32 = 38 ☻
d+b 7+9
4

A 2 good model (beef and pork):

QdB = 82 – 3PB + PP
QsB = -5 + 15PB

QdP = 92 + 2PB - 4PP


QsP = -6 + 32PP

Qs = Qd in each market simultaneously

Complements or substitutes?

Methodology: substitution of variables

82 – 3PB + PP = -5 + 15PB
92 + 2PB – 4PP = -6 + 32PP

18PB – PP = 87 (1)
-2PB + 36PP = 98 (2) 2 equations, 2 unknowns

Solve for PP in (1)

PP = 18PB – 87

Substitute in (2)

-2PB + 36(18PB – 87) = 98

646PB = 3230
PB* = 5

Substitute PB = 5 in (1)
PP = 3

So QdB* = 70 = QsB* and QdP* = 90 = QsP*


5

CLASS: Another 2 good model (shirts and jackets):

QdS = 410 – 5PS – 2PJ


QsS = -60 + 3PS

QdJ = 295 – PS – 3PJ


QsJ = -120 + 2PJ
6

A 3 good model

Qd1 = 23 – 5P1 + P2 + P3
Qs1 = -8 + 6P1

Qd2 = 15 + P1 – 3P2 + 2P3


Qs2 = -11 + 3P2

Qd3 = 19 + P1 + 2P2 – 4P3


Qs3 = -5 + 3P3

Set all equations to zero once Qdi = Qsi

31 – 11P1 + P2 + P3 = 0 (1)
26 + P1 - 6P2 + 2P3 = 0 (2)
24 + P1 + 2P2 - 7P3 = 0 (3)

3 equations; 3 unknowns

Eliminate one of the variables (e.g. P2)

(1) * 2 = 62 – 22P1 + 2P2 + 2P3 = 0 (4)


then do (4) – (3)

62 – 22P1 + 2P2 + 2P3 = 0 (4)



24 + P1 + 2P2 - 7P3 = 0 (3)
=
38 – 23P1 + 9P3 = 0 (5)

Multiply (3) * 3 =

72 + 3P1 + 6P2 - 21P3 = 0 (6)

(2) + (6) =
7

98 + 4P1 - 19P3 = 0 (7)

Now we have 2 equations (7) and (5) that contain P1 and P3

Solve for P1 and P3

38 – 23P1 + 9P3 = 0 (5)


98 + 4P1 - 19P3 = 0 (7)

(5) * 19 = 722 – 437P1 + 171P3 = 0


(7) * 9 = 882 + 36P1 - 171P3 = 0

Add the two new equations:

1604 = 401P1

P 1* = 4

Substitute P1* in (5)

38 – 23*4 + 9P3 = 0

P 3* = 6

Substitute P1* and P3* in (1), (2) or (3) to get P2* = 7.

CLASS: Another 3 good model:

After setting Qdi = Qsi

4P1 + 3P2 + 5P3 = 27 (1)


P1 + 6P2 + 2P3 = 19 (2)
3P1 + P2 + 3P3 = 15 (3)
8

A Partial equilibrium model: Demand and Supply


(non-linear case)

Look at a non-linear demand function and linear supply


function using coefficients.

Qd = Qs
Qd = 4 - P2
Qs = 4P - 1

Where Qd = Qs we get a quadratic equation:

P2 + 4P - 5 = 0 quadratic equation (reveals 2 ordered


pairs P1,0 and P2,0) )

[P2 + 4P - 5 = f(P) quadratic function] (reveals infinite


solutions, Pi, f(Pi))

Finding solution values of P where f(P) = 0 gives us the


“roots” of the quadratic equation or our equilibrium values.

Compare fig 3.2 with 3.3.


9
10

Solving a quadratic

Use the quadratic formula:

If ax2 + bx + c = 0 then

x1* and x2* = -b ± (b2 - 4ac)1/2


2a

So from our example, if a = 1, b = 4, c = -5

P1* and P2* = -4 ± (42 - 4*1*-5)1/2


2

= -4 ± (16 + 20)1/2
2
= -4 ± 6
2

P1* and P2* = 1 and -5

Since we are only interested in positive values of P, we take


P* = 1 (and Q* = 3) as the solution value.

If we have a higher polynomial such as P3 - P2 - 4P + 4 = 0


then the factoring becomes more difficult but the principle is
the same.
11

CLASS: Another non-linear example

Question 1.

Solve equilibrium values for P and Q when:

Qd = 3 - P2
Qs = 6P - 4

Question 2.

Qd = 3P + Q2 + 5Q - 102 = 0 (1)
Qs = P - 2Q2 + 3Q + 71 = 0 (2)

Question 3.

Qd = P + Q2 + 3Q - 20 = 0
Qs = P - 3Q2 + 10Q = 5
12

Application in Income Determination

Nice examples of partial equilibria in macro too.

Keynesian model:

Y=C+I+G
C = a + bY

Which are endogenous and exogenous?

Endogenous Exogenous
C, Y I, G, a, b

We need equilibrium values of Y and C (Y* and C*)


expressed in terms of the exogenous variables (the reduced
form) only.

To begin with we can simply substitute C in Y:

Y = a + bY + I + G

(1-b)Y = a + I + G

Y* = a + I + G
1-b

where 1/1-b is the simple Keynesian multiplier.

To find C* we simply substitute in to C:

C* = a +bY*

C* = a + b(a + I + G)
1-b
13

multiply both sides by 1-b:

C*(1-b) = a(1-b) + b(a + I + G)

C*(1-b) = a-ab + ba + bI + bG

C*(1-b) = a + bI + bG

C* = a + b(I + G)
(1-b) (assuming b ≠ 1 and in general MPC ≠ 1)

The endogenous variable, C* is expressed in terms of


exogenous variables only.

Another example:

Y=C+I Yd = Y - T
C = 100 + 0.6 Yd T = 50 I = 40

i) Identify exogenous and endogenous variables:


ii) Find equilibrium income with and without tax

i)

Endogenous Exogenous
C, Y,Yd I, T

ii) Without tax

Y=C+I
Y = 100 + 0.6Y + 40

Y* = 350
14

With tax

Y=C+I
Y = 100 + 0.6(Y-T) + 40
Y = 140 + 0.6(Y-50)
Y-0.6Y = 110

Y* = 110/0.4 = 275

CLASS

C = 48 + 0.8Y
Y=C+I
I = 98 - 75i
Ms = 250 (money supply)
Mt = 0.3Y (transactions demand for money)
Mz = 52-150i (speculative demand for money)

Find the values of Y and i when both the commodity markets


and money markets are in equilibrium.

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