Lecture 2
Lecture 2
valuation
preliminaries
J. R. Zhang
Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
Option
Lecture 2: Option valuation preliminaries Terminology
Option valuation
preliminaries
Time Value and
Zero-coupon Bond
J. R. Zhang Upper/Lower
bounds on Option
Values
Department of Computer Science
The University of Hong Kong
J. R. Zhang
Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
Option valuation
preliminaries
Option Terminology Time Value and
Zero-coupon Bond
Upper/Lower
bounds on Option
Values
Option valuation preliminaries
Time Value and Zero-coupon Bond
J. R. Zhang
Upper/Lower
bounds on Option
Values
( Option
Terminology
max(S(t) − K , 0), for a call option,
Intrinsic value = Option valuation
max(K − S(t), 0), for a put option. preliminaries
Time Value and
Zero-coupon Bond
Option
account, and the account will (typically) have more Terminology
than $100 in a year’s time. Option valuation
preliminaries
I For example, if the interest rate from the account is 1% Time Value and
Zero-coupon Bond
for 1-year deposit, I can receive $101 in a year. Upper/Lower
bounds on Option
I Mathematically, suppose an interest-bearing account Values
pays an annual interest rate of r compounding m
periods per year.
I It means the account gives m interest payments per
year, and each time the interest rate is mr .
I If we deposit some money D0 in this account, then in t
years, the money in this account is worth
r mt
D(t) = D0 × 1 + (1)
m
Lecture 2: Option
Present Value valuation
preliminaries
J. R. Zhang
I If the compounding frequency m −→ ∞, the interest
Call/Put Option
rate r is continuously compounded, and Payoff Diagram
Option
r m Terminology
D(t) = D0 e rt , since lim 1 + = er (2)
m→∞ m Option valuation
preliminaries
Time Value and
I To receive money P from this account in t years, now Zero-coupon Bond
Upper/Lower
you need to deposit bounds on Option
Values
J. R. Zhang
Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
rate r , that is, D(t) = e rt D(0). It is trivial to see that Zero-coupon Bond
Upper/Lower
bounds on Option
Values
dD(t) = rD(t)dt. (4)
J. R. Zhang
J. R. Zhang
Implied Interest Rate
Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
I Present (or future) value can be computed by using
Option
zero-coupon bonds. For example, if B0T is the price Terminology
BTT
1
BTT = B0T e rT =⇒ r = ln (5)
T B0T
Lecture 2: Option
Interest Rate valuation
preliminaries
J. R. Zhang
J. R. Zhang
In this course, we make the following assumptions about the
risk-free interest rate: Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
I the fixed interest rate r prevails whenever cash is lent or Option
Terminology
borrowed.
Option valuation
preliminaries
I the fixed interest rate r applies whatever amount of Time Value and
Zero-coupon Bond
cash is involved,
Upper/Lower
I the fixed interest rate r is always positive. bounds on Option
Values
J. R. Zhang
Portfolio
Call/Put Option
We use the term portfolio to describe a combination of Payoff Diagram
Definition J. R. Zhang
Short selling means you sell something you don’t really own. Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
To short sell an asset, you first borrow it from somebody
Option
who owns it, and later buy it back and return it. Terminology
Option valuation
preliminaries
Let S(t) denote the value of an asset at time t. We Time Value and
Zero-coupon Bond
I borrowed a share from somebody, and gained an Upper/Lower
amount S(t1 ) at time t = t1 from the short sale, bounds on Option
Values
I paid out an amount S(t2 ) at time t = t2 to buy back
the share, and returned it to the owner at t = t2 .
Then the overall profit/loss at time t = t2 from the short
selling is
PnL = e r (t2 −t1 ) S(t1 ) − S(t2 ). (6)
In this course, we assume that this is always possible, at no
cost, and that the short seller is free to choose when to buy
back and return the item.
Lecture 2: Option
No arbitrage principle valuation
preliminaries
J. R. Zhang
Option valuation
to describe it, but the basic idea is the same. preliminaries
Time Value and
I Essentially, it means that one cannot make money for Zero-coupon Bond
An example
Let’s consider an example in foreign exchange.
I Suppose 1 pound (GBP) is worth 1.6 U.S. dollars and 1
U.S. dollar is worth 100 Japanese yen.
I How many yen is a pound worth? It has to be worth
exactly 160 yen. Why?
Lecture 2: Option
No arbitrage principle: An Example valuation
preliminaries
J. R. Zhang
I If 1 pound is worth more than 160 yen, suppose we
Call/Put Option
start with 1 pound. We take the following actions: Payoff Diagram
I Sell this one pound for yen (> 160 yen), Option
Terminology
I Then sell these yen for dollars (> 1.6 dollars),
Option valuation
I Finally sell the dollars for pounds ( > 1 pound). preliminaries
I We end up more pounds than we started with. Time Value and
Zero-coupon Bond
I We keep on doing the same thing as long as we can. Upper/Lower
I This process is called taking advantage of an arbitrage bounds on Option
Values
opportunity.
I This process will cause the arbitrage opportunity
disappear due to supply and demand.
I Specifically, buying yen will drive the exchange rate
pound/yen down (i.e. 1 pound worth less yen), buying
dollars will drive the yen/dollar rate down, and so on.
I If 1 pound is worth less than 160 yen, we take the
opposite actions.
Lecture 2: Option
No arbitrage principle valuation
preliminaries
J. R. Zhang
Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
I Due to the above actions from market participants, the Option
Terminology
arbitrage opportunity will be short-lived.
Option valuation
I In real market, arbitrage opportunities can exist but will preliminaries
Time Value and
generally be very small and disappear quickly. Zero-coupon Bond
Upper/Lower
I In the mathematical finance theory, it is therefore bounds on Option
Values
convenient to assume that there is no arbitrage.
I From another perspective, our job is to find the fair
price in an arbitrage-free market. If the observed price
from the market is not in agreement, then we know
there is an arbitrage opportunity to be exploited.
Lecture 2: Option
Call-Put Parity valuation
preliminaries
J. R. Zhang
Upper/Lower
Proof J. R. Zhang
Option valuation
πB : one put option plus one unit of the asset. preliminaries
Time Value and
I It is trivial to see that at time t = 0 Zero-coupon Bond
( Upper/Lower
J. R. Zhang
J. R. Zhang
Bounds for Calls on Non-Dividend-Paying Stocks
Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
I C0T ≥ max(S(0) − Ke −rT , 0),
Option
I CT ≤ S(0). Terminology
0
Option valuation
preliminaries
To give an example, let’s prove the first inequality. Since the Time Value and
call option cannot have a negative value, we only need to Zero-coupon Bond
Upper/Lower
prove bounds on Option
Proof
I Consider two portfolios at time t = 0,
πA : one call option plus Ke −rT risk-free
zero-coupon bond,
πB : one unit of the asset.
Lecture 2: Option
Upper/Lower bounds on Option Values valuation
preliminaries
J. R. Zhang
Proof
Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
I At time t = 0
Option
( Terminology
πA is worth C0T + Ke −rT , Option valuation
preliminaries
πB is worth S(0). Time Value and
Zero-coupon Bond
Upper/Lower
I At the expiry date T , we have bounds on Option
Values
(
πA : max(S(T ), K ),
πB : S(T ).
Proof J. R. Zhang
Option valuation
preliminaries
max(S(T1 ) − K , 0). Time Value and
Zero-coupon Bond
Upper/Lower
I The second option has not matured yet. Let’s denote bounds on Option
Values
its value by CTT12 .
I The second option can be seen as a new call option
starting from T1 and maturing at T2 with strike K . Its
time to maturity is T2 − T1 .
I From the upper bound on call option,
J. R. Zhang
Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
Option valuation
I At T1 , the second option is definitely worth more than preliminaries
Time Value and
the first option. Zero-coupon Bond
Upper/Lower
I By no arbitrage principle, at t = 0, the second option bounds on Option
Values
must also be more valuable than the first one.
I The text book has a slightly more complicated proof
without using the upper bound result.
I Learn the proof yourself.
Lecture 2: Option
No arbitrage Principle valuation
preliminaries
J. R. Zhang
Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
Let’s formalize our arguments used in the above proof and
Option
put them in a theorem. Terminology
Option valuation
Theorem preliminaries
If portfolios A and B are such that in every possible state of Time Value and
Zero-coupon Bond
J. R. Zhang
J. R. Zhang
Example
On January 1, the forward price of one HSBC share is $90, Call/Put Option
Payoff Diagram
to be delivered in June. Contract size is 100 shares. If Option
investor ABC buys one such contract, she agrees to buy 100 Terminology
HSBC shares in June at a price of $90 per share. She is now Option valuation
preliminaries
taking a long position. Time Value and
Zero-coupon Bond
J. R. Zhang
I A natural question is “how do we determine the delivery
Call/Put Option
price for expiry time T ?”. Payoff Diagram
Upper/Lower
bounds on Option
I As mentioned before, it costs nothing for anyone to Values