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Conditional Probability
Video 247 on Corbettmaths
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Question 1: A drawer contains 6 red socks and 2 green socks.
A red sock is taken out of the drawer and not replaced.
Dexter is going to pick a sock at random from the remaining socks in the drawer.
(a) Write down the probability that Dexter picks a red sock?
(b) Write down the probability that Dexter picks a green sock?
Question 2: There are 10 chocolates in a bag.
Four are milk chocolate and six are dark chocolate.
Two chocolates are taken out at random without replacement.
(a) Copy and complete the tree diagram
(b) Find the probability of getting
two dark chocolates.
(c) Find the probability of getting
one chocolate of each Llavour.
(d) Find the probability of getting
at least one milk chocolate.
Question 3: 13 of the 20 students in Mr Davidson’s class are girls.
Two students are chosen at random.
(a) Copy and complete the tree diagram
(b) Work out the probability of two boys
being selected.
(c) Work out the probability of two girls
being selected.
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Conditional Probability
Video 247 on Corbettmaths
Question 4: There are 12 sweets in a bag
7 are lemon and 5 are orange.
Two sweets are taken out at random without replacement.
(a) Work out the probability that the two sweets are both lemon
(b) Work out the probability that the two sweets are both orange
(c) Work out the probability that the two sweets are the same Llavour
(d) Work out the probability that the two sweets are different Llavours
Question 5: There are Live counters in a bag.
One counter is pink, one counter is green and three counters are yellow.
A counter is selected at random from the bag without replacement.
Then a second counter is taken at random.
(a) Find the probability that both counters are yellow.
(b) Find the probability of a pink counter then a yellow counter.
1
Question 6: In dry weather, the probability of a bus being late is 10
1
In rainy weather, the probability of a bus being late is 4
2
In snowy weather, the probability of a bus being late is 3
3
The probability of dry weather is 4
The probability of wet weather is 15
The probability of snow is 201
(a) Show this information on a tree diagram
(b) Calculate the probability that the weather is dry and the bus is on time.
(c) Calculate the probability that the bus is late
Question 7: Catherine has two bags of counters.
Bag A contains 6 red counters and 2 black counters.
Bag B contains 1 red counters and 4 black counters
Catherine rolls a fair ordinary six-sided dice.
If the dice lands on a 1, she takes a counter at random from Bag B.
If the dice lands on any other number, Catherine takes a counter randomly from
Bag A.
Calculate the probability of Catherine getting a black counter.
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Conditional Probability
Video 247 on Corbettmaths
Question 8: There are three Llavours of crisps in a cafe.
There are 3 packets of salt and vinegar
5 packets of cheese and onion
1 packet of roast chicken
Bella takes two packets of crisps at random.
(a) Work out the probability that she takes 2 packets of crisps that are the
same Llavour.
(b) Work out the probability that she takes 2 packets of crisps that are
different Llavours.
Question 9: Toby has 20 counters in a bag.
11 counters are yellow.
6 counters are red.
3 counters are white.
Toby takes two counters from the bag at random.
Work out the probability that the two counters are not the same colour.
Question 10: There are 9 sweets in a bag.
Five sweets are purple, three sweets are white and one sweet is pink.
Three sweets are selected at random without replacement.
Calculate the probability that the sweets are not all the same colour.
Question 11: Florence has these letter tiles.
She picks three tiles at random without replacement.
(a) Calculate the probability that all three times are vowels.
(b) Calculate the probability that there are no vowels.
(c) Calculate the probability that exactly one T is taken from the bag.
Question 12: There are 11 lego blocks in a bag, with each block the same size.
Five are red and six are yellow.
Four blocks are selected at random.
(a) Calculate the probability that all the blocks are yellow
(b) Calculate the probability that at least 3 of the blocks are red.
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Conditional Probability
Video 247 on Corbettmaths
Apply
Question 1: Samantha has 10 pens.
7 of the socks are blue and the rest are red.
Samantha takes a pen at random without replacement.
She then takes a second pen at random.
Samantha drew this tree diagram.
(a) Write down what is wrong with the probabilities
in the tree diagram.
(b) Calculate the probability that Samantha picks
at least one red pen.
Question 2: Here are six number tiles.
Charlie takes a tile at random without replacement.
Charlie then takes a second tile at random.
(a) Work out the probability the both tiles have the number 5 on them
(b) Work out the probability that the number on the second is less than the
number on the Lirst tile.
Question 3: There are 20 passengers on a coach.
70% of the passengers are going to Bristol.
The rest are going to Bath.
Four passengers are chosen at random to complete a survey.
Calculate the probability that all four passengers are going to Bath.
Question 4: Ethan has 12 coins.
There are three 10p coins and nine 20p coins.
Ethan chooses 3 coins at random.
Work out the probability that he takes exactly 50p.
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Conditional Probability
Video 247 on Corbettmaths
Question 5: There are 50 students in Year 11.
Each student studies one language.
Two of these students are selected at random.
Calculate the probability that the chosen students will be a female studying
French and any male.
Question 6: A box contains 40 pens.
30 of the pens are blue and the rest are green.
One pen is taken out at random and replaced by Live of the other colour.
Another pen is taken out at random and replaced by Live of the other colour.
A Linal pen is taken out at random.
(a) Work out the probability that all three pens are green.
(b) Work out the probability that all three pens are the same colour.
(c) Work out the probability that all three pens are not the same colour.
Question 7: Jamie has some coins.
Jamie has to pay 60p for a car park ticket.
He selects 3 coins at random, without replacement, from his pocket.
Work out the probability that he has chosen the exact price of the ticket.
Question 8: Rebecca has 10 cards, each with a number on it.
She picks three cards at random, without replacement.
Rebecca adds the three numbers together to get a score.
Calculate the probability that the score is an odd number.
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Conditional Probability
Video 247 on Corbettmaths
Question 9: Harrison has two bags, each containing discs.
Bag 1 contains one disc labelled one, two discs labelled two and one disc labelled three.
Bag 2 contains one disc labelled one, three discs labelled two and one disc labelled three.
Harrison chooses a disc at random from Bag 1.
If the disc is labelled 1, he puts the disc in Bag 2.
If the disc is not labelled 1, he does not put the disc in Bag 2.
Harrison then chooses a disc at random from Bag 2.
Harrison adds together the numbers from the two discs he selected to give his score.
Find the probability of Harrison scoring 4.
Question 10: 45 students were asked if they have visited Canada, Mexico or the USA.
11 students had been to Canada
1 student had visited all three countries
2 students had visited Canada and Mexico but not the USA.
3 students had visited Mexico and the USA.
12 students had not visited any of the countries.
6 out the 19 students who had visited the USA, had been to at least one of the
other countries.
Two of the 45 students are chosen at random.
Work out the probability that they both had only visited Mexico.
Question 11: There are x apples in a crate.
2 of the apples are bad.
Jesse chooses two apples from the crate, without replacement.
1
The probability that he selects two bad apples is
28
(a) Prove x 2 − x − 56 = 0
(b) Find x, the number of apples in the crate
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