Statistics and Probability Week 6 Midterm
Statistics and Probability Week 6 Midterm
O God, wellspring of goodness and blessings, we give you thanks and praise as one
Louisian community. The graces You incessantly grant upon us and Your divine
providence have sustained our beloved University throughout the years of mission and
excellence.
Having been founded by the Congregation of the Immaculate Heart of Mary, we pray that
You keep us committed and dedicated to our mission and identity to serve the Church and
the
society as we become living witnesses to the Gospel values proclaimed by Jesus. For if
we are steadfast in our good and beautiful mission, our works will bring success not only
to ourselves but also to those whom we are bound to love and serve.
Inspired by St. Louis our Patron Saint, who was filled with a noble spirit that stirred him to love
You above all things , may we also live believing that we are born for a greater purpose
and mission as we dwell in Your presence all the days of our life.
I. INTRODUCTION
As we are heading to a meaningful journey together, you need to reflect on the three tips for
effective learning of the 6th week module.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 1 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
(1) Review the basics. Know your weaknesses and start refreshing your mind from the
basic topics by scanning your previous weekly modules.
(2) Start solving with the simple tasks. You are expected to learn the preparatory topics.
Now, you are set to solve and analyze moderate to difficult problems.
(3) Connect with experts. Good students are those who don’t hesitate to consult the
experts. You are best guided by your teachers and others who are knowledgeable of
the subject.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 2 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
Attached to this 6th week module are the following:
Performance Task 2
2. CONTENT GUIDE
For this week, the following shall be your guide for the different lessons and tasks that you
need to accomplish. Be patient, read it carefully before proceeding to the tasks expected
of you. GOOD LUCK!
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 3 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
References Textbooks:
Textbooks:
Alferez, M. S. & Duro, M. C. A. (2018). Statistics and Probability.
MSA Publishing House. Cainta, Philippines.
Online Resources:
Mclaughlin,E. Data Collection. Retrieved February 18,2022 from
https://www.techtarget.com/searchcio/definition/data-
collection
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 4 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
I. LEARNING CONTENT
Last week you have learned the different ways on how to organize and present data. For
this week, you will learn how to collect data and how to determine samples.
The University of Saint Louis is currently conducting a survey on possible Limited Face-to-
face classes. They are currently floating questionnaires through google forms to determine if
both students and parents would agree on the Limited Face-to-face classes.
Why is there a need for the school to ask the parents before planning to have a face-to-face
class?
Why is it important to know other people’s opinion before deciding?
Well, it is because in deciding you have only two options. It is to push through your decision
or not. And for the school to have a good and right decision, it is very important that the
parents and the students would agree to join the face-to-face class, and also with the person
of the authority.
Motivating Activity:
Decision Making:
List down 5 best decisions you made in your life and how these decisions made you
a wise person?
➢ Making wise decision is very important in our daily lives and one of the reasons why
we should study statistics is to help us make a wise decision. We cannot avoid making
decision in every minute of our daily life. This decision we do are based on the
information we gathered.
➢ For instance, before getting into marriage you need first to gather information on your
partner like, how he treats the people surround him, if he has work and if the both of
you is financially stable.
➢ Before doctors give prescribe medicine to a patient, pieces of information were
presented first and lastly, before you choose a university to study, there’s a need for
you first to have a background check on the university you want to go to. These are
some example decisions that we do in our life that will eventually have a huge impact
in our life.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 5 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
How do we collect data?
What are the data collection methods?
Why is it important to collect data before you decide?
DATA COLLECTION
Data collection is the process of gathering data for use in business decision-making, strategic
planning, research and other purposes. It's a crucial part of data analytics applications and
research projects: Effective data collection provides the information that's needed to answer
questions, analyze business performance or other outcomes, and predict future trends,
actions and scenarios.
Source: https://www.questionpro.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/Types-of-interviews.jpg
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 6 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
Questionnaire Method
The researcher distributes the questionnaire either personal or via email and collects them
by the same process. This method can save a lot of time and money in gathering needed
data because questionnaire can be given in a large number of respondents.
Source: https://www.questionpro.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Types-of-Questionnaires-Based-on-Distribution.jpg
Registration Method
This method of collecting data governed by existing law, policies and regulation. For example,
the number of registered vehicles can be found in LTO, The Commission of Election has the
list of registered voters and Lastly, Total number of Birth and Marriage records can be located
at PSA. The lists are always updated.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 7 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
Experimental Method
This Method of collecting data is used to find out the cause-and-effect relationship. The outcomes,
through tests will be then be compared to determine which method is better.
This is likely the question on mind when you plan to conduct a simple survey or study. Sample
determination is considered to be the ultimate concern especially that the study will not move
without the respondents.
SAMPLING TECHNIQUES
This method is used to determine which element is to be included in the sample. In order to
obtain a genuine or unbiased sample. Each member should have an equal chance of being
included or being selected to become a sample. It is very important that each researcher
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 8 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
have a complete list of the population, so that every member is ready to be included is the
sample.
There are two classification of sampling techniques. It may be Probability Sampling or Non-
Probability Sampling.
I. Probability Sampling – each member of the population has an equal chance of being
selected as members of the sample
Five Probability Sampling Techniques
1. Simple Random Sampling is a part of the sampling technique in which each
sample has an equal probability of being chosen. A sample chosen randomly is
meant to be an unbiased representation of the total population.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 9 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
Process:
a. Divide the population by the number of 440
= 22
the desired sample. 20
𝑛 = 22
On the same given. If we will start on the 3rd sample. This is the process.
3+ 22= 25th ( 1st member of our sample)
25 + 22 = 47th (2nd member of our sample)
47 + 22 = 69th (3rd member of our sample)
………… until the nth member of our sample.
3. Stratified Random Sampling- this method will obtain its sample by dividing the
population into its categories, strata (groups) or sub-population, then we obtain the
sample proportionately from each stratum.
Example: The researcher wants to equally obtain a total sample of 520 residents
from the whole population in Barangay D.
Data:
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 10 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
Process:
a. To obtain a proportional 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑎
=
𝑥
number we must divide the 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝐵𝑎𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑎𝑦 𝐷 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑒𝑠𝑖𝑟𝑒𝑑 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒𝑠
total population of strata
and the total population of x represents the number of desired number of data per stratum.
residents then equate it to
x divided by the total
number of desired sample
For Street 1: Total population of Barangay D= 1400
Total population of Street 1 =350
Desired number of samples= 520
350 𝑥 𝐶𝑟𝑜𝑠𝑠 𝑚𝑢𝑙𝑡𝑖𝑝𝑙𝑦
=
1400 520
(350)(520) = 1400(𝑥 ) 𝑆𝑖𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑓𝑦
182000 = 1400𝑥 𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒 𝑏𝑜𝑡ℎ 𝑠𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑠 𝑏𝑦 1400
𝒙 = 𝟏𝟑𝟎
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 11 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
For Street 3: Total population of Barangay D= 1402
Total population of Street 3 =325
Desired number of samples= 520
Summary of Data
Total population of students Total number of samples from
Grade Level (strata)
on each grade level each stratum
Street A 351 130
Street B 433 161
Street C 325 120
Street D 293 109
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 12 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
4. Cluster Sampling- Also called as area sampling because it is used on large population. We
select members of the sample by area and individuals are randomly chosen.
Process:
a. Members of the sample are selected by group or per cluster
b. Sample is selected randomly from each group or cluster randomly
A. Convenience Sampling - This is being used for its convenience to the researcher. The
research conducts the study at his own convenient time, preferred place or Venue. He
specifies the place and time.
For example: A Researcher wants to find out which detergent is the most popular in
household, he may just make a phone call using the phone number he found on the
telephone.
B. Quota Sampling – A method which the researcher limits the number of his samples based
on the required number of the subject under investigation.
For example: A Researcher limits his samples into 200 policemen only.
C. Purposive Sampling- A non-sampling method that the way researchers choose their
samples based on certain criteria and rules that were set by the researchers on their own.
For example: The study needs Teacher respondents. The researcher wants a sample from
Mathematics Teachers only.
D. Snowball Sampling- This method will be useful when a member of the sample is chosen
through referral of the other member of the sample.
For example: A boy who is a part of a sample introduced or referred his friend to the
researcher to be a sample.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 13 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
E. Modal Instance Sampling – is a method of non-probability sampling where the members
of the sample are selected based n the typical, most frequent observation and modal cases.
For example: In a certain group of students, most of them are girls, then the samples are girls present
in the group.
How do we determine the sample size if the level of confidence and margin
of error is given?
There are instances that the level of confidence and margin of error is given in a data. There
is a way to determine the sample size. It is through Sample Size Web.
The recommended sample size for a given population size, level of confidence, and margin
of error appears in the body of the table.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 14 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
You are required to make use of the template for sample size determination given
necessary conditions, level of confidence, and margin of error or degree of accuracy
Since we already have a template in our sample web. We just need to put the necessary
values that are need.
Examples:
1. The recommended sample size for a population of 60, a confidence level of 99%, and a
margin of error (degree of accuracy) of 0.025 or 2.5%. What is the sample size?
The sample size of the 60 population with a confidence level of 99% and margin of error of
0.025 is 59.
2. Given a population of 275, with the confidence level of 95% and a margin of error of 2%.
What is the sample size?
The sample size of the 275 population with a confidence level of 95% and margin of error
of 0.02 is 247.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 15 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
3. Given the following: Confidence level is 95% and having a population of 1550. What is
the sample size if the margin of error are:
a. 5%?
b. 3.5%?
c. 2.5%?
d. 1%?
Note: Before we input the different given on the give template. Kindly transform the margin
of error into decimal. Therefore, we have:
a. 0.05
b. 0.035
c. 0.025
d. 0.01
a. The sample size of the 1550 population with a confidence level of 95% and margin of error of
0.05 is 308.
b. The sample size of the 1550 population with a confidence level of 95% and margin of error of
0.035 is 521.
c. The sample size of the 1550 population with a confidence level of 95% and margin of error of
0.025 is 772.
d. The sample size of the 1550 population with a confidence level of 95% and margin of error of
0.01 is 1335.
4. Given the following: Confidence level is 99% and having a population of 1550. What is
the sample size if the margin of error are:
a. 2%?
b. 4.5%?
c. 6.7%?
d. 3%?
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 16 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
a. The sample size of the 1550 population with a confidence level of 99% and margin of
error of 0.02 is 1102.
b. The sample size of the 1550 population with a confidence level of 99% and margin of
error of 0.045 is 536.
c. The sample size of the 1550 population with a confidence level of 99% and margin of
error of 0.067 is 299.
d. The sample size of the 1550 population with a confidence level of 99% and margin of
error of 0.03 is 842.
5. What is the sample size of 5320 Population if:
a. Confidence Level is 99% and Margin of Error is at 5%
b. Confidence Level is 95% and Margin of Error is at 3.5%
c. Confidence Level is 99% and Margin of Error is at 2.5%
d. Confidence Level is 95% and Margin of Error is at 1%
a) The sample size of 5320 with a confidence level of 99% and Margin of Error of 5% is
590.
b) The sample size of 5320 with a confidence level of 95% and Margin of Error of 3.5% is
683.
c) The sample size of 5320 with a confidence level of 99% and Margin of Error of 2.5% is
1771.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 17 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
d) The sample size of 5320 with a confidence level of 95% and Margin of Error of 1% is
3424.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 18 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
Determining Samples using Stratified Sampling Method using Sample Web
1. Consider the data below. Let’s determine the number of samples to be selected from
each group(department) in a University. Use 99% level of confidence and 0.01 margin of
error.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 19 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
The sample size of the 1400 population with a confidence level of 99% and margin of error
of 0.01 is 1291.
Step 3. Determine the number of samples (n) from each strand by multiplying the
percentage of each strand/track to the total sample we obtained which is 943.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 20 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
Reminder:
Our intention is to distribute the samples per department to each year level by
recognizing the table on the same given under stratified sampling.
132 127
𝑃𝐸𝑑(2) = = 0.55 → 55% 𝑃𝐴𝐶𝐶(2) = = 0.35 → 35%
242 361
1st Year 1st Year:
159 240
𝑃𝐻𝑆(1) = = 0.61 → 61% 𝑃𝐸𝑁𝐺(1) = = 0.45 → 45%
Health 259 538
Sciences 2nd Year: Engineering 2nd Year:
100 298
𝑃𝐻𝑆(2) = = 0.39 → 39% 𝑃𝐸𝑁𝐺(2) = = 0.55 → 55%
259 538
To determine the percentage of each group, recognize the total number of students
which is 1400.
242 361
PEd = = 0.17 = 17% PACC = = 0.26 = 26%
1400 1400
259 538
PHS = = 0.19 = 19% PENG = = 0.38 = 38%
1400 1400
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 21 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
Total 5 259 0.19
Accountancy 1 4 234 0.65
2 3 127 0.35
Total 7 361 0.26
Engineering 1 4 240 0.45
2 4 298 0.55
Total 8 538 0.38
TOTAL 26 1000 100%
Step 2: After completing all the percentages, let’s determine the samples per year level per
department based from the given data given data.
1st Year: Accountancy 1st Year:
𝑛𝐸𝑑(1) = 0.45𝑥 219 = 99 𝑛𝐴𝐶𝐶 (1) = 0.65𝑥 336 = 218
Education
2nd Year: 2nd Year:
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 22 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
Year No. of No. of
DEPARTMENT Percentage Sample (n)
Level Sections Students
Education 1 3 110 0.45 99
2 3 132 0.55 120
Total 6 242 0.17 219
Health
1 3 159 0.61 149
Sciences
2 100 2 0.39 96
Total 5 259 0.19 245
Accountancy 14 234 0.65 218
23 127 0.35 118
Total 7 361 0.26 336
Engineering 14 240 0.45 221
24 298 0.55 270
Total 8 538 0.38 491
TOTAL 26 1000 100% 1291
This table provides the scheme in determining the number of samples from grade
levels grouped per strand.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 23 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
GENERALIZATION:
Data collection is the process of gathering data for use in business decision-making,
strategic planning, research and other purposes.
I. Probability Sampling – each member of the population has an equal chance of being
selected as members of the sample
Five Probability Sampling Techniques
Simple Random Sampling is a part of the sampling technique in which each sample has an equal
probability of being chosen. A sample chosen randomly is meant to be an unbiased representation of
the total population.
There are two ways to do a random sampling.
➢ Lottery Sampling / Raffle.
➢ Table of random number
Systematic Sampling is done systematically and it is done by numbering each member of the
population and successively drawn the elements from the population.
Stratified Random Sampling- this method will obtain its sample by dividing the population into its
categories, strata (groups) or sub-population, then we obtain the sample proportionately from each
stratum.
Cluster Sampling- Also called as area sampling because it is used on large population. We
select members of the sample by area and individuals are randomly chosen.
Multi- Stage Sampling- Combination of several sampling techniques, usually used by
researchers who are interested n studying a very large population.
II. Non- Probability Sampling
This is a sampling technique where the researcher draws the sample based on his own
judgement, therefore, the result is biased and not reliable
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 24 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.
Convenience Sampling - This is being used for its convenience to the researcher. The
research conducts the study at his own convenient time, preferred place or Venue. He
specifies the place and time.
Quota Sampling – A method which the researcher limits the number of his samples based on
the required number of the subject under investigation.
Purposive Sampling- A non-sampling method that the way researchers choose their samples
based on certain criteria and rules that were set by the researchers on their own.
Snowball Sampling- This method will be useful when a member of the sample is chosen
through referral of the other member of the sample.
Modal Instance Sampling – is a method of non-probability sampling where the members of
the sample are selected based n the typical, most frequent observation and modal cases.
SAMPLE SIZE WEB. (It is in excel format, ”SampleSize-web”). You are required to make
use of the template for sample size determination given necessary conditions, level of
confidence, and margin of error or degree of accuracy.
STATISTICSANDPROBABILITY P a g e 25 | 28
This document is a property of University of Saint Louis Tuguegarao. It must not be reproduced or transmitted in any form, in whole or in part,
without expressed written permission.